Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Boca Juniors v Estudiantes

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-05 22:00 UTC

Score final : Boca Juniors 1–0 Estudiantes

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Boca Juniors (Local)

Prévision 51.44%1.94cote équitable
EV -2.27%
Avantage -1.20%
Kelly -2.52%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.62%51.32%51.48%54.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.691.811.821.9059.17%55.13%54.95%52.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Estudiantes (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.42%5.15cote équitable
EV +5.46%
Avantage +1.01%
Kelly +1.23%
Croissance +0.067%

avec la cote maximale 5.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.65%19.54%19.44%21.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.254.744.755.4323.53%21.08%21.05%18.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 29.14%3.43cote équitable
EV -0.917%
Avantage -0.270%
Kelly -0.382%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.19%29.15%29.08%30.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.183.203.4033.33%31.47%31.25%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Boca Juniors (Local) : 51.44% ; Estudiantes (Visiteur) : 19.42% ; Match nul : 29.14%. Pour Estudiantes (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.15. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.43, soit une espérance positive de +5.46%.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.15%EV -8.96%E -5.06%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.65%EV +5.46%E +1.01%K +1.23%G +0.067%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -0.917%E -0.270%K -0.382%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 21:55
BetAnything🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.16%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.09I 19.65%NM 18.96%EV -1.14%E -0.225%K -0.280%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.89%EV -2.67%E -0.798%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-05 21:55
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.06%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10%EV -2.89%E -0.578%K -0.723%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.84%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 21:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -2.89%E -0.578%K -0.723%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -5.29%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 21:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.60%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -2.89%E -0.578%K -0.723%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 21:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -2.89%E -0.578%K -0.723%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -5.29%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 21:25
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.53%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -2.89%E -0.578%K -0.723%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-05 21:40
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.40%EV -3.30%E -1.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.98I 20.08%NM 19.40%EV -3.28%E -0.659%K -0.824%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.19%EV -3.54%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-05 21:50
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.23%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.15%EV -3.86%E -0.780%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 21:40
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.23%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.15%EV -3.86%E -0.780%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 21:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.06%EV -2.79%E -1.47%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.69%EV -4.83%E -0.986%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.24%EV -3.83%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-05 21:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.06%EV -2.79%E -1.47%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.69%EV -4.83%E -0.986%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.24%EV -3.83%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-05 21:10
Bovada🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -4.83%E -0.986%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 21:39
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.05%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -4.83%E -0.986%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -5.29%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 21:45
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -8.96%E -5.06%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -4.83%E -0.986%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -3.83%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-05 21:44
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.43%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -6.78%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -5.29%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 21:45
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.45%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -6.78%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 21:45
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -6.78%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 21:24
Unibet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.92%EV -2.27%E -1.20%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.97%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.11%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 21:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.05%EV -2.79%E -1.47%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.92%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.03%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 21:55
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.62%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 21:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 52.85%EV -13.07%E -7.74%K -18.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.80%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.82%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-05 21:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.81%EV -11.53%E -6.70%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.16%EV -9.69%E -2.08%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.03%EV -10.53%E -3.43%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-05 21:33
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.74%EV -9.47%E -5.38%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -10.66%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-05 21:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.94%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -10.66%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-05 21:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.94%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -10.66%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-05 21:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.42%EV -9.99%E -5.71%K -13.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -10.66%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-05 21:45
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.65%EV -12.60%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -5.29%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 21:44
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -12.60%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-05 21:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -12.60%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-05 21:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.57%EV -10.50%E -6.03%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.94%EV -12.60%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.49%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-05 21:25
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -9.99%E -5.71%K -13.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -12.60%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-05 21:45
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -9.99%E -5.71%K -13.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -12.60%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-05 21:44
NetBet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.14%EV -11.53%E -6.70%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -12.60%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.32%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-05 21:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.86%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -14.54%E -3.31%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.95%EV -6.16%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-05 21:50
Bet Right🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.94%EV -5.36%E -2.91%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -14.54%E -3.31%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-05 21:30
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.14%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -15.90%E -3.67%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-05 21:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.62%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.25%EV -17.46%E -4.11%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-05 21:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.86%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.75%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%0.6%2026-08-05 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.86%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.75%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%0.6%2026-08-05 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.86%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.75%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%0.6%2026-08-05 21:55
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 52.64%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.67%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-08-05 21:55
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.96%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.60%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-08-05 21:50