Language:English
Banfield v River Plate
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Banfield (Local)
Prediction 13.23%7.56fair odd
EV +5.86%
Edge +0.732%
Kelly +0.837%
Growth +0.049%
assuming max odds 8.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.10%13.27%13.16%14.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.006.957.008.0016.67%14.38%14.29%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
River Plate (Visit)
Prediction 63.48%1.58fair odd
EV -2.24%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -4.14%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.42%63.37%63.54%65.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.471.481.5472.46%68.22%67.57%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.29%4.29fair odd
EV +0.128%
Edge +0.030%
Kelly +0.039%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.42%23.37%23.29%25.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.913.914.3028.57%25.58%25.58%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Banfield (Local): 13.23%; River Plate (Visit): 63.48%; Draw: 23.29%. For Banfield (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.56. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.86%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.10%EV +5.86%E +0.732%K +0.837%G +0.049% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.39%EV -6.05%E -4.09%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51%EV +0.128%E +0.030%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.10%EV +5.86%E +0.732%K +0.837%G +0.049% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.39%EV -6.05%E -4.09%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51%EV +0.128%E +0.030%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.10%EV +5.86%E +0.732%K +0.837%G +0.049% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.39%EV -6.05%E -4.09%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51%EV +0.128%E +0.030%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 7.51I 13.32%NM 12.82%EV -0.625%E -0.083%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.76%EV -4.14%E -2.74%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.42%EV -4.30%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -0.758%E -0.101%K -0.117%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.12%EV -7.32%E -5.01%K -15.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.86%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 17:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -0.758%E -0.101%K -0.117%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.27%EV -7.95%E -5.48%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -6.86%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -0.758%E -0.101%K -0.117%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.59%EV -9.22%E -6.45%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -6.86%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.88%EV -3.40%E -0.466%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.69%EV -4.78%E -3.18%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -10.35%E -2.69%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.88%EV -3.40%E -0.466%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.69%EV -4.78%E -3.18%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -10.35%E -2.69%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.12%EV -4.73%E -0.657%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.84%EV -6.05%E -4.09%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -4.53%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 7.17I 13.95%NM 13.39%EV -5.12%E -0.715%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.32%EV -2.24%E -1.45%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.30%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.14%EV -6.05%E -0.852%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.05%EV -6.05%E -4.09%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.81%EV -8.72%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.52%EV -7.37%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.95%EV -6.05%E -4.09%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -2.20%E -0.524%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.50%EV -7.37%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.44%EV -5.41%E -3.63%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -4.53%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -7.37%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.60%EV -6.05%E -4.09%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -4.53%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -7.37%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.75%EV -6.68%E -4.55%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -4.53%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 17:53 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.37%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.23%EV -6.05%E -4.09%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.86%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -7.37%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -8.59%E -5.96%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -6.86%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-30 17:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -7.37%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.58%EV -7.32%E -5.01%K -15.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -12.68%E -3.38%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -7.37%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.90%EV -8.59%E -5.96%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -12.68%E -3.38%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -7.37%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%EV -11.13%E -7.95%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -7.37%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%EV -11.13%E -7.95%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.95%EV -10.68%E -1.58%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.63%EV -6.05%E -4.09%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.42%EV -2.20%E -0.524%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -10.68%E -1.58%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.38%EV -2.87%E -1.88%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -10.68%E -1.58%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.38%EV -2.87%E -1.88%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.70%EV -10.68%E -1.58%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.64%EV -4.78%E -3.18%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -12.68%E -3.38%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.45%EV -10.68%E -1.58%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.34%EV -6.05%E -4.09%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -16.17%E -4.49%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.26%EV -10.68%E -1.58%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.05%EV -9.86%E -6.94%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 23.69%EV -11.98%E -3.17%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-30 17:53 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.04%EV -10.68%E -1.58%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.85%EV -11.13%E -7.95%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.11%EV -15.01%E -4.11%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-30 17:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.26%EV -12.67%E -1.92%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 63.41%EV -12.39%E -8.98%K -32.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -12.68%E -3.38%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -13.99%E -2.15%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.43%EV -5.41%E -3.63%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -6.86%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -13.99%E -2.15%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.59%E -5.96%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -6.86%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.56%EV -13.99%E -2.15%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.94%EV -11.13%E -7.95%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%EV -12.68%E -3.38%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.35%EV -15.31%E -2.39%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.83%EV -4.14%E -2.74%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -13.84%E -3.74%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.34%EV -17.30%E -2.77%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.68%EV -9.22%E -6.45%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -9.19%E -2.36%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.56%EV -19.28%E -3.16%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.42%EV -6.68%E -4.55%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.02%EV -17.34%E -4.88%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.56%EV -19.28%E -3.16%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.42%EV -6.68%E -4.55%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.02%EV -17.34%E -4.88%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.53%EV -20.61%E -3.43%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.55%EV -8.59%E -5.96%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.91%EV -18.50%E -5.29%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.54% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.84% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.54% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.84% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.54% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.84% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.73% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.81% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46% | 1.5% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.68% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.00% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.32% | 2.8% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |