Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Banfield v River Plate

Início: 2026-08-30 18:00 UTC

Final: Banfield 2–3 River Plate

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

38 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Banfield (Local)

Previsão 13.23%7.56odd justa
EV +5.86%
Vantagem +0.732%
Kelly +0.837%
Crescimento +0.049%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
12.10%13.27%13.16%14.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
6.006.957.008.0016.67%14.38%14.29%12.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

River Plate (Visitante)

Previsão 63.48%1.58odd justa
EV -2.24%
Vantagem -1.45%
Kelly -4.14%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.54

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.42%63.37%63.54%65.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.381.471.481.5472.46%68.22%67.57%64.94%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 23.29%4.29odd justa
EV +0.128%
Vantagem +0.030%
Kelly +0.039%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.42%23.37%23.29%25.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.503.913.914.3028.57%25.58%25.58%23.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Banfield (Local): 13.23%; River Plate (Visitante): 63.48%; Empate: 23.29%. Para Banfield (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 7.56. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 8.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +5.86%.

Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 12.10%EV +5.86%E +0.732%K +0.837%G +0.049%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.39%EV -6.05%E -4.09%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51%EV +0.128%E +0.030%K +0.039%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-30 17:50
BetOnline.ag🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 12.10%EV +5.86%E +0.732%K +0.837%G +0.049%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.39%EV -6.05%E -4.09%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51%EV +0.128%E +0.030%K +0.039%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-30 17:50
BetAnything🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 12.10%EV +5.86%E +0.732%K +0.837%G +0.049%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.39%EV -6.05%E -4.09%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51%EV +0.128%E +0.030%K +0.039%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-30 17:50
Pinnacle🎯7.51I 13.32%NM 12.82%EV -0.625%E -0.083%K -0.096%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.76%EV -4.14%E -2.74%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.42%EV -4.30%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-30 17:45
SportsBet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -0.758%E -0.101%K -0.117%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.12%EV -7.32%E -5.01%K -15.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.86%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 17:49
Betway🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -0.758%E -0.101%K -0.117%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.27%EV -7.95%E -5.48%K -17.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -6.86%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 17:50
FanDuel🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -0.758%E -0.101%K -0.117%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.59%EV -9.22%E -6.45%K -21.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -6.86%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 17:45
NordicBet🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 12.88%EV -3.40%E -0.466%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.69%EV -4.78%E -3.18%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -10.35%E -2.69%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 17:50
Betsson🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 12.88%EV -3.40%E -0.466%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.69%EV -4.78%E -3.18%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -10.35%E -2.69%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 17:55
Codere (IT)🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 13.12%EV -4.73%E -0.657%K -0.762%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.84%EV -6.05%E -4.09%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -4.53%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 17:50
1xBet🎯7.17I 13.95%NM 13.39%EV -5.12%E -0.715%K -0.830%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.32%EV -2.24%E -1.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.30%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 17:55
Marathon Bet🎯7.10I 14.08%NM 13.14%EV -6.05%E -0.852%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.05%EV -6.05%E -4.09%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.81%EV -8.72%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 17:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.52%EV -7.37%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.95%EV -6.05%E -4.09%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -2.20%E -0.524%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 17:50
DraftKings🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.50%EV -7.37%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.44%EV -5.41%E -3.63%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -4.53%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 17:45
Fanatics🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -7.37%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.60%EV -6.05%E -4.09%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -4.53%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 17:50
Bovada🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -7.37%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.75%EV -6.68%E -4.55%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -4.53%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 17:53
Unibet (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.37%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.23%EV -6.05%E -4.09%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.86%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 17:50
BoyleSports🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -7.37%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -8.59%E -5.96%K -19.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -6.86%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 17:49
Bet Right🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -7.37%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.58%EV -7.32%E -5.01%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -12.68%E -3.38%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-30 17:55
betfred_uk🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -7.37%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.90%EV -8.59%E -5.96%K -19.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -12.68%E -3.38%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 17:55
Paddy Power🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -7.37%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%EV -11.13%E -7.95%K -27.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-30 17:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -7.37%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%EV -11.13%E -7.95%K -27.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-30 17:50
BetMGM🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.95%EV -10.68%E -1.58%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.63%EV -6.05%E -4.09%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.42%EV -2.20%E -0.524%K -0.688%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -10.68%E -1.58%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.38%EV -2.87%E -1.88%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 17:45
Unibet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -10.68%E -1.58%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.38%EV -2.87%E -1.88%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 17:45
PlayUp🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.70%EV -10.68%E -1.58%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.64%EV -4.78%E -3.18%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -12.68%E -3.38%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-30 17:55
Betr (AU)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.45%EV -10.68%E -1.58%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.34%EV -6.05%E -4.09%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -16.17%E -4.49%K -6.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-30 17:55
Betclic (FR)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.26%EV -10.68%E -1.58%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.05%EV -9.86%E -6.94%K -23.47%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.69%EV -11.98%E -3.17%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-30 17:53
NetBet (FR)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.04%EV -10.68%E -1.58%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.85%EV -11.13%E -7.95%K -27.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.11%EV -15.01%E -4.11%K -5.66%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-30 17:49
Unibet (FR)🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 13.26%EV -12.67%E -1.92%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 63.41%EV -12.39%E -8.98%K -32.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -12.68%E -3.38%K -4.61%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-30 17:50
theScore Bet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -13.99%E -2.15%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.43%EV -5.41%E -3.63%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -6.86%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 17:50
Winamax (DE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -13.99%E -2.15%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.59%E -5.96%K -19.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -6.86%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 17:50
Sky Bet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.56%EV -13.99%E -2.15%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.94%EV -11.13%E -7.95%K -27.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%EV -12.68%E -3.38%K -4.61%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-30 17:45
BetRivers🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.35%EV -15.31%E -2.39%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.83%EV -4.14%E -2.74%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -13.84%E -3.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 17:40
Winamax (FR)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.34%EV -17.30%E -2.77%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.68%EV -9.22%E -6.45%K -21.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -9.19%E -2.36%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-30 17:50
LiveScore Bet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.56%EV -19.28%E -3.16%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 60.42%EV -6.68%E -4.55%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.02%EV -17.34%E -4.88%K -6.80%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-30 17:40
Virgin Bet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.56%EV -19.28%E -3.16%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 60.42%EV -6.68%E -4.55%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.02%EV -17.34%E -4.88%K -6.80%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-30 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.53%EV -20.61%E -3.43%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.55%EV -8.59%E -5.96%K -19.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.91%EV -18.50%E -5.29%K -7.40%G +0.000%14.7%2026-08-30 17:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎8.60I 11.63%NM 11.54%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.84%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-08-30 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎8.60I 11.63%NM 11.54%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.84%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-08-30 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎8.60I 11.63%NM 11.54%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.84%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-08-30 17:50
Smarkets◎8.40I 11.90%NM 11.73%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.81%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46%1.5%2026-08-30 17:55
Kalshi◎8.33I 12.00%NM 11.68%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.00%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.32%2.8%2026-08-30 17:45