Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Banfield v River Plate

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-30 18:00 UTC

Score final : Banfield 2–3 River Plate

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Banfield (Local)

Prévision 13.23%7.56cote équitable
EV +5.86%
Avantage +0.732%
Kelly +0.837%
Croissance +0.049%

avec la cote maximale 8.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.10%13.27%13.16%14.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.006.957.008.0016.67%14.38%14.29%12.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

River Plate (Visiteur)

Prévision 63.48%1.58cote équitable
EV -2.24%
Avantage -1.45%
Kelly -4.14%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.42%63.37%63.54%65.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.381.471.481.5472.46%68.22%67.57%64.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.29%4.29cote équitable
EV +0.128%
Avantage +0.030%
Kelly +0.039%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.42%23.37%23.29%25.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.913.914.3028.57%25.58%25.58%23.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Banfield (Local) : 13.23% ; River Plate (Visiteur) : 63.48% ; Match nul : 23.29%. Pour Banfield (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 7.56. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 8.00, soit une espérance positive de +5.86%.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 12.10%EV +5.86%E +0.732%K +0.837%G +0.049%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.39%EV -6.05%E -4.09%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51%EV +0.128%E +0.030%K +0.039%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-30 17:50
BetOnline.ag🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 12.10%EV +5.86%E +0.732%K +0.837%G +0.049%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.39%EV -6.05%E -4.09%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51%EV +0.128%E +0.030%K +0.039%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-30 17:50
BetAnything🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 12.10%EV +5.86%E +0.732%K +0.837%G +0.049%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.39%EV -6.05%E -4.09%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51%EV +0.128%E +0.030%K +0.039%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-30 17:50
Pinnacle🎯7.51I 13.32%NM 12.82%EV -0.625%E -0.083%K -0.096%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.76%EV -4.14%E -2.74%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.42%EV -4.30%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-30 17:45
SportsBet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -0.758%E -0.101%K -0.117%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.12%EV -7.32%E -5.01%K -15.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.86%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 17:49
Betway🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -0.758%E -0.101%K -0.117%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.27%EV -7.95%E -5.48%K -17.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -6.86%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 17:50
FanDuel🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -0.758%E -0.101%K -0.117%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.59%EV -9.22%E -6.45%K -21.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -6.86%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 17:45
NordicBet🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 12.88%EV -3.40%E -0.466%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.69%EV -4.78%E -3.18%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -10.35%E -2.69%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 17:50
Betsson🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 12.88%EV -3.40%E -0.466%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.69%EV -4.78%E -3.18%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -10.35%E -2.69%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 17:55
Codere (IT)🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 13.12%EV -4.73%E -0.657%K -0.762%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.84%EV -6.05%E -4.09%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -4.53%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 17:50
1xBet🎯7.17I 13.95%NM 13.39%EV -5.12%E -0.715%K -0.830%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.32%EV -2.24%E -1.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.30%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 17:55
Marathon Bet🎯7.10I 14.08%NM 13.14%EV -6.05%E -0.852%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.05%EV -6.05%E -4.09%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.81%EV -8.72%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 17:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.52%EV -7.37%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.95%EV -6.05%E -4.09%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -2.20%E -0.524%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 17:50
DraftKings🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.50%EV -7.37%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.44%EV -5.41%E -3.63%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -4.53%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 17:45
Fanatics🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -7.37%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.60%EV -6.05%E -4.09%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -4.53%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 17:50
Bovada🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -7.37%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.75%EV -6.68%E -4.55%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -4.53%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 17:53
Unibet (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.37%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.23%EV -6.05%E -4.09%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.86%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 17:50
BoyleSports🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -7.37%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -8.59%E -5.96%K -19.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -6.86%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 17:49
Bet Right🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -7.37%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.58%EV -7.32%E -5.01%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -12.68%E -3.38%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-30 17:55
betfred_uk🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -7.37%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.90%EV -8.59%E -5.96%K -19.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -12.68%E -3.38%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 17:55
Paddy Power🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -7.37%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%EV -11.13%E -7.95%K -27.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-30 17:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -7.37%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%EV -11.13%E -7.95%K -27.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-30 17:50
BetMGM🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.95%EV -10.68%E -1.58%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.63%EV -6.05%E -4.09%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.42%EV -2.20%E -0.524%K -0.688%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -10.68%E -1.58%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.38%EV -2.87%E -1.88%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 17:45
Unibet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -10.68%E -1.58%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.38%EV -2.87%E -1.88%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 17:45
PlayUp🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.70%EV -10.68%E -1.58%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.64%EV -4.78%E -3.18%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -12.68%E -3.38%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-30 17:55
Betr (AU)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.45%EV -10.68%E -1.58%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.34%EV -6.05%E -4.09%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -16.17%E -4.49%K -6.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-30 17:55
Betclic (FR)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.26%EV -10.68%E -1.58%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.05%EV -9.86%E -6.94%K -23.47%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.69%EV -11.98%E -3.17%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-30 17:53
NetBet (FR)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.04%EV -10.68%E -1.58%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.85%EV -11.13%E -7.95%K -27.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.11%EV -15.01%E -4.11%K -5.66%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-30 17:49
Unibet (FR)🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 13.26%EV -12.67%E -1.92%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 63.41%EV -12.39%E -8.98%K -32.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -12.68%E -3.38%K -4.61%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-30 17:50
theScore Bet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -13.99%E -2.15%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.43%EV -5.41%E -3.63%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -6.86%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 17:50
Winamax (DE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -13.99%E -2.15%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.59%E -5.96%K -19.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -6.86%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 17:50
Sky Bet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.56%EV -13.99%E -2.15%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.94%EV -11.13%E -7.95%K -27.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%EV -12.68%E -3.38%K -4.61%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-30 17:45
BetRivers🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.35%EV -15.31%E -2.39%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.83%EV -4.14%E -2.74%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -13.84%E -3.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 17:40
Winamax (FR)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.34%EV -17.30%E -2.77%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.68%EV -9.22%E -6.45%K -21.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -9.19%E -2.36%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-30 17:50
LiveScore Bet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.56%EV -19.28%E -3.16%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 60.42%EV -6.68%E -4.55%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.02%EV -17.34%E -4.88%K -6.80%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-30 17:40
Virgin Bet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.56%EV -19.28%E -3.16%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 60.42%EV -6.68%E -4.55%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.02%EV -17.34%E -4.88%K -6.80%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-30 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.53%EV -20.61%E -3.43%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.55%EV -8.59%E -5.96%K -19.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.91%EV -18.50%E -5.29%K -7.40%G +0.000%14.7%2026-08-30 17:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎8.60I 11.63%NM 11.54%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.84%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-08-30 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎8.60I 11.63%NM 11.54%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.84%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-08-30 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎8.60I 11.63%NM 11.54%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.84%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-08-30 17:50
Smarkets◎8.40I 11.90%NM 11.73%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.81%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46%1.5%2026-08-30 17:55
Kalshi◎8.33I 12.00%NM 11.68%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.00%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.32%2.8%2026-08-30 17:45