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Banfield v River Plate
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Banfield (Local)
Predicción 13.23%7.56momio equitativo
EV +5.86%
Ventaja +0.732%
Kelly +0.837%
Crecimiento +0.049%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.10%13.27%13.16%14.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
6.006.957.008.0016.67%14.38%14.29%12.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
River Plate (Visitante)
Predicción 63.48%1.58momio equitativo
EV -2.24%
Ventaja -1.45%
Kelly -4.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.54
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.42%63.37%63.54%65.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.381.471.481.5472.46%68.22%67.57%64.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 23.29%4.29momio equitativo
EV +0.128%
Ventaja +0.030%
Kelly +0.039%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.42%23.37%23.29%25.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.503.913.914.3028.57%25.58%25.58%23.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Banfield (Local): 13.23%; River Plate (Visitante): 63.48%; Empate: 23.29%. Para Banfield (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 7.56. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 8.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +5.86%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.10%EV +5.86%E +0.732%K +0.837%G +0.049% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.39%EV -6.05%E -4.09%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51%EV +0.128%E +0.030%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.10%EV +5.86%E +0.732%K +0.837%G +0.049% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.39%EV -6.05%E -4.09%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51%EV +0.128%E +0.030%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.10%EV +5.86%E +0.732%K +0.837%G +0.049% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.39%EV -6.05%E -4.09%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51%EV +0.128%E +0.030%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 7.51I 13.32%NM 12.82%EV -0.625%E -0.083%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.76%EV -4.14%E -2.74%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.42%EV -4.30%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -0.758%E -0.101%K -0.117%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.12%EV -7.32%E -5.01%K -15.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.86%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 17:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -0.758%E -0.101%K -0.117%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.27%EV -7.95%E -5.48%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -6.86%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -0.758%E -0.101%K -0.117%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.59%EV -9.22%E -6.45%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -6.86%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.88%EV -3.40%E -0.466%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.69%EV -4.78%E -3.18%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -10.35%E -2.69%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.88%EV -3.40%E -0.466%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.69%EV -4.78%E -3.18%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -10.35%E -2.69%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.12%EV -4.73%E -0.657%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.84%EV -6.05%E -4.09%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -4.53%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 7.17I 13.95%NM 13.39%EV -5.12%E -0.715%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.32%EV -2.24%E -1.45%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.30%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.14%EV -6.05%E -0.852%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.05%EV -6.05%E -4.09%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.81%EV -8.72%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.52%EV -7.37%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.95%EV -6.05%E -4.09%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -2.20%E -0.524%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.50%EV -7.37%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.44%EV -5.41%E -3.63%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -4.53%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -7.37%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.60%EV -6.05%E -4.09%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -4.53%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -7.37%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.75%EV -6.68%E -4.55%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -4.53%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 17:53 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.37%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.23%EV -6.05%E -4.09%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.86%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -7.37%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -8.59%E -5.96%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -6.86%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-30 17:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -7.37%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.58%EV -7.32%E -5.01%K -15.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -12.68%E -3.38%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -7.37%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.90%EV -8.59%E -5.96%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -12.68%E -3.38%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -7.37%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%EV -11.13%E -7.95%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -7.37%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%EV -11.13%E -7.95%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.95%EV -10.68%E -1.58%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.63%EV -6.05%E -4.09%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.42%EV -2.20%E -0.524%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -10.68%E -1.58%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.38%EV -2.87%E -1.88%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -10.68%E -1.58%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.38%EV -2.87%E -1.88%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.70%EV -10.68%E -1.58%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.64%EV -4.78%E -3.18%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -12.68%E -3.38%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.45%EV -10.68%E -1.58%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.34%EV -6.05%E -4.09%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -16.17%E -4.49%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.26%EV -10.68%E -1.58%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.05%EV -9.86%E -6.94%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 23.69%EV -11.98%E -3.17%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-30 17:53 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.04%EV -10.68%E -1.58%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.85%EV -11.13%E -7.95%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.11%EV -15.01%E -4.11%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-30 17:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.26%EV -12.67%E -1.92%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 63.41%EV -12.39%E -8.98%K -32.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -12.68%E -3.38%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -13.99%E -2.15%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.43%EV -5.41%E -3.63%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -6.86%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -13.99%E -2.15%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.59%E -5.96%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -6.86%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.56%EV -13.99%E -2.15%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.94%EV -11.13%E -7.95%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%EV -12.68%E -3.38%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.35%EV -15.31%E -2.39%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.83%EV -4.14%E -2.74%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -13.84%E -3.74%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.34%EV -17.30%E -2.77%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.68%EV -9.22%E -6.45%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -9.19%E -2.36%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.56%EV -19.28%E -3.16%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.42%EV -6.68%E -4.55%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.02%EV -17.34%E -4.88%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.56%EV -19.28%E -3.16%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.42%EV -6.68%E -4.55%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.02%EV -17.34%E -4.88%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.53%EV -20.61%E -3.43%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.55%EV -8.59%E -5.96%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.91%EV -18.50%E -5.29%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.54% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.84% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.54% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.84% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.54% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.84% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.73% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.81% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46% | 1.5% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.68% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.00% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.32% | 2.8% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |