Language:English
Banfield v Gimnasia La Plata
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Banfield (Local)
Prediction 40.90%2.45fair odd
EV -2.67%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -1.93%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.25%40.89%40.97%42.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.262.302.3847.62%44.21%43.48%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Gimnasia La Plata (Visit)
Prediction 27.41%3.65fair odd
EV +1.16%
Edge +0.314%
Kelly +0.431%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 3.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.93%27.38%27.41%29.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.323.333.6935.71%30.14%30.08%27.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.69%3.16fair odd
EV +1.41%
Edge +0.440%
Kelly +0.639%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.50%31.72%31.62%33.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.932.923.2037.04%34.07%34.31%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Banfield (Local): 40.90%; Gimnasia La Plata (Visit): 27.41%; Draw: 31.69%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.16. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.41%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.33%EV -8.80%E -3.95%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -8.16%E -2.44%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV +1.41%E +0.440%K +0.639%G +0.009% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.33%EV -8.80%E -3.95%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -8.16%E -2.44%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV +1.41%E +0.440%K +0.639%G +0.009% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -8.16%E -2.44%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -0.178%E -0.056%K -0.083%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -10.03%E -4.56%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -0.178%E -0.056%K -0.083%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.14%EV -11.67%E -5.40%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.90%E -3.35%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -3.35%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.14%EV -11.67%E -5.40%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.90%E -3.35%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -3.35%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.93%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.10%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -5.42%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.93%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-11 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -4.93%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 18:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -12.27%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -4.93%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 20:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -4.93%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 19:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -15.01%E -4.84%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -4.93%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.05%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -6.52%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.52%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 19:48 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.52%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 19:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -6.52%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 18:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -13.64%E -4.33%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -6.52%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -10.03%E -4.56%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -10.90%E -3.35%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -6.52%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-11 19:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -2.67%E -1.12%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.22%EV +1.16%E +0.314%K +0.431%G +0.005% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.13%EV -7.47%E -2.56%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.85%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV +0.612%E +0.167%K +0.229%G +0.001% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.99%EV -7.78%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.10%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-11 20:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -15.01%E -4.84%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.10%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -17.76%E -5.92%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -8.10%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.02%EV -5.12%E -2.21%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.93%EV +0.612%E +0.167%K +0.229%G +0.001% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.05%EV -8.73%E -3.03%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.02%EV -5.12%E -2.21%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.93%EV +0.612%E +0.167%K +0.229%G +0.001% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.05%EV -8.73%E -3.03%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -8.73%E -3.03%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -8.73%E -3.03%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -10.03%E -4.56%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -4.05%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -8.73%E -3.03%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-11 02:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -17.76%E -5.92%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -8.73%E -3.03%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.73%EV -6.35%E -2.77%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -4.05%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.62%EV -9.37%E -3.28%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.05%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -9.68%E -3.40%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.56%EV -12.07%E -5.62%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -9.68%E -3.40%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-11 20:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.50%EV -12.07%E -5.62%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 27.20%EV -10.08%E -3.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.30%EV -9.68%E -3.40%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-11 20:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.61%EV -14.12%E -6.72%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -13.64%E -4.33%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.66%EV -9.68%E -3.40%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-11 19:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.27%E -4.02%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 40.92%EV -13.30%E -6.27%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.54%EV -13.64%E -4.33%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.54%EV -12.85%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.25%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -21.05%E -7.31%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -14.44%E -5.35%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.56%EV -14.12%E -6.72%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.67%EV -23.24%E -8.30%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.77%EV -14.44%E -5.35%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.56% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72% | 1.0% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.41% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31% | 1.5% | 2026-03-11 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.41% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31% | 1.5% | 2026-03-11 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.41% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31% | 1.5% | 2026-03-11 19:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.41% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31% | 1.5% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.04% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.40% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.56% | 2.4% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |