La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Banfield v Gimnasia La Plata
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Banfield (Local)
Predicción 40.90%2.45momio equitativo
EV -2.67%
Ventaja -1.12%
Kelly -1.93%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.25%40.89%40.97%42.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.262.302.3847.62%44.21%43.48%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Gimnasia La Plata (Visitante)
Predicción 27.41%3.65momio equitativo
EV +1.16%
Ventaja +0.314%
Kelly +0.431%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.69
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.93%27.38%27.41%29.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.323.333.6935.71%30.14%30.08%27.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 31.69%3.16momio equitativo
EV +1.41%
Ventaja +0.440%
Kelly +0.639%
Crecimiento +0.009%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.50%31.72%31.62%33.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.932.923.2037.04%34.07%34.31%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.33%EV -8.80%E -3.95%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -8.16%E -2.44%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV +1.41%E +0.440%K +0.639%G +0.009% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.33%EV -8.80%E -3.95%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -8.16%E -2.44%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV +1.41%E +0.440%K +0.639%G +0.009% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| BetRivers | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -8.16%E -2.44%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -0.178%E -0.056%K -0.083%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -10.03%E -4.56%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -0.178%E -0.056%K -0.083%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.14%EV -11.67%E -5.40%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.90%E -3.35%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -3.35%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.14%EV -11.67%E -5.40%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.90%E -3.35%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -3.35%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| Fanatics | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.93%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.10%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -5.42%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.93%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-11 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -4.93%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 18:50 |
| FanDuel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -12.27%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -4.93%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 20:24 |
| theScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -4.93%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 19:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -15.01%E -4.84%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -4.93%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| DraftKings | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.05%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -6.52%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Bovada | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.52%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 19:48 |
| BetAnything | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.52%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 19:50 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -6.52%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 18:49 |
| Bet Right | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -13.64%E -4.33%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -6.52%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -10.03%E -4.56%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -10.90%E -3.35%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -6.52%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-11 19:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -2.67%E -1.12%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.22%EV +1.16%E +0.314%K +0.431%G +0.005% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.13%EV -7.47%E -2.56%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| 1xBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.85%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV +0.612%E +0.167%K +0.229%G +0.001% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.99%EV -7.78%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.10%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-11 20:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -15.01%E -4.84%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.10%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -17.76%E -5.92%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -8.10%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.02%EV -5.12%E -2.21%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.93%EV +0.612%E +0.167%K +0.229%G +0.001% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.05%EV -8.73%E -3.03%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.02%EV -5.12%E -2.21%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.93%EV +0.612%E +0.167%K +0.229%G +0.001% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.05%EV -8.73%E -3.03%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| NordicBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -8.73%E -3.03%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| Betsson | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -8.73%E -3.03%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| BoyleSports | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -10.03%E -4.56%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -4.05%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -8.73%E -3.03%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-11 02:35 |
| Sky Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -17.76%E -5.92%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -8.73%E -3.03%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.73%EV -6.35%E -2.77%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -4.05%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.62%EV -9.37%E -3.28%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| Everygame | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.05%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -9.68%E -3.40%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.56%EV -12.07%E -5.62%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -9.68%E -3.40%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-11 20:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.50%EV -12.07%E -5.62%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 27.20%EV -10.08%E -3.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.30%EV -9.68%E -3.40%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-11 20:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.61%EV -14.12%E -6.72%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -13.64%E -4.33%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.66%EV -9.68%E -3.40%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-11 19:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.27%E -4.02%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 40.92%EV -13.30%E -6.27%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.54%EV -13.64%E -4.33%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.54%EV -12.85%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.25%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -21.05%E -7.31%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -14.44%E -5.35%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.56%EV -14.12%E -6.72%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.67%EV -23.24%E -8.30%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.77%EV -14.44%E -5.35%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.56% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72% | 1.0% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.41% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31% | 1.5% | 2026-03-11 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.41% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31% | 1.5% | 2026-03-11 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.41% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31% | 1.5% | 2026-03-11 19:50 |
| Matchbook | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.41% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31% | 1.5% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.04% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.40% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.56% | 2.4% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |