L’École des cotesFrançais
Banfield v Gimnasia La Plata
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Banfield (Local)
Prévision 40.90%2.45cote équitable
EV -2.67%
Avantage -1.12%
Kelly -1.93%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.38
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.25%40.89%40.97%42.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.262.302.3847.62%44.21%43.48%42.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Gimnasia La Plata (Visiteur)
Prévision 27.41%3.65cote équitable
EV +1.16%
Avantage +0.314%
Kelly +0.431%
Croissance +0.005%
avec la cote maximale 3.69
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.93%27.38%27.41%29.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.323.333.6935.71%30.14%30.08%27.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 31.69%3.16cote équitable
EV +1.41%
Avantage +0.440%
Kelly +0.639%
Croissance +0.009%
avec la cote maximale 3.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.50%31.72%31.62%33.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.932.923.2037.04%34.07%34.31%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.33%EV -8.80%E -3.95%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -8.16%E -2.44%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV +1.41%E +0.440%K +0.639%G +0.009% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.33%EV -8.80%E -3.95%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -8.16%E -2.44%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV +1.41%E +0.440%K +0.639%G +0.009% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| BetRivers | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -8.16%E -2.44%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -0.178%E -0.056%K -0.083%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -10.03%E -4.56%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -0.178%E -0.056%K -0.083%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.14%EV -11.67%E -5.40%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.90%E -3.35%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -3.35%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.14%EV -11.67%E -5.40%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.90%E -3.35%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -3.35%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| Fanatics | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.93%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.10%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -5.42%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.93%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-11 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -4.93%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 18:50 |
| FanDuel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -12.27%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -4.93%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 20:24 |
| theScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -4.93%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 19:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -15.01%E -4.84%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -4.93%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| DraftKings | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.05%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -6.52%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Bovada | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.52%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 19:48 |
| BetAnything | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.52%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 19:50 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -6.52%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 18:49 |
| Bet Right | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -13.64%E -4.33%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -6.52%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -10.03%E -4.56%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -10.90%E -3.35%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -6.52%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-11 19:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -2.67%E -1.12%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.22%EV +1.16%E +0.314%K +0.431%G +0.005% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.13%EV -7.47%E -2.56%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| 1xBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.85%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV +0.612%E +0.167%K +0.229%G +0.001% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.99%EV -7.78%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.10%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-11 20:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -15.01%E -4.84%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.10%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -17.76%E -5.92%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -8.10%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.02%EV -5.12%E -2.21%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.93%EV +0.612%E +0.167%K +0.229%G +0.001% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.05%EV -8.73%E -3.03%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.02%EV -5.12%E -2.21%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.93%EV +0.612%E +0.167%K +0.229%G +0.001% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.05%EV -8.73%E -3.03%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| NordicBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -8.73%E -3.03%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| Betsson | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -8.73%E -3.03%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| BoyleSports | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -10.03%E -4.56%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -4.05%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -8.73%E -3.03%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-11 02:35 |
| Sky Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -17.76%E -5.92%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -8.73%E -3.03%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.73%EV -6.35%E -2.77%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -4.05%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.62%EV -9.37%E -3.28%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| Everygame | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.05%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -9.68%E -3.40%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.56%EV -12.07%E -5.62%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -9.68%E -3.40%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-11 20:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.50%EV -12.07%E -5.62%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 27.20%EV -10.08%E -3.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.30%EV -9.68%E -3.40%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-11 20:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.61%EV -14.12%E -6.72%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -13.64%E -4.33%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.66%EV -9.68%E -3.40%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-11 19:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.27%E -4.02%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 40.92%EV -13.30%E -6.27%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.54%EV -13.64%E -4.33%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.54%EV -12.85%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.25%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -21.05%E -7.31%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -14.44%E -5.35%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.56%EV -14.12%E -6.72%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.67%EV -23.24%E -8.30%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.77%EV -14.44%E -5.35%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.56% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72% | 1.0% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.41% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31% | 1.5% | 2026-03-11 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.41% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31% | 1.5% | 2026-03-11 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.41% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31% | 1.5% | 2026-03-11 19:50 |
| Matchbook | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.41% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31% | 1.5% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.04% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.40% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.56% | 2.4% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |