La scuola delle quote

Banfield v Gimnasia La Plata

Inizio: 2026-03-11 20:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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38 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Banfield (Casa)

Previsione 40.90%2.45quota equa
EV -2.67%
Vantaggio -1.12%
Kelly -1.93%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.25%40.89%40.97%42.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.262.302.3847.62%44.21%43.48%42.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Gimnasia La Plata (Trasferta)

Previsione 27.41%3.65quota equa
EV +1.16%
Vantaggio +0.314%
Kelly +0.431%
Crescita +0.005%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.69

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.93%27.38%27.41%29.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.323.333.6935.71%30.14%30.08%27.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 31.69%3.16quota equa
EV +1.41%
Vantaggio +0.440%
Kelly +0.639%
Crescita +0.009%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.50%31.72%31.62%33.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.932.923.2037.04%34.07%34.31%31.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.33%EV -8.80%E -3.95%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -8.16%E -2.44%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV +1.41%E +0.440%K +0.639%G +0.009%5.9%2026-03-11 20:25
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.33%EV -8.80%E -3.95%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -8.16%E -2.44%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV +1.41%E +0.440%K +0.639%G +0.009%5.9%2026-03-11 20:25
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -8.16%E -2.44%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -0.178%E -0.056%K -0.083%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 20:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -10.03%E -4.56%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -0.178%E -0.056%K -0.083%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-11 20:25
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.14%EV -11.67%E -5.40%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.90%E -3.35%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -3.35%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-11 20:25
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.14%EV -11.67%E -5.40%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.90%E -3.35%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -3.35%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-11 20:25
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.93%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 18:50
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.10%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -5.42%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.93%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -4.93%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-11 18:50
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -12.27%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -4.93%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-11 20:24
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -4.93%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 19:00
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -15.01%E -4.84%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -4.93%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-11 20:25
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.05%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -6.52%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-11 19:40
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.52%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 19:48
BetAnything2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.52%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 19:50
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -6.52%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 18:49
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -13.64%E -4.33%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -6.52%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-11 20:25
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -10.03%E -4.56%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -10.90%E -3.35%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -6.52%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-11 19:00
Pinnacle2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -2.67%E -1.12%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.22%EV +1.16%E +0.314%K +0.431%G +0.005%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.13%EV -7.47%E -2.56%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-11 20:25
1xBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.85%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV +0.612%E +0.167%K +0.229%G +0.001%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.99%EV -7.78%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-11 20:25
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.10%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-11 20:10
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -15.01%E -4.84%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.10%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-11 20:25
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -17.76%E -5.92%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -8.10%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-11 20:25
BetOnline.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 41.02%EV -5.12%E -2.21%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.93%EV +0.612%E +0.167%K +0.229%G +0.001%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.05%EV -8.73%E -3.03%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 20:25
LowVig.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 41.02%EV -5.12%E -2.21%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.93%EV +0.612%E +0.167%K +0.229%G +0.001%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.05%EV -8.73%E -3.03%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 20:25
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -8.73%E -3.03%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-11 20:25
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -8.73%E -3.03%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-11 20:25
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -10.03%E -4.56%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -4.05%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -8.73%E -3.03%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-11 02:35
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -17.76%E -5.92%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -8.73%E -3.03%K -4.65%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-11 20:25
Marathon Bet2.29I 43.67%NM 40.73%EV -6.35%E -2.77%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -4.05%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.62%EV -9.37%E -3.28%K -5.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 20:25
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.05%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -9.68%E -3.40%K -5.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-11 20:25
Parions Sport (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.56%EV -12.07%E -5.62%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -9.68%E -3.40%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-11 20:10
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.50%EV -12.07%E -5.62%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.20%EV -10.08%E -3.07%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.30%EV -9.68%E -3.40%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-11 20:09
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.61%EV -14.12%E -6.72%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -13.64%E -4.33%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.66%EV -9.68%E -3.40%K -5.23%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-11 19:00
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.27%E -4.02%K -6.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-11 20:25
NetBet (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 40.92%EV -13.30%E -6.27%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.54%EV -13.64%E -4.33%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.54%EV -12.85%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-11 20:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.25%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -21.05%E -7.31%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -14.44%E -5.35%K -8.49%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-11 20:25
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 39.56%EV -14.12%E -6.72%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.67%EV -23.24%E -8.30%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.77%EV -14.44%E -5.35%K -8.49%G +0.000%20.4%2026-03-11 20:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.56%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72%1.0%2026-03-11 20:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.41%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31%1.5%2026-03-11 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.41%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31%1.5%2026-03-11 19:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.41%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31%1.5%2026-03-11 19:50
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.41%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31%1.5%2026-03-11 20:25
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.04%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.40%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.56%2.4%2026-03-11 20:25