Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.67
assuming max odds 3.45
assuming max odds 2.92
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Banfield (Local): 37.89%; Barracas Central (Visit): 29.06%; Draw: 33.05%. For Banfield (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.64. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.67, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.17%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.25%EV +1.17%E +0.439%K +0.702%G +0.008% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.25%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.49%EV -4.50%E -1.56%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-14 21:46 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.18%EV -2.24%E -0.867%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.81%EV +0.265%E +0.077%K +0.108%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.01%EV -9.46%E -3.45%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -3.37%E -1.32%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -3.37%E -1.32%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.06%EV -3.75%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.60%EV -1.77%E -0.523%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.34%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.72%EV -3.75%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.77%EV -3.22%E -0.968%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.50%EV -5.49%E -1.92%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.72%EV -3.75%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.77%EV -3.22%E -0.968%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.50%EV -5.49%E -1.92%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-14 21:53 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.21%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.44%EV -8.16%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.35%EV -7.80%E -2.80%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -6.03%E -2.43%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.57%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.36%EV -3.51%E -1.20%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.57%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.36%EV -3.51%E -1.20%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -11.36%E -3.72%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-14 21:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -11.36%E -3.72%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.94%EV -7.92%E -3.26%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.43%EV -14.27%E -4.84%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.64%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.94%EV -7.92%E -3.26%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.43%EV -14.27%E -4.84%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.64%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -9.06%E -3.77%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.06%E -3.77%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -9.06%E -3.77%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -10.78%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -9.06%E -3.77%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -10.78%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -9.82%E -4.12%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -13.09%E -4.98%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.78%EV -9.82%E -4.12%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.19%EV -15.72%E -5.42%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.03%EV -12.43%E -4.69%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -10.95%E -4.66%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -10.95%E -4.66%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.79%EV -12.09%E -5.21%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%EV -11.36%E -3.72%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.46%EV -13.42%E -5.12%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.01%EV -14.74%E -6.55%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -12.43%E -4.69%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.33%EV -15.50%E -6.95%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 27.58%EV -7.58%E -2.38%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.09%EV -12.43%E -4.69%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-14 21:53 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.36% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93% | 0.3% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.64% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.67% | 1.0% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.06% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.66% | 1.0% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.06% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.66% | 1.0% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.19% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49% | 2.3% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |