Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Banfield v Barracas Central

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-14 22:00 UTC

Score final : Banfield 1–1 Barracas Central

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Banfield (Local)

Prévision 37.89%2.64cote équitable
EV +1.17%
Avantage +0.439%
Kelly +0.702%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 2.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.25%37.87%37.89%39.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.232.452.452.6744.84%40.79%40.82%37.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Barracas Central (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.06%3.44cote équitable
EV +0.265%
Avantage +0.077%
Kelly +0.108%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.58%29.12%29.05%30.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.903.163.153.4534.48%31.66%31.75%28.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 33.05%3.03cote équitable
EV -3.51%
Avantage -1.20%
Kelly -1.83%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.06%33.01%33.07%35.01%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.622.802.802.9238.17%35.75%35.71%34.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Banfield (Local) : 37.89% ; Barracas Central (Visiteur) : 29.06% ; Match nul : 33.05%. Pour Banfield (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.64. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.67, soit une espérance positive de +1.17%.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 36.25%EV +1.17%E +0.439%K +0.702%G +0.008%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.25%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.49%EV -4.50%E -1.56%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-14 21:46
1xBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.18%EV -2.24%E -0.867%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.81%EV +0.265%E +0.077%K +0.108%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.01%EV -9.46%E -3.45%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-14 21:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -3.37%E -1.32%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-14 21:50
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -3.37%E -1.32%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-14 21:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 38.06%EV -3.75%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.60%EV -1.77%E -0.523%K -0.743%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.34%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-14 21:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.72%EV -3.75%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.77%EV -3.22%E -0.968%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.50%EV -5.49%E -1.92%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 21:55
BetAnything🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.72%EV -3.75%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.77%EV -3.22%E -0.968%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.50%EV -5.49%E -1.92%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 21:55
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-14 21:53
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 21:55
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-14 21:55
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 21:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.21%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.44%EV -8.16%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.35%EV -7.80%E -2.80%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 21:55
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-14 21:55
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 21:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -6.03%E -2.43%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 21:55
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.57%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.36%EV -3.51%E -1.20%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 21:55
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.57%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.36%EV -3.51%E -1.20%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 21:55
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-14 21:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-14 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-14 21:55
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-14 21:55
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-14 21:55
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -11.36%E -3.72%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 21:40
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -11.36%E -3.72%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-14 21:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-14 21:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.94%EV -7.92%E -3.26%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.43%EV -14.27%E -4.84%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.64%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-14 21:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.94%EV -7.92%E -3.26%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.43%EV -14.27%E -4.84%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.64%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-14 21:50
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -9.06%E -3.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-14 21:55
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.06%E -3.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-14 21:55
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -9.06%E -3.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -10.78%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-14 21:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -9.06%E -3.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -10.78%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-14 21:55
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -9.82%E -4.12%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -13.09%E -4.98%K -8.03%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-14 21:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 36.78%EV -9.82%E -4.12%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.19%EV -15.72%E -5.42%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.03%EV -12.43%E -4.69%K -7.53%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-14 21:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -10.95%E -4.66%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-14 21:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -10.95%E -4.66%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-14 21:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 37.79%EV -12.09%E -5.21%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%EV -11.36%E -3.72%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.46%EV -13.42%E -5.12%K -8.28%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-14 21:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.01%EV -14.74%E -6.55%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -12.43%E -4.69%K -7.53%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-14 21:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.33%EV -15.50%E -6.95%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 27.58%EV -7.58%E -2.38%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.09%EV -12.43%E -4.69%K -7.53%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-14 21:53
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.36%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93%0.3%2026-09-14 21:55
Kalshi◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.64%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.67%1.0%2026-09-14 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.66%1.0%2026-09-14 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.66%1.0%2026-09-14 21:55
Smarkets◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.19%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%2.3%2026-09-14 21:55