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Banfield v Barracas Central
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Banfield (Local)
Predicción 37.89%2.64momio equitativo
EV +1.17%
Ventaja +0.439%
Kelly +0.702%
Crecimiento +0.008%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.67
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.25%37.87%37.89%39.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.232.452.452.6744.84%40.79%40.82%37.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Barracas Central (Visitante)
Predicción 29.06%3.44momio equitativo
EV +0.265%
Ventaja +0.077%
Kelly +0.108%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.58%29.12%29.05%30.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.903.163.153.4534.48%31.66%31.75%28.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 33.05%3.03momio equitativo
EV -3.51%
Ventaja -1.20%
Kelly -1.83%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.92
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.06%33.01%33.07%35.01%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.622.802.802.9238.17%35.75%35.71%34.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Banfield (Local): 37.89%; Barracas Central (Visitante): 29.06%; Empate: 33.05%. Para Banfield (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.64. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.67, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.17%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.25%EV +1.17%E +0.439%K +0.702%G +0.008% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.25%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.49%EV -4.50%E -1.56%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-14 21:46 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.18%EV -2.24%E -0.867%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.81%EV +0.265%E +0.077%K +0.108%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.01%EV -9.46%E -3.45%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -3.37%E -1.32%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -3.37%E -1.32%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.06%EV -3.75%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.60%EV -1.77%E -0.523%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.34%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.72%EV -3.75%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.77%EV -3.22%E -0.968%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.50%EV -5.49%E -1.92%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.72%EV -3.75%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.77%EV -3.22%E -0.968%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.50%EV -5.49%E -1.92%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-14 21:53 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.21%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.44%EV -8.16%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.35%EV -7.80%E -2.80%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -6.03%E -2.43%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.57%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.36%EV -3.51%E -1.20%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.57%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.36%EV -3.51%E -1.20%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -11.36%E -3.72%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-14 21:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -11.36%E -3.72%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.94%EV -7.92%E -3.26%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.43%EV -14.27%E -4.84%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.64%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.94%EV -7.92%E -3.26%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.43%EV -14.27%E -4.84%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.64%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -9.06%E -3.77%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.06%E -3.77%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -9.06%E -3.77%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -10.78%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -9.06%E -3.77%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -10.78%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -9.82%E -4.12%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -13.09%E -4.98%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.78%EV -9.82%E -4.12%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.19%EV -15.72%E -5.42%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.03%EV -12.43%E -4.69%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -10.95%E -4.66%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -10.95%E -4.66%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.79%EV -12.09%E -5.21%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%EV -11.36%E -3.72%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.46%EV -13.42%E -5.12%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.01%EV -14.74%E -6.55%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -12.43%E -4.69%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.33%EV -15.50%E -6.95%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 27.58%EV -7.58%E -2.38%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.09%EV -12.43%E -4.69%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-14 21:53 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.36% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93% | 0.3% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.64% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.67% | 1.0% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.06% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.66% | 1.0% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.06% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.66% | 1.0% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.19% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49% | 2.3% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |