默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Banfield v Barracas Central

开赛时间: 2026-09-14 22:00 UTC

最终结果: Banfield 1–1 Barracas Central

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

38 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Banfield (主队)

预测 37.89%2.64公平赔率
EV +1.17%
优势 +0.439%
Kelly +0.702%
增长率 +0.008%

假设最高赔率为 2.67

博彩公司预测分布
36.25%37.87%37.89%39.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.232.452.452.6744.84%40.79%40.82%37.45%最小值均值中位数最大值

Barracas Central (客队)

预测 29.06%3.44公平赔率
EV +0.265%
优势 +0.077%
Kelly +0.108%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.45

博彩公司预测分布
27.58%29.12%29.05%30.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.903.163.153.4534.48%31.66%31.75%28.99%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 33.05%3.03公平赔率
EV -3.51%
优势 -1.20%
Kelly -1.83%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.92

博彩公司预测分布
32.06%33.01%33.07%35.01%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.622.802.802.9238.17%35.75%35.71%34.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Banfield (主队):37.89%;Barracas Central (客队):29.06%;平局:33.05%。 对于“Banfield (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.64。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.67,对应+1.17%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (38 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 36.25%EV +1.17%E +0.439%K +0.702%G +0.008%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.25%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.49%EV -4.50%E -1.56%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-14 21:46
1xBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.18%EV -2.24%E -0.867%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.81%EV +0.265%E +0.077%K +0.108%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.01%EV -9.46%E -3.45%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-14 21:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -3.37%E -1.32%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-14 21:50
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -3.37%E -1.32%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-14 21:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 38.06%EV -3.75%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.60%EV -1.77%E -0.523%K -0.743%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.34%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-14 21:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.72%EV -3.75%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.77%EV -3.22%E -0.968%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.50%EV -5.49%E -1.92%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 21:55
BetAnything🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.72%EV -3.75%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.77%EV -3.22%E -0.968%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.50%EV -5.49%E -1.92%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 21:55
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-14 21:53
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 21:55
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-14 21:55
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 21:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.21%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.44%EV -8.16%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.35%EV -7.80%E -2.80%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 21:55
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-14 21:55
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 21:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -6.03%E -2.43%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 21:55
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.57%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.36%EV -3.51%E -1.20%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 21:55
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.57%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.36%EV -3.51%E -1.20%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 21:55
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-14 21:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-14 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-14 21:55
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-14 21:55
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-14 21:55
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -11.36%E -3.72%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 21:40
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -11.36%E -3.72%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-14 21:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-14 21:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.94%EV -7.92%E -3.26%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.43%EV -14.27%E -4.84%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.64%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-14 21:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.94%EV -7.92%E -3.26%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.43%EV -14.27%E -4.84%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.64%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-14 21:50
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -9.06%E -3.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-14 21:55
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.06%E -3.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-14 21:55
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -9.06%E -3.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -10.78%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-14 21:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -9.06%E -3.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -10.78%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-14 21:55
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -9.82%E -4.12%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -13.09%E -4.98%K -8.03%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-14 21:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 36.78%EV -9.82%E -4.12%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.19%EV -15.72%E -5.42%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.03%EV -12.43%E -4.69%K -7.53%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-14 21:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -10.95%E -4.66%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-14 21:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -10.95%E -4.66%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-14 21:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 37.79%EV -12.09%E -5.21%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%EV -11.36%E -3.72%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.46%EV -13.42%E -5.12%K -8.28%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-14 21:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.01%EV -14.74%E -6.55%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -12.43%E -4.69%K -7.53%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-14 21:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.33%EV -15.50%E -6.95%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 27.58%EV -7.58%E -2.38%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.09%EV -12.43%E -4.69%K -7.53%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-14 21:53
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.36%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93%0.3%2026-09-14 21:55
Kalshi◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.64%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.67%1.0%2026-09-14 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.66%1.0%2026-09-14 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.66%1.0%2026-09-14 21:55
Smarkets◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.19%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%2.3%2026-09-14 21:55