Language:English
Argentinos Juniors v Platense
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Argentinos Juniors (Local)
Prediction 53.01%1.89fair odd
EV -4.58%
Edge -2.55%
Kelly -5.73%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.47%53.04%52.99%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.741.751.8063.29%57.38%57.14%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Platense (Visit)
Prediction 17.20%5.82fair odd
EV +5.06%
Edge +0.829%
Kelly +0.991%
Growth +0.050%
assuming max odds 6.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.58%17.16%17.14%18.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.705.365.356.1121.28%18.67%18.69%16.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.80%3.36fair odd
EV -1.67%
Edge -0.507%
Kelly -0.727%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.82%29.79%29.87%30.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.083.103.3037.04%32.50%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Argentinos Juniors (Local): 53.01%; Platense (Visit): 17.20%; Draw: 29.80%. For Platense (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.82. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.11, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.06%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.62%EV -5.11%E -2.86%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.11I 16.37%NM 15.71%EV +5.06%E +0.829%K +0.991%G +0.050% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.67%EV -6.74%E -2.15%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-23 01:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.55%EV -4.58%E -2.55%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.94I 16.84%NM 16.23%EV +2.14%E +0.360%K +0.433%G +0.009% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.22%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.77%EV -9.36%E -5.47%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.58%EV +1.45%E +0.246%K +0.296%G +0.004% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-23 01:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.74%EV -6.17%E -3.49%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.54%EV -1.13%E -0.196%K -0.237%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.72%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-23 00:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.51%EV -7.23%E -4.13%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -1.13%E -0.196%K -0.237%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-23 00:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.35%EV -7.23%E -4.13%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.83%EV -2.85%E -0.504%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -1.67%E -0.507%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-23 00:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.35%EV -7.23%E -4.13%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.83%EV -2.85%E -0.504%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -1.67%E -0.507%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-23 00:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.03%EV -6.70%E -3.81%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -3.71%E -0.662%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.30%EV -8.23%E -2.67%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.67%EV -4.58%E -2.55%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -5.43%E -0.986%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.10%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-23 01:08 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.41%EV -4.58%E -2.55%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -5.43%E -0.986%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-23 01:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.15%EV -8.30%E -4.79%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.03%EV -5.43%E -0.986%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.82%EV -3.16%E -0.973%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-23 00:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.12%EV -7.23%E -4.13%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -5.43%E -0.986%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.59%EV -7.23%E -4.13%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -5.43%E -0.986%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-23 00:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.89%E -5.81%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.31%EV -5.43%E -0.986%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.93%EV -13.59%E -4.69%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-23 00:58 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -5.64%E -3.17%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV -7.15%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-23 00:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -5.64%E -3.17%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV -7.15%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-23 00:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.17%EV -6.17%E -3.49%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -7.15%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-23 00:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -6.17%E -3.49%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -7.15%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41%EV -9.12%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -6.17%E -3.49%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -7.15%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41%EV -9.12%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-23 01:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.33%EV -4.58%E -2.55%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.77%EV -8.86%E -1.67%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 00:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.33%EV -4.58%E -2.55%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.77%EV -8.86%E -1.67%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 00:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.90%EV -6.17%E -3.49%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -9.72%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-23 00:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -6.17%E -3.49%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -9.72%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -6.17%E -3.49%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -9.72%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-23 00:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -4.58%E -2.55%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -9.72%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-23 01:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.24%EV -9.89%E -5.81%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.92%EV -9.72%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.84%EV -14.19%E -4.93%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-23 01:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.18%EV -9.36%E -5.47%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.49%EV -10.58%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-23 00:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.18%EV -9.36%E -5.47%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.49%EV -10.58%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-23 00:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.89%EV -9.89%E -5.81%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.63%EV -12.30%E -2.41%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -9.12%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-23 00:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.08%EV -10.95%E -6.52%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.49%EV -12.30%E -2.41%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 29.43%EV -9.72%E -3.21%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-23 00:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 52.84%EV -12.54%E -7.60%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.10%EV -12.30%E -2.41%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.06%EV -13.59%E -4.69%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-03-23 01:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 52.77%EV -16.25%E -10.28%K -28.01%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 16.35%EV -12.30%E -2.41%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.88%EV -19.55%E -7.24%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-03-23 01:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -5.64%E -3.17%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -14.02%E -2.80%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -9.12%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 52.33%EV -10.42%E -6.16%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -14.02%E -2.80%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.98%EV -12.10%E -4.10%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-23 00:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.80%EV -11.48%E -6.87%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.30%EV -14.02%E -2.80%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -16.57%E -5.92%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-03-23 00:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.43%EV -7.77%E -4.46%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.62%EV -15.74%E -3.21%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.96%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-23 00:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.53%EV -7.23%E -4.13%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -15.74%E -3.21%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.06%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.15%EV -10.95%E -6.52%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.64%EV -19.18%E -4.08%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-23 00:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.81% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.56% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.63% | 0.4% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.56% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.48% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96% | 0.9% | 2026-03-23 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.56% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.48% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96% | 0.9% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.54% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48% | 1.0% | 2026-03-23 01:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.70% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.38% | 1.9% | 2026-03-23 00:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.56% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.81% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.63% | 2.0% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |