A Escola das Odds

Argentinos Juniors v Platense

Início: 2026-03-23 01:15 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

38 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Argentinos Juniors (Local)

Previsão 53.01%1.89odd justa
EV -4.58%
Vantagem -2.55%
Kelly -5.73%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.47%53.04%52.99%54.35%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.581.741.751.8063.29%57.38%57.14%55.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Platense (Visitante)

Previsão 17.20%5.82odd justa
EV +5.06%
Vantagem +0.829%
Kelly +0.991%
Crescimento +0.050%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.11

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.58%17.16%17.14%18.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.705.365.356.1121.28%18.67%18.69%16.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 29.80%3.36odd justa
EV -1.67%
Vantagem -0.507%
Kelly -0.727%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.82%29.79%29.87%30.93%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.703.083.103.3037.04%32.50%32.26%30.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.62%EV -5.11%E -2.86%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.11I 16.37%NM 15.71%EV +5.06%E +0.829%K +0.991%G +0.050%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.67%EV -6.74%E -2.15%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-23 01:10
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 53.55%EV -4.58%E -2.55%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.94I 16.84%NM 16.23%EV +2.14%E +0.360%K +0.433%G +0.009%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.22%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-23 01:09
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 53.77%EV -9.36%E -5.47%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.58%EV +1.45%E +0.246%K +0.296%G +0.004%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-23 01:00
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.74%EV -6.17%E -3.49%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.54%EV -1.13%E -0.196%K -0.237%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.72%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 00:34
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.51%EV -7.23%E -4.13%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -1.13%E -0.196%K -0.237%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-23 00:49
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 54.35%EV -7.23%E -4.13%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.83%EV -2.85%E -0.504%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -1.67%E -0.507%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 00:25
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 54.35%EV -7.23%E -4.13%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.83%EV -2.85%E -0.504%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -1.67%E -0.507%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 00:24
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.03%EV -6.70%E -3.81%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -3.71%E -0.662%K -0.806%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.30%EV -8.23%E -2.67%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-23 01:09
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.67%EV -4.58%E -2.55%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -5.43%E -0.986%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.10%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-23 01:08
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.41%EV -4.58%E -2.55%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -5.43%E -0.986%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 01:00
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.15%EV -8.30%E -4.79%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.03%EV -5.43%E -0.986%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.82%EV -3.16%E -0.973%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-23 00:35
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 53.12%EV -7.23%E -4.13%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -5.43%E -0.986%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-23 01:09
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.59%EV -7.23%E -4.13%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -5.43%E -0.986%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-23 00:59
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.89%E -5.81%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.31%EV -5.43%E -0.986%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.93%EV -13.59%E -4.69%K -7.15%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-23 00:58
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -5.64%E -3.17%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV -7.15%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-23 00:49
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -5.64%E -3.17%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV -7.15%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-23 00:49
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 53.17%EV -6.17%E -3.49%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -7.15%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-23 00:49
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -6.17%E -3.49%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -7.15%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41%EV -9.12%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-23 01:09
BetAnything1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -6.17%E -3.49%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -7.15%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41%EV -9.12%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-23 01:10
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.33%EV -4.58%E -2.55%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.77%EV -8.86%E -1.67%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 00:49
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 52.33%EV -4.58%E -2.55%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.77%EV -8.86%E -1.67%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 00:49
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.90%EV -6.17%E -3.49%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -9.72%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-23 00:34
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -6.17%E -3.49%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -9.72%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-23 01:09
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -6.17%E -3.49%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -9.72%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-23 00:49
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -4.58%E -2.55%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -9.72%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-23 01:00
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.24%EV -9.89%E -5.81%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.92%EV -9.72%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.84%EV -14.19%E -4.93%K -7.55%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-23 01:00
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.18%EV -9.36%E -5.47%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.49%EV -10.58%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-23 00:49
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.18%EV -9.36%E -5.47%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.49%EV -10.58%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-23 00:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.89%EV -9.89%E -5.81%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.63%EV -12.30%E -2.41%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -9.12%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-23 00:49
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.08%EV -10.95%E -6.52%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.49%EV -12.30%E -2.41%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.43%EV -9.72%E -3.21%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-23 00:50
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 52.84%EV -12.54%E -7.60%K -19.29%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.10%EV -12.30%E -2.41%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.06%EV -13.59%E -4.69%K -7.15%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-23 01:00
PMU (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 52.77%EV -16.25%E -10.28%K -28.01%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.35%EV -12.30%E -2.41%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.88%EV -19.55%E -7.24%K -11.50%G +0.000%19.9%2026-03-23 01:00
Bet Right1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -5.64%E -3.17%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -14.02%E -2.80%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -9.12%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-23 01:09
Parions Sport (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 52.33%EV -10.42%E -6.16%K -15.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -14.02%E -2.80%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.98%EV -12.10%E -4.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-23 00:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.80%EV -11.48%E -6.87%K -17.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.30%EV -14.02%E -2.80%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -16.57%E -5.92%K -9.21%G +0.000%15.6%2026-03-23 00:40
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.43%EV -7.77%E -4.46%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.62%EV -15.74%E -3.21%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.96%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-23 00:24
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.53%EV -7.23%E -4.13%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -15.74%E -3.21%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.06%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-23 01:09
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.15%EV -10.95%E -6.52%K -16.10%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.64%EV -19.18%E -4.08%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-23 00:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.81%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.56%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.63%0.4%2026-03-23 01:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.56%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.48%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%0.9%2026-03-23 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.56%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.48%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%0.9%2026-03-23 01:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.54%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%1.0%2026-03-23 01:10
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.70%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.38%1.9%2026-03-23 00:50
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.56%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.81%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.63%2.0%2026-03-23 01:09