L’École des cotesFrançais
Argentinos Juniors v Platense
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Argentinos Juniors (Local)
Prévision 53.01%1.89cote équitable
EV -4.58%
Avantage -2.55%
Kelly -5.73%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.47%53.04%52.99%54.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.581.741.751.8063.29%57.38%57.14%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Platense (Visiteur)
Prévision 17.20%5.82cote équitable
EV +5.06%
Avantage +0.829%
Kelly +0.991%
Croissance +0.050%
avec la cote maximale 6.11
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.58%17.16%17.14%18.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.705.365.356.1121.28%18.67%18.69%16.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 29.80%3.36cote équitable
EV -1.67%
Avantage -0.507%
Kelly -0.727%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.82%29.79%29.87%30.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.083.103.3037.04%32.50%32.26%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.62%EV -5.11%E -2.86%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.11I 16.37%NM 15.71%EV +5.06%E +0.829%K +0.991%G +0.050% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.67%EV -6.74%E -2.15%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-23 01:10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.55%EV -4.58%E -2.55%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.94I 16.84%NM 16.23%EV +2.14%E +0.360%K +0.433%G +0.009% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.22%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| FanDuel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.77%EV -9.36%E -5.47%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.58%EV +1.45%E +0.246%K +0.296%G +0.004% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-23 01:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.74%EV -6.17%E -3.49%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.54%EV -1.13%E -0.196%K -0.237%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.72%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-23 00:34 |
| Everygame | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.51%EV -7.23%E -4.13%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -1.13%E -0.196%K -0.237%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-23 00:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.35%EV -7.23%E -4.13%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.83%EV -2.85%E -0.504%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -1.67%E -0.507%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-23 00:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.35%EV -7.23%E -4.13%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.83%EV -2.85%E -0.504%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -1.67%E -0.507%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-23 00:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.03%EV -6.70%E -3.81%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -3.71%E -0.662%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.30%EV -8.23%E -2.67%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| DraftKings | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.67%EV -4.58%E -2.55%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -5.43%E -0.986%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.10%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-23 01:08 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.41%EV -4.58%E -2.55%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -5.43%E -0.986%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-23 01:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.15%EV -8.30%E -4.79%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.03%EV -5.43%E -0.986%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.82%EV -3.16%E -0.973%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-23 00:35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.12%EV -7.23%E -4.13%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -5.43%E -0.986%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.59%EV -7.23%E -4.13%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -5.43%E -0.986%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-23 00:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.89%E -5.81%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.31%EV -5.43%E -0.986%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.93%EV -13.59%E -4.69%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-23 00:58 |
| Unibet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -5.64%E -3.17%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV -7.15%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-23 00:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -5.64%E -3.17%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV -7.15%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-23 00:49 |
| BetRivers | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.17%EV -6.17%E -3.49%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -7.15%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-23 00:49 |
| Bovada | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -6.17%E -3.49%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -7.15%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41%EV -9.12%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| BetAnything | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -6.17%E -3.49%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -7.15%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41%EV -9.12%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-23 01:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.33%EV -4.58%E -2.55%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.77%EV -8.86%E -1.67%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 00:49 |
| Betsson | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.33%EV -4.58%E -2.55%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.77%EV -8.86%E -1.67%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 00:49 |
| theScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.90%EV -6.17%E -3.49%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -9.72%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-23 00:34 |
| BetMGM | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -6.17%E -3.49%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -9.72%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -6.17%E -3.49%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -9.72%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-23 00:49 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -4.58%E -2.55%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -9.72%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-23 01:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.24%EV -9.89%E -5.81%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.92%EV -9.72%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.84%EV -14.19%E -4.93%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-23 01:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.18%EV -9.36%E -5.47%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.49%EV -10.58%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-23 00:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.18%EV -9.36%E -5.47%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.49%EV -10.58%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-23 00:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.89%EV -9.89%E -5.81%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.63%EV -12.30%E -2.41%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -9.12%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-23 00:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.08%EV -10.95%E -6.52%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.49%EV -12.30%E -2.41%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 29.43%EV -9.72%E -3.21%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-23 00:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 52.84%EV -12.54%E -7.60%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.10%EV -12.30%E -2.41%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.06%EV -13.59%E -4.69%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-03-23 01:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 52.77%EV -16.25%E -10.28%K -28.01%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 16.35%EV -12.30%E -2.41%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.88%EV -19.55%E -7.24%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-03-23 01:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -5.64%E -3.17%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -14.02%E -2.80%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -9.12%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 52.33%EV -10.42%E -6.16%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -14.02%E -2.80%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.98%EV -12.10%E -4.10%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-23 00:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.80%EV -11.48%E -6.87%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.30%EV -14.02%E -2.80%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -16.57%E -5.92%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-03-23 00:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.43%EV -7.77%E -4.46%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.62%EV -15.74%E -3.21%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.96%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-23 00:24 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.53%EV -7.23%E -4.13%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -15.74%E -3.21%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.06%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.15%EV -10.95%E -6.52%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.64%EV -19.18%E -4.08%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-23 00:34 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.81% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.56% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.63% | 0.4% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.56% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.48% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96% | 0.9% | 2026-03-23 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.56% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.48% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96% | 0.9% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.54% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48% | 1.0% | 2026-03-23 01:10 |
| Kalshi | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.70% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.38% | 1.9% | 2026-03-23 00:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.56% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.81% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.63% | 2.0% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |