La escuela de los momios

Argentinos Juniors v Platense

Inicio: 2026-03-23 01:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

38 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Argentinos Juniors (Local)

Predicción 53.01%1.89momio equitativo
EV -4.58%
Ventaja -2.55%
Kelly -5.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.47%53.04%52.99%54.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.581.741.751.8063.29%57.38%57.14%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Platense (Visitante)

Predicción 17.20%5.82momio equitativo
EV +5.06%
Ventaja +0.829%
Kelly +0.991%
Crecimiento +0.050%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.11

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.58%17.16%17.14%18.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.705.365.356.1121.28%18.67%18.69%16.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.80%3.36momio equitativo
EV -1.67%
Ventaja -0.507%
Kelly -0.727%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.82%29.79%29.87%30.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.083.103.3037.04%32.50%32.26%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.62%EV -5.11%E -2.86%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.11I 16.37%NM 15.71%EV +5.06%E +0.829%K +0.991%G +0.050%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.67%EV -6.74%E -2.15%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-23 01:10
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 53.55%EV -4.58%E -2.55%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.94I 16.84%NM 16.23%EV +2.14%E +0.360%K +0.433%G +0.009%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.22%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-23 01:09
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 53.77%EV -9.36%E -5.47%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.58%EV +1.45%E +0.246%K +0.296%G +0.004%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-23 01:00
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.74%EV -6.17%E -3.49%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.54%EV -1.13%E -0.196%K -0.237%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.72%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 00:34
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.51%EV -7.23%E -4.13%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -1.13%E -0.196%K -0.237%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-23 00:49
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 54.35%EV -7.23%E -4.13%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.83%EV -2.85%E -0.504%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -1.67%E -0.507%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 00:25
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 54.35%EV -7.23%E -4.13%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.83%EV -2.85%E -0.504%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -1.67%E -0.507%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 00:24
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.03%EV -6.70%E -3.81%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -3.71%E -0.662%K -0.806%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.30%EV -8.23%E -2.67%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-23 01:09
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.67%EV -4.58%E -2.55%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -5.43%E -0.986%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.10%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-23 01:08
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.41%EV -4.58%E -2.55%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -5.43%E -0.986%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 01:00
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.15%EV -8.30%E -4.79%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.03%EV -5.43%E -0.986%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.82%EV -3.16%E -0.973%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-23 00:35
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 53.12%EV -7.23%E -4.13%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -5.43%E -0.986%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-23 01:09
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.59%EV -7.23%E -4.13%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -5.43%E -0.986%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-23 00:59
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.89%E -5.81%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.31%EV -5.43%E -0.986%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.93%EV -13.59%E -4.69%K -7.15%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-23 00:58
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -5.64%E -3.17%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV -7.15%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-23 00:49
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -5.64%E -3.17%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV -7.15%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-23 00:49
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 53.17%EV -6.17%E -3.49%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -7.15%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-23 00:49
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -6.17%E -3.49%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -7.15%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41%EV -9.12%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-23 01:09
BetAnything1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -6.17%E -3.49%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -7.15%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41%EV -9.12%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-23 01:10
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.33%EV -4.58%E -2.55%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.77%EV -8.86%E -1.67%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 00:49
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 52.33%EV -4.58%E -2.55%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.77%EV -8.86%E -1.67%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 00:49
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.90%EV -6.17%E -3.49%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -9.72%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-23 00:34
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -6.17%E -3.49%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -9.72%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-23 01:09
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -6.17%E -3.49%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -9.72%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-23 00:49
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -4.58%E -2.55%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -9.72%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-23 01:00
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.24%EV -9.89%E -5.81%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.92%EV -9.72%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.84%EV -14.19%E -4.93%K -7.55%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-23 01:00
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.18%EV -9.36%E -5.47%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.49%EV -10.58%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-23 00:49
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.18%EV -9.36%E -5.47%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.49%EV -10.58%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-23 00:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.89%EV -9.89%E -5.81%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.63%EV -12.30%E -2.41%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -9.12%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-23 00:49
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.08%EV -10.95%E -6.52%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.49%EV -12.30%E -2.41%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.43%EV -9.72%E -3.21%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-23 00:50
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 52.84%EV -12.54%E -7.60%K -19.29%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.10%EV -12.30%E -2.41%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.06%EV -13.59%E -4.69%K -7.15%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-23 01:00
PMU (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 52.77%EV -16.25%E -10.28%K -28.01%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.35%EV -12.30%E -2.41%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.88%EV -19.55%E -7.24%K -11.50%G +0.000%19.9%2026-03-23 01:00
Bet Right1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -5.64%E -3.17%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -14.02%E -2.80%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -9.12%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-23 01:09
Parions Sport (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 52.33%EV -10.42%E -6.16%K -15.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -14.02%E -2.80%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.98%EV -12.10%E -4.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-23 00:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.80%EV -11.48%E -6.87%K -17.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.30%EV -14.02%E -2.80%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -16.57%E -5.92%K -9.21%G +0.000%15.6%2026-03-23 00:40
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.43%EV -7.77%E -4.46%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.62%EV -15.74%E -3.21%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.96%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-23 00:24
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.53%EV -7.23%E -4.13%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -15.74%E -3.21%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.06%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-23 01:09
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.15%EV -10.95%E -6.52%K -16.10%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.64%EV -19.18%E -4.08%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-23 00:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.81%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.56%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.63%0.4%2026-03-23 01:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.56%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.48%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%0.9%2026-03-23 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.56%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.48%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%0.9%2026-03-23 01:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.54%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%1.0%2026-03-23 01:10
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.70%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.38%1.9%2026-03-23 00:50
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.56%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.81%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.63%2.0%2026-03-23 01:09