Language:English
Argentinos Juniors v Gimnasia La Plata
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Argentinos Juniors (Local)
Prediction 53.68%1.86fair odd
EV -3.91%
Edge -2.18%
Kelly -4.95%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.79
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.46%53.83%53.68%56.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.711.731.7964.10%58.47%57.97%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Gimnasia La Plata (Visit)
Prediction 19.10%5.23fair odd
EV +6.98%
Edge +1.25%
Kelly +1.52%
Growth +0.106%
assuming max odds 5.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.75%18.96%19.06%19.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.984.955.6022.22%20.06%20.20%17.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.21%3.67fair odd
EV -1.49%
Edge -0.411%
Kelly -0.567%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.42%27.21%27.26%28.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.393.403.6232.26%29.50%29.41%27.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Argentinos Juniors (Local): 53.68%; Gimnasia La Plata (Visit): 19.10%; Draw: 27.21%. For Gimnasia La Plata (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.23. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.98%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.84%EV -11.42%E -6.92%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV +6.98%E +1.25%K +1.52%G +0.106% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -3.39%E -0.955%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 19:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.84%EV -11.42%E -6.92%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV +6.98%E +1.25%K +1.52%G +0.106% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -3.39%E -0.955%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 19:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.36%EV -12.50%E -7.67%K -19.84%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV +3.16%E +0.585%K +0.718%G +0.023% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.11%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-13 19:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.68%EV -3.91%E -2.18%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.37I 18.62%NM 17.89%EV +2.59%E +0.482%K +0.592%G +0.015% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.43%EV -8.02%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-13 19:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.32%EV -8.20%E -4.80%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.53%EV +1.25%E +0.236%K +0.291%G +0.004% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-13 19:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.20%EV -14.11%E -8.82%K -23.51%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.96%EV +1.25%E +0.236%K +0.291%G +0.004% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-13 19:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.20%EV -14.11%E -8.82%K -23.51%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.96%EV +1.25%E +0.236%K +0.291%G +0.004% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-13 19:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.80%EV -6.59%E -3.79%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.83%EV +0.294%E +0.056%K +0.069%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-13 19:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.18%EV -16.26%E -10.42%K -29.03%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.85%EV -0.661%E -0.127%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -11.56%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-13 19:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.14%EV -4.45%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.71%EV -1.62%E -0.314%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.15%EV -3.39%E -0.955%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-13 19:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.31%EV -4.45%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.99%EV -2.76%E -0.543%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.70%EV -1.49%E -0.411%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-13 04:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.31%EV -4.45%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.99%EV -2.76%E -0.543%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.70%EV -1.49%E -0.411%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-13 04:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.31%EV -4.45%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.99%EV -2.76%E -0.543%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.70%EV -1.49%E -0.411%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-13 04:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.77%EV -4.98%E -2.81%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.04%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 12:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.84%EV -6.06%E -3.46%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -6.11%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -6.06%E -3.46%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 17:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -8.74%E -5.14%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.48%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-08 05:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -8.74%E -5.14%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-13 19:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -8.74%E -5.14%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-13 19:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.56%EV -4.98%E -2.81%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.35%EV -6.39%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.09%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-13 19:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.00%EV -4.45%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -6.39%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 21:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.00%EV -4.45%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -6.39%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 21:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.65%EV -6.59%E -3.79%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -6.39%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.30%EV -6.93%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 19:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.57%EV -6.59%E -3.79%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -6.39%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-13 19:53 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.44%EV -9.81%E -5.84%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.66%EV -6.39%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-13 13:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.88%EV -6.06%E -3.46%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.08%EV -7.35%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-13 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.21%EV -6.06%E -3.46%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.30%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-13 04:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.35%EV -6.59%E -3.79%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -8.30%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.79%EV -9.81%E -5.84%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.83%EV -8.30%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-13 13:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -6.06%E -3.46%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -9.26%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-13 18:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.25%EV -6.59%E -3.79%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -9.26%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.74%E -5.14%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -9.26%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-13 16:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.46%EV -8.74%E -5.14%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.77%EV -9.26%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.64%E -5.04%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-13 19:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.26%EV -13.03%E -8.05%K -21.02%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.70%EV -10.21%E -2.17%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -11.56%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-13 19:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.70%EV -8.74%E -5.14%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -12.12%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -6.11%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-12 21:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.50%EV -11.96%E -7.29%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.08%EV -12.12%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-13 19:38 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.66%EV -12.50%E -7.67%K -19.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.01%EV -12.12%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.33%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-09 17:28 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.34%EV -9.81%E -5.84%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -14.03%E -3.12%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.75%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-12 21:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.43% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.82% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.75% | 0.9% | 2026-09-13 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.11% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.00% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89% | 1.0% | 2026-09-13 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.11% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.00% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89% | 1.0% | 2026-09-13 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.11% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.00% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89% | 1.0% | 2026-09-13 19:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.16% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.82% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.01% | 2.0% | 2026-09-13 19:55 |