Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Argentinos Juniors v Gimnasia La Plata

Inizio: 2026-09-13 20:00 UTC

Finale: Argentinos Juniors 1–1 Gimnasia La Plata

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

38 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Argentinos Juniors (Casa)

Previsione 53.68%1.86quota equa
EV -3.91%
Vantaggio -2.18%
Kelly -4.95%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.79

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.46%53.83%53.68%56.84%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.561.711.731.7964.10%58.47%57.97%55.87%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Gimnasia La Plata (Trasferta)

Previsione 19.10%5.23quota equa
EV +6.98%
Vantaggio +1.25%
Kelly +1.52%
Crescita +0.106%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.75%18.96%19.06%19.91%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.504.984.955.6022.22%20.06%20.20%17.86%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 27.21%3.67quota equa
EV -1.49%
Vantaggio -0.411%
Kelly -0.567%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.62

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.42%27.21%27.26%28.77%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.393.403.6232.26%29.50%29.41%27.62%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Argentinos Juniors (Casa): 53.68%; Gimnasia La Plata (Trasferta): 19.10%; Pareggio: 27.21%. Per Gimnasia La Plata (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 5.23. 8 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 5.60, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +6.98%.

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.84%EV -11.42%E -6.92%K -17.58%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV +6.98%E +1.25%K +1.52%G +0.106%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -3.39%E -0.955%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 19:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.84%EV -11.42%E -6.92%K -17.58%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV +6.98%E +1.25%K +1.52%G +0.106%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -3.39%E -0.955%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 19:45
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.36%EV -12.50%E -7.67%K -19.84%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV +3.16%E +0.585%K +0.718%G +0.023%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.11%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 19:45
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.68%EV -3.91%E -2.18%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.89%EV +2.59%E +0.482%K +0.592%G +0.015%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.43%EV -8.02%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 19:55
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.32%EV -8.20%E -4.80%K -11.55%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.53%EV +1.25%E +0.236%K +0.291%G +0.004%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-13 19:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.20%EV -14.11%E -8.82%K -23.51%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.96%EV +1.25%E +0.236%K +0.291%G +0.004%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-13 19:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.20%EV -14.11%E -8.82%K -23.51%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.96%EV +1.25%E +0.236%K +0.291%G +0.004%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-13 19:55
SportsBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.80%EV -6.59%E -3.79%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.83%EV +0.294%E +0.056%K +0.069%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.18%EV -16.26%E -10.42%K -29.03%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.85%EV -0.661%E -0.127%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -11.56%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-13 19:55
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.14%EV -4.45%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.71%EV -1.62%E -0.314%K -0.389%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.15%EV -3.39%E -0.955%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-13 19:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.31%EV -4.45%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.09I 19.65%NM 18.99%EV -2.76%E -0.543%K -0.675%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.70%EV -1.49%E -0.411%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-13 04:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.31%EV -4.45%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.09I 19.65%NM 18.99%EV -2.76%E -0.543%K -0.675%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.70%EV -1.49%E -0.411%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-13 04:00
BetAnything🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.31%EV -4.45%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.09I 19.65%NM 18.99%EV -2.76%E -0.543%K -0.675%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.70%EV -1.49%E -0.411%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-13 04:00
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.77%EV -4.98%E -2.81%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.04%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 12:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.84%EV -6.06%E -3.46%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -6.11%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -6.06%E -3.46%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 17:20
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -8.74%E -5.14%K -12.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.48%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-08 05:04
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -8.74%E -5.14%K -12.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-13 19:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -8.74%E -5.14%K -12.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-13 19:45
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.56%EV -4.98%E -2.81%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.35%EV -6.39%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.09%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-13 19:05
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.00%EV -4.45%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -6.39%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-08 21:39
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.00%EV -4.45%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -6.39%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-08 21:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.65%EV -6.59%E -3.79%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -6.39%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.30%EV -6.93%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 19:30
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.57%EV -6.59%E -3.79%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -6.39%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 19:53
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.44%EV -9.81%E -5.84%K -14.43%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.66%EV -6.39%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 13:10
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.88%EV -6.06%E -3.46%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.08%EV -7.35%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-13 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.21%EV -6.06%E -3.46%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.30%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 04:25
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.35%EV -6.59%E -3.79%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -8.30%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.79%EV -9.81%E -5.84%K -14.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.83%EV -8.30%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 13:10
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -6.06%E -3.46%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -9.26%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 18:40
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.25%EV -6.59%E -3.79%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -9.26%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-12 14:20
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.74%E -5.14%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -9.26%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 16:54
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.46%EV -8.74%E -5.14%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.77%EV -9.26%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.64%E -5.04%K -7.45%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 19:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.26%EV -13.03%E -8.05%K -21.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.70%EV -10.21%E -2.17%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -11.56%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-13 19:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.70%EV -8.74%E -5.14%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -12.12%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -6.11%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-12 21:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.50%EV -11.96%E -7.29%K -18.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.08%EV -12.12%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-13 19:38
NetBet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 53.66%EV -12.50%E -7.67%K -19.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.01%EV -12.12%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.33%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-09 17:28
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.34%EV -9.81%E -5.84%K -14.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -14.03%E -3.12%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.75%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-12 21:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.43%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.82%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.75%0.9%2026-09-13 19:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.11%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-09-13 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.11%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-09-13 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.11%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-09-13 19:50
Smarkets◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.16%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.01%2.0%2026-09-13 19:55