StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Argentinos Juniors v Gimnasia La Plata

Matchstart: 2026-09-13 20:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Argentinos Juniors 1–1 Gimnasia La Plata

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

38 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Argentinos Juniors (Hemma)

Prognos 53.68%1.86rättvist odds
EV -3.91%
Fördel -2.18%
Kelly -4.95%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.79

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
52.46%53.83%53.68%56.84%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.561.711.731.7964.10%58.47%57.97%55.87%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Gimnasia La Plata (Borta)

Prognos 19.10%5.23rättvist odds
EV +6.98%
Fördel +1.25%
Kelly +1.52%
Tillväxt +0.106%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
16.75%18.96%19.06%19.91%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.504.984.955.6022.22%20.06%20.20%17.86%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 27.21%3.67rättvist odds
EV -1.49%
Fördel -0.411%
Kelly -0.567%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.62

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.42%27.21%27.26%28.77%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.103.393.403.6232.26%29.50%29.41%27.62%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Argentinos Juniors (Hemma): 53.68%; Gimnasia La Plata (Borta): 19.10%; Oavgjort: 27.21%. För Gimnasia La Plata (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.23. 8 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 5.60, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +6.98%.

Spelbolagsodds (38 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.84%EV -11.42%E -6.92%K -17.58%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV +6.98%E +1.25%K +1.52%G +0.106%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -3.39%E -0.955%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 19:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.84%EV -11.42%E -6.92%K -17.58%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV +6.98%E +1.25%K +1.52%G +0.106%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -3.39%E -0.955%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 19:45
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.36%EV -12.50%E -7.67%K -19.84%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV +3.16%E +0.585%K +0.718%G +0.023%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.11%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 19:45
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.68%EV -3.91%E -2.18%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.89%EV +2.59%E +0.482%K +0.592%G +0.015%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.43%EV -8.02%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 19:55
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.32%EV -8.20%E -4.80%K -11.55%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.53%EV +1.25%E +0.236%K +0.291%G +0.004%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-13 19:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.20%EV -14.11%E -8.82%K -23.51%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.96%EV +1.25%E +0.236%K +0.291%G +0.004%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-13 19:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.20%EV -14.11%E -8.82%K -23.51%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.96%EV +1.25%E +0.236%K +0.291%G +0.004%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-13 19:55
SportsBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.80%EV -6.59%E -3.79%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.83%EV +0.294%E +0.056%K +0.069%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.18%EV -16.26%E -10.42%K -29.03%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.85%EV -0.661%E -0.127%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -11.56%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-13 19:55
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.14%EV -4.45%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.71%EV -1.62%E -0.314%K -0.389%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.15%EV -3.39%E -0.955%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-13 19:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.31%EV -4.45%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.09I 19.65%NM 18.99%EV -2.76%E -0.543%K -0.675%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.70%EV -1.49%E -0.411%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-13 04:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.31%EV -4.45%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.09I 19.65%NM 18.99%EV -2.76%E -0.543%K -0.675%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.70%EV -1.49%E -0.411%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-13 04:00
BetAnything🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.31%EV -4.45%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.09I 19.65%NM 18.99%EV -2.76%E -0.543%K -0.675%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.70%EV -1.49%E -0.411%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-13 04:00
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.77%EV -4.98%E -2.81%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.04%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 12:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.84%EV -6.06%E -3.46%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -6.11%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -6.06%E -3.46%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 17:20
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -8.74%E -5.14%K -12.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.48%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-08 05:04
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -8.74%E -5.14%K -12.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-13 19:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -8.74%E -5.14%K -12.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-13 19:45
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.56%EV -4.98%E -2.81%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.35%EV -6.39%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.09%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-13 19:05
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.00%EV -4.45%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -6.39%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-08 21:39
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.00%EV -4.45%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -6.39%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-08 21:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.65%EV -6.59%E -3.79%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -6.39%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.30%EV -6.93%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 19:30
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.57%EV -6.59%E -3.79%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -6.39%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 19:53
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.44%EV -9.81%E -5.84%K -14.43%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.66%EV -6.39%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 13:10
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.88%EV -6.06%E -3.46%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.08%EV -7.35%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-13 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.21%EV -6.06%E -3.46%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.30%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 04:25
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.35%EV -6.59%E -3.79%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -8.30%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.79%EV -9.81%E -5.84%K -14.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.83%EV -8.30%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 13:10
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -6.06%E -3.46%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -9.26%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 18:40
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.25%EV -6.59%E -3.79%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -9.26%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-12 14:20
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.74%E -5.14%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -9.26%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 16:54
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.46%EV -8.74%E -5.14%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.77%EV -9.26%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.64%E -5.04%K -7.45%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 19:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.26%EV -13.03%E -8.05%K -21.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.70%EV -10.21%E -2.17%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -11.56%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-13 19:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.70%EV -8.74%E -5.14%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -12.12%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -6.11%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-12 21:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.50%EV -11.96%E -7.29%K -18.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.08%EV -12.12%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-13 19:38
NetBet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 53.66%EV -12.50%E -7.67%K -19.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.01%EV -12.12%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.33%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-09 17:28
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.34%EV -9.81%E -5.84%K -14.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -14.03%E -3.12%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.75%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-12 21:05
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.43%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.82%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.75%0.9%2026-09-13 19:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.11%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-09-13 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.11%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-09-13 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.11%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-09-13 19:50
Smarkets◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.16%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.01%2.0%2026-09-13 19:55