Langue:Français
Argentinos Juniors v Gimnasia La Plata
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Argentinos Juniors (Local)
Prévision 53.68%1.86cote équitable
EV -3.91%
Avantage -2.18%
Kelly -4.95%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.79
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.46%53.83%53.68%56.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.561.711.731.7964.10%58.47%57.97%55.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Gimnasia La Plata (Visiteur)
Prévision 19.10%5.23cote équitable
EV +6.98%
Avantage +1.25%
Kelly +1.52%
Croissance +0.106%
avec la cote maximale 5.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.75%18.96%19.06%19.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.504.984.955.6022.22%20.06%20.20%17.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 27.21%3.67cote équitable
EV -1.49%
Avantage -0.411%
Kelly -0.567%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.62
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.42%27.21%27.26%28.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.393.403.6232.26%29.50%29.41%27.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Argentinos Juniors (Local) : 53.68% ; Gimnasia La Plata (Visiteur) : 19.10% ; Match nul : 27.21%. Pour Gimnasia La Plata (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.23. 8 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.60, soit une espérance positive de +6.98%.
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.84%EV -11.42%E -6.92%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV +6.98%E +1.25%K +1.52%G +0.106% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -3.39%E -0.955%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 19:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.84%EV -11.42%E -6.92%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV +6.98%E +1.25%K +1.52%G +0.106% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -3.39%E -0.955%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 19:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.36%EV -12.50%E -7.67%K -19.84%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV +3.16%E +0.585%K +0.718%G +0.023% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.11%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-13 19:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.68%EV -3.91%E -2.18%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.37I 18.62%NM 17.89%EV +2.59%E +0.482%K +0.592%G +0.015% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.43%EV -8.02%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-13 19:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.32%EV -8.20%E -4.80%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.53%EV +1.25%E +0.236%K +0.291%G +0.004% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-13 19:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.20%EV -14.11%E -8.82%K -23.51%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.96%EV +1.25%E +0.236%K +0.291%G +0.004% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-13 19:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.20%EV -14.11%E -8.82%K -23.51%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.96%EV +1.25%E +0.236%K +0.291%G +0.004% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-13 19:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.80%EV -6.59%E -3.79%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.83%EV +0.294%E +0.056%K +0.069%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-13 19:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.18%EV -16.26%E -10.42%K -29.03%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.85%EV -0.661%E -0.127%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -11.56%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-13 19:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.14%EV -4.45%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.71%EV -1.62%E -0.314%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.15%EV -3.39%E -0.955%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-13 19:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.31%EV -4.45%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.99%EV -2.76%E -0.543%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.70%EV -1.49%E -0.411%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-13 04:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.31%EV -4.45%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.99%EV -2.76%E -0.543%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.70%EV -1.49%E -0.411%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-13 04:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.31%EV -4.45%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.99%EV -2.76%E -0.543%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.70%EV -1.49%E -0.411%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-13 04:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.77%EV -4.98%E -2.81%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.04%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 12:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.84%EV -6.06%E -3.46%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -6.11%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -6.06%E -3.46%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 17:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -8.74%E -5.14%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.48%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-08 05:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -8.74%E -5.14%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-13 19:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -8.74%E -5.14%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-13 19:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.56%EV -4.98%E -2.81%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.35%EV -6.39%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.09%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-13 19:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.00%EV -4.45%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -6.39%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 21:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.00%EV -4.45%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -6.39%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 21:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.65%EV -6.59%E -3.79%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -6.39%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.30%EV -6.93%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 19:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.57%EV -6.59%E -3.79%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -6.39%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-13 19:53 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.44%EV -9.81%E -5.84%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.66%EV -6.39%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-13 13:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.88%EV -6.06%E -3.46%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.08%EV -7.35%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-13 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.21%EV -6.06%E -3.46%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.30%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-13 04:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.35%EV -6.59%E -3.79%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -8.30%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.79%EV -9.81%E -5.84%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.83%EV -8.30%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-13 13:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -6.06%E -3.46%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -9.26%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-13 18:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.25%EV -6.59%E -3.79%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -9.26%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.74%E -5.14%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -9.26%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-13 16:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.46%EV -8.74%E -5.14%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.77%EV -9.26%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.64%E -5.04%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-13 19:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.26%EV -13.03%E -8.05%K -21.02%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.70%EV -10.21%E -2.17%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -11.56%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-13 19:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.70%EV -8.74%E -5.14%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -12.12%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -6.11%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-12 21:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.50%EV -11.96%E -7.29%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.08%EV -12.12%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-13 19:38 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.66%EV -12.50%E -7.67%K -19.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.01%EV -12.12%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.33%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-09 17:28 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.34%EV -9.81%E -5.84%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -14.03%E -3.12%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.75%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-12 21:05 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.43% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.82% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.75% | 0.9% | 2026-09-13 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.11% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.00% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89% | 1.0% | 2026-09-13 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.11% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.00% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89% | 1.0% | 2026-09-13 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.11% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.00% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89% | 1.0% | 2026-09-13 19:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.16% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.82% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.01% | 2.0% | 2026-09-13 19:55 |