The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Argentinos Juniors v Banfield

Kickoff: 2026-04-06 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Argentinos Juniors (Local)

Prediction 56.67%1.76fair odd
EV -3.67%
Edge -2.16%
Kelly -5.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.64%56.83%56.54%61.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.611.631.7068.97%61.96%61.54%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Banfield (Visit)

Prediction 16.75%5.97fair odd
EV +17.26%
Edge +2.47%
Kelly +2.88%
Growth +0.497%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.28%16.63%16.85%18.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.905.735.507.0020.41%17.45%18.18%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.58%3.76fair odd
EV +1.01%
Edge +0.267%
Kelly +0.362%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.90%26.54%26.62%27.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.493.503.8032.26%28.66%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Argentinos Juniors (Local): 56.67%; Banfield (Visit): 16.75%; Draw: 26.58%. For Banfield (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.97. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +17.26%.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.53%EV -12.74%E -8.27%K -23.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV +17.26%E +2.47%K +2.88%G +0.497%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV +1.01%E +0.267%K +0.362%G +0.004%5.5%2026-04-06 21:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.53%EV -12.74%E -8.27%K -23.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV +17.26%E +2.47%K +2.88%G +0.497%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV +1.01%E +0.267%K +0.362%G +0.004%5.5%2026-04-06 21:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.55%EV -16.14%E -10.90%K -33.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV +13.08%E +1.94%K +2.27%G +0.297%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -2.97%E -0.814%K -1.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 21:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.55%EV -16.14%E -10.90%K -33.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV +13.08%E +1.94%K +2.27%G +0.297%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -2.97%E -0.814%K -1.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 21:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.82%EV -17.84%E -12.30%K -39.63%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.28%EV +13.08%E +1.94%K +2.27%G +0.297%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -4.30%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-06 21:55
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.74%EV -5.94%E -3.58%K -8.99%G +0.000%6.66I 15.02%NM 14.39%EV +11.57%E +1.74%K +2.04%G +0.236%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.86%EV -8.56%E -2.49%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 21:50
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.18%EV -11.60%E -7.44%K -20.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV +8.89%E +1.37%K +1.62%G +0.144%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -1.64%E -0.444%K -0.609%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 21:05
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.86%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.38%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV +0.512%E +0.085%K +0.102%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 21:54
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.38%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.40%EV +0.512%E +0.085%K +0.102%G +0.001%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 21:45
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.38%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.20%EV -0.326%E -0.055%K -0.066%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -2.97%E -0.814%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-06 21:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.39%EV -5.94%E -3.58%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.15%EV -1.16%E -0.197%K -0.237%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -4.30%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 21:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.39%EV -5.94%E -3.58%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.15%EV -1.16%E -0.197%K -0.237%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -4.30%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 21:44
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.00%EV -5.37%E -3.22%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.56%EV -3.68%E -0.639%K -0.774%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -4.30%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 20:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -7.64%E -4.68%K -12.12%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.51%EV -5.35%E -0.947%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 21:45
BetAnything🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.26%EV -5.94%E -3.58%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -6.19%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -8.29%E -2.40%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 21:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -3.67%E -2.16%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -7.86%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 21:20
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.37%EV -5.37%E -3.22%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -7.86%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 21:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -5.37%E -3.22%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -7.86%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 21:30
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -5.37%E -3.22%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -7.86%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 21:30
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.42%EV -4.24%E -2.51%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.03%EV -7.86%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 21:20
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.45%EV -6.50%E -3.94%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -7.86%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 21:44
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.47%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -7.86%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.30%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-06 21:54
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.46%EV -8.20%E -5.06%K -13.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -7.86%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 21:44
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.08%EV -9.34%E -5.83%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.31%EV -7.86%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -13.61%E -4.19%K -6.05%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-06 21:45
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.78%EV -11.04%E -7.03%K -19.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.21%EV -7.86%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -12.28%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 21:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 57.95%EV -15.00%E -10.00%K -30.00%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.10%EV -9.54%E -1.77%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.95%EV -10.95%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-06 21:54
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.74%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.50%EV -10.38%E -1.94%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 20:55
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.74%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.50%EV -10.38%E -1.94%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 21:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.50%EV -10.47%E -6.63%K -18.05%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.84%EV -11.21%E -2.12%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -10.95%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-06 21:35
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.50%E -3.94%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -12.05%E -2.30%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 21:14
Bet Right🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.42%EV -5.94%E -3.58%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.52%EV -12.05%E -2.30%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 21:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 56.12%EV -9.90%E -6.23%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -12.05%E -2.30%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.88%EV -11.75%E -3.54%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-06 21:32
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -8.20%E -5.06%K -13.23%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.84%EV -14.56%E -2.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 21:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -6.50%E -3.94%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -16.24%E -3.25%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -12.28%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-06 21:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 54.93%EV -11.04%E -7.03%K -19.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.25%EV -16.24%E -3.25%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.82%EV -17.59%E -5.68%K -8.38%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-06 21:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.52%EV -10.47%E -6.63%K -18.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.90%EV -17.92%E -3.66%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -12.28%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-06 21:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.10%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.7%2026-04-06 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.10%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.7%2026-04-06 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.10%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.7%2026-04-06 21:50
Matchbook◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.10%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.7%2026-04-06 21:50
Smarkets◎1.70I 58.82%NM 57.76%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%1.8%2026-04-06 21:50
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.79%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.71%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50%1.9%2026-04-06 21:40