A Escola das Odds

Argentinos Juniors v Banfield

Início: 2026-04-06 22:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

36 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Argentinos Juniors (Local)

Previsão 56.67%1.76odd justa
EV -3.67%
Vantagem -2.16%
Kelly -5.24%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.64%56.83%56.54%61.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.451.611.631.7068.97%61.96%61.54%58.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Banfield (Visitante)

Previsão 16.75%5.97odd justa
EV +17.26%
Vantagem +2.47%
Kelly +2.88%
Crescimento +0.497%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
13.28%16.63%16.85%18.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.905.735.507.0020.41%17.45%18.18%14.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.58%3.76odd justa
EV +1.01%
Vantagem +0.267%
Kelly +0.362%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.90%26.54%26.62%27.86%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.493.503.8032.26%28.66%28.57%26.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (36 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.53%EV -12.74%E -8.27%K -23.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV +17.26%E +2.47%K +2.88%G +0.497%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV +1.01%E +0.267%K +0.362%G +0.004%5.5%2026-04-06 21:54
Unibet (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.53%EV -12.74%E -8.27%K -23.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV +17.26%E +2.47%K +2.88%G +0.497%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV +1.01%E +0.267%K +0.362%G +0.004%5.5%2026-04-06 21:55
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 61.55%EV -16.14%E -10.90%K -33.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV +13.08%E +1.94%K +2.27%G +0.297%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -2.97%E -0.814%K -1.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 21:55
LiveScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 61.55%EV -16.14%E -10.90%K -33.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV +13.08%E +1.94%K +2.27%G +0.297%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -2.97%E -0.814%K -1.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 21:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 61.82%EV -17.84%E -12.30%K -39.63%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.28%EV +13.08%E +1.94%K +2.27%G +0.297%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -4.30%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-06 21:55
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.74%EV -5.94%E -3.58%K -8.99%G +0.000%6.66I 15.02%NM 14.39%EV +11.57%E +1.74%K +2.04%G +0.236%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.86%EV -8.56%E -2.49%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 21:50
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.18%EV -11.60%E -7.44%K -20.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV +8.89%E +1.37%K +1.62%G +0.144%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -1.64%E -0.444%K -0.609%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 21:05
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.86%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.38%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV +0.512%E +0.085%K +0.102%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 21:54
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.38%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.40%EV +0.512%E +0.085%K +0.102%G +0.001%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 21:45
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.38%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.20%EV -0.326%E -0.055%K -0.066%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -2.97%E -0.814%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-06 21:55
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 57.39%EV -5.94%E -3.58%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.15%EV -1.16%E -0.197%K -0.237%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -4.30%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 21:45
BetOnline.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 57.39%EV -5.94%E -3.58%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.15%EV -1.16%E -0.197%K -0.237%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -4.30%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 21:44
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.00%EV -5.37%E -3.22%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.56%EV -3.68%E -0.639%K -0.774%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -4.30%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 20:39
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -7.64%E -4.68%K -12.12%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.51%EV -5.35%E -0.947%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 21:45
BetAnything1.66I 60.24%NM 56.26%EV -5.94%E -3.58%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -6.19%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -8.29%E -2.40%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 21:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -3.67%E -2.16%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -7.86%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 21:20
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.37%EV -5.37%E -3.22%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -7.86%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 21:24
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -5.37%E -3.22%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -7.86%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 21:30
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -5.37%E -3.22%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -7.86%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 21:30
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 55.42%EV -4.24%E -2.51%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.03%EV -7.86%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 21:20
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.45%EV -6.50%E -3.94%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -7.86%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 21:44
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.47%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -7.86%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.30%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-06 21:54
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 56.46%EV -8.20%E -5.06%K -13.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -7.86%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 21:44
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.08%EV -9.34%E -5.83%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.31%EV -7.86%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -13.61%E -4.19%K -6.05%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-06 21:45
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 56.78%EV -11.04%E -7.03%K -19.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.21%EV -7.86%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -12.28%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 21:55
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 57.95%EV -15.00%E -10.00%K -30.00%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.10%EV -9.54%E -1.77%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.95%EV -10.95%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-06 21:54
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.74%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.50%EV -10.38%E -1.94%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 20:55
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.74%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.50%EV -10.38%E -1.94%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 21:00
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 56.50%EV -10.47%E -6.63%K -18.05%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.84%EV -11.21%E -2.12%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -10.95%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-06 21:35
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.50%E -3.94%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -12.05%E -2.30%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 21:14
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 55.42%EV -5.94%E -3.58%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.52%EV -12.05%E -2.30%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 21:00
Betclic (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 56.12%EV -9.90%E -6.23%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -12.05%E -2.30%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.88%EV -11.75%E -3.54%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-06 21:32
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -8.20%E -5.06%K -13.23%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.84%EV -14.56%E -2.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 21:30
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -6.50%E -3.94%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -16.24%E -3.25%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -12.28%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-06 21:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.93%EV -11.04%E -7.03%K -19.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.25%EV -16.24%E -3.25%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.82%EV -17.59%E -5.68%K -8.38%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-06 21:24
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.52%EV -10.47%E -6.63%K -18.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.90%EV -17.92%E -3.66%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -12.28%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-06 21:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.10%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.7%2026-04-06 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.10%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.7%2026-04-06 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.10%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.7%2026-04-06 21:50
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 58.10%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.7%2026-04-06 21:50
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.76%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%1.8%2026-04-06 21:50
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.79%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.71%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50%1.9%2026-04-06 21:40