Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Argentinos Juniors v Banfield

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-06 22:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Argentinos Juniors (Local)

Prévision 56.67%1.76cote équitable
EV -3.67%
Avantage -2.16%
Kelly -5.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.64%56.83%56.54%61.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.451.611.631.7068.97%61.96%61.54%58.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Banfield (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.75%5.97cote équitable
EV +17.26%
Avantage +2.47%
Kelly +2.88%
Croissance +0.497%

avec la cote maximale 7.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.28%16.63%16.85%18.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.905.735.507.0020.41%17.45%18.18%14.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.58%3.76cote équitable
EV +1.01%
Avantage +0.267%
Kelly +0.362%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.90%26.54%26.62%27.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.493.503.8032.26%28.66%28.57%26.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Argentinos Juniors (Local) : 56.67% ; Banfield (Visiteur) : 16.75% ; Match nul : 26.58%. Pour Banfield (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.97. 9 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 7.00, soit une espérance positive de +17.26%.

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.53%EV -12.74%E -8.27%K -23.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV +17.26%E +2.47%K +2.88%G +0.497%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV +1.01%E +0.267%K +0.362%G +0.004%5.5%2026-04-06 21:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.53%EV -12.74%E -8.27%K -23.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV +17.26%E +2.47%K +2.88%G +0.497%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV +1.01%E +0.267%K +0.362%G +0.004%5.5%2026-04-06 21:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.55%EV -16.14%E -10.90%K -33.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV +13.08%E +1.94%K +2.27%G +0.297%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -2.97%E -0.814%K -1.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 21:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.55%EV -16.14%E -10.90%K -33.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV +13.08%E +1.94%K +2.27%G +0.297%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -2.97%E -0.814%K -1.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 21:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.82%EV -17.84%E -12.30%K -39.63%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.28%EV +13.08%E +1.94%K +2.27%G +0.297%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -4.30%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-06 21:55
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.74%EV -5.94%E -3.58%K -8.99%G +0.000%6.66I 15.02%NM 14.39%EV +11.57%E +1.74%K +2.04%G +0.236%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.86%EV -8.56%E -2.49%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 21:50
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.18%EV -11.60%E -7.44%K -20.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV +8.89%E +1.37%K +1.62%G +0.144%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -1.64%E -0.444%K -0.609%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 21:05
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.86%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.38%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV +0.512%E +0.085%K +0.102%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 21:54
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.38%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.40%EV +0.512%E +0.085%K +0.102%G +0.001%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 21:45
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.38%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.20%EV -0.326%E -0.055%K -0.066%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -2.97%E -0.814%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-06 21:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.39%EV -5.94%E -3.58%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.15%EV -1.16%E -0.197%K -0.237%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -4.30%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 21:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.39%EV -5.94%E -3.58%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.15%EV -1.16%E -0.197%K -0.237%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -4.30%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 21:44
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.00%EV -5.37%E -3.22%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.56%EV -3.68%E -0.639%K -0.774%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -4.30%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 20:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -7.64%E -4.68%K -12.12%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.51%EV -5.35%E -0.947%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 21:45
BetAnything🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.26%EV -5.94%E -3.58%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -6.19%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -8.29%E -2.40%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 21:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -3.67%E -2.16%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -7.86%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 21:20
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.37%EV -5.37%E -3.22%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -7.86%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 21:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -5.37%E -3.22%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -7.86%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 21:30
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -5.37%E -3.22%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -7.86%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 21:30
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.42%EV -4.24%E -2.51%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.03%EV -7.86%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 21:20
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.45%EV -6.50%E -3.94%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -7.86%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 21:44
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.47%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -7.86%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.30%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-06 21:54
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.46%EV -8.20%E -5.06%K -13.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -7.86%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 21:44
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.08%EV -9.34%E -5.83%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.31%EV -7.86%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -13.61%E -4.19%K -6.05%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-06 21:45
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.78%EV -11.04%E -7.03%K -19.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.21%EV -7.86%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -12.28%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 21:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 57.95%EV -15.00%E -10.00%K -30.00%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.10%EV -9.54%E -1.77%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.95%EV -10.95%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-06 21:54
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.74%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.50%EV -10.38%E -1.94%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 20:55
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.74%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.50%EV -10.38%E -1.94%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 21:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.50%EV -10.47%E -6.63%K -18.05%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.84%EV -11.21%E -2.12%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -10.95%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-06 21:35
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.50%E -3.94%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -12.05%E -2.30%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 21:14
Bet Right🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.42%EV -5.94%E -3.58%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.52%EV -12.05%E -2.30%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 21:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 56.12%EV -9.90%E -6.23%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -12.05%E -2.30%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.88%EV -11.75%E -3.54%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-06 21:32
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -8.20%E -5.06%K -13.23%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.84%EV -14.56%E -2.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 21:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -6.50%E -3.94%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -16.24%E -3.25%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -12.28%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-06 21:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 54.93%EV -11.04%E -7.03%K -19.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.25%EV -16.24%E -3.25%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.82%EV -17.59%E -5.68%K -8.38%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-06 21:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.52%EV -10.47%E -6.63%K -18.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.90%EV -17.92%E -3.66%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -12.28%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-06 21:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.10%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.7%2026-04-06 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.10%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.7%2026-04-06 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.10%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.7%2026-04-06 21:50
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 58.10%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.7%2026-04-06 21:50
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.76%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%1.8%2026-04-06 21:50
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.79%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.71%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50%1.9%2026-04-06 21:40