La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Argentinos Juniors v Banfield
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Argentinos Juniors (Local)
Predicción 56.67%1.76momio equitativo
EV -3.67%
Ventaja -2.16%
Kelly -5.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.64%56.83%56.54%61.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.451.611.631.7068.97%61.96%61.54%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Banfield (Visitante)
Predicción 16.75%5.97momio equitativo
EV +17.26%
Ventaja +2.47%
Kelly +2.88%
Crecimiento +0.497%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.28%16.63%16.85%18.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.905.735.507.0020.41%17.45%18.18%14.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.58%3.76momio equitativo
EV +1.01%
Ventaja +0.267%
Kelly +0.362%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.90%26.54%26.62%27.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.493.503.8032.26%28.66%28.57%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (36 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.53%EV -12.74%E -8.27%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV +17.26%E +2.47%K +2.88%G +0.497% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV +1.01%E +0.267%K +0.362%G +0.004% | 5.5% | 2026-04-06 21:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.53%EV -12.74%E -8.27%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV +17.26%E +2.47%K +2.88%G +0.497% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV +1.01%E +0.267%K +0.362%G +0.004% | 5.5% | 2026-04-06 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.55%EV -16.14%E -10.90%K -33.62%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV +13.08%E +1.94%K +2.27%G +0.297% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -2.97%E -0.814%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 21:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.55%EV -16.14%E -10.90%K -33.62%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV +13.08%E +1.94%K +2.27%G +0.297% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -2.97%E -0.814%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 21:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.82%EV -17.84%E -12.30%K -39.63%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.28%EV +13.08%E +1.94%K +2.27%G +0.297% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -4.30%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-06 21:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.74%EV -5.94%E -3.58%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 6.66I 15.02%NM 14.39%EV +11.57%E +1.74%K +2.04%G +0.236% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.86%EV -8.56%E -2.49%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-06 21:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.18%EV -11.60%E -7.44%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV +8.89%E +1.37%K +1.62%G +0.144% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -1.64%E -0.444%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 21:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.86%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV +0.512%E +0.085%K +0.102%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 21:54 |
| SportsBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.40%EV +0.512%E +0.085%K +0.102%G +0.001% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-06 21:45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.38%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 16.20%EV -0.326%E -0.055%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -2.97%E -0.814%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-06 21:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.39%EV -5.94%E -3.58%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.15%EV -1.16%E -0.197%K -0.237%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -4.30%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-06 21:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.39%EV -5.94%E -3.58%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.15%EV -1.16%E -0.197%K -0.237%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -4.30%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-06 21:44 |
| Fanatics | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.00%EV -5.37%E -3.22%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.56%EV -3.68%E -0.639%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -4.30%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-06 20:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -7.64%E -4.68%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.51%EV -5.35%E -0.947%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 21:45 |
| BetAnything | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.26%EV -5.94%E -3.58%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -6.19%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -8.29%E -2.40%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -3.67%E -2.16%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -7.86%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-06 21:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.37%EV -5.37%E -3.22%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -7.86%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 21:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -5.37%E -3.22%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -7.86%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 21:30 |
| theScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -5.37%E -3.22%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -7.86%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 21:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.42%EV -4.24%E -2.51%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.03%EV -7.86%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-06 21:20 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.45%EV -6.50%E -3.94%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -7.86%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 21:44 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.47%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -7.86%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.30%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-06 21:54 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.46%EV -8.20%E -5.06%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -7.86%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-06 21:44 |
| Sky Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.08%EV -9.34%E -5.83%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.31%EV -7.86%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -13.61%E -4.19%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-06 21:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.78%EV -11.04%E -7.03%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.21%EV -7.86%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -12.28%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-06 21:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.95%EV -15.00%E -10.00%K -30.00%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.10%EV -9.54%E -1.77%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.95%EV -10.95%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-06 21:54 |
| Betsson | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.74%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.50%EV -10.38%E -1.94%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-06 20:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.74%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.50%EV -10.38%E -1.94%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-06 21:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.50%EV -10.47%E -6.63%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.84%EV -11.21%E -2.12%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -10.95%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-06 21:35 |
| PlayUp | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.50%E -3.94%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -12.05%E -2.30%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-06 21:14 |
| Bet Right | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.42%EV -5.94%E -3.58%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.52%EV -12.05%E -2.30%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 21:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 56.12%EV -9.90%E -6.23%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -12.05%E -2.30%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 26.88%EV -11.75%E -3.54%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-06 21:32 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -8.20%E -5.06%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.84%EV -14.56%E -2.86%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-06 21:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -6.50%E -3.94%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -16.24%E -3.25%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -12.28%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-06 21:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.93%EV -11.04%E -7.03%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.25%EV -16.24%E -3.25%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.82%EV -17.59%E -5.68%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-06 21:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.52%EV -10.47%E -6.63%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.90%EV -17.92%E -3.66%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -12.28%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-06 21:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.10% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 0.7% | 2026-04-06 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.10% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 0.7% | 2026-04-06 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.10% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 0.7% | 2026-04-06 21:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.10% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 0.7% | 2026-04-06 21:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.76% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90% | 1.8% | 2026-04-06 21:50 |
| Kalshi | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.79% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.71% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50% | 1.9% | 2026-04-06 21:40 |