Language:English
Aldosivi Mar del Plata v Atlético Tucuman
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Local)
Prediction 28.57%3.50fair odd
EV +4.86%
Edge +1.33%
Kelly +1.82%
Growth +0.089%
assuming max odds 3.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.15%28.66%28.53%29.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.243.253.6733.33%30.87%30.77%27.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atlético Tucuman (Visit)
Prediction 39.46%2.53fair odd
EV -2.92%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -2.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.46
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.75%39.42%39.51%41.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.182.342.352.4645.87%42.76%42.55%40.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.96%3.13fair odd
EV -3.15%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -1.55%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.03
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.77%31.92%31.96%33.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.902.903.0337.04%34.51%34.48%33.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Local): 28.57%; Atlético Tucuman (Visit): 39.46%; Draw: 31.96%. For Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.50. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.67, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.86%.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.15%EV +4.86%E +1.33%K +1.82%G +0.089% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.20%EV -8.05%E -3.46%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.65%EV -6.03%E -2.05%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-21 17:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -2.85%E -0.838%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.27%EV -2.92%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.31%EV -4.43%E -1.48%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-21 17:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -2.85%E -0.838%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.27%EV -2.92%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.31%EV -4.43%E -1.48%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-21 17:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -2.85%E -0.838%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.27%EV -2.92%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.31%EV -4.43%E -1.48%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-21 17:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -2.85%E -0.838%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -9.24%E -4.02%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.11%E -1.37%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-21 15:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.61%EV -3.42%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.47%EV -3.32%E -1.35%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.92%EV -3.15%E -1.04%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-21 17:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -4.28%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.26%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.11%EV -6.67%E -2.28%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-21 17:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -4.28%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.26%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.11%EV -6.67%E -2.28%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-21 17:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -3.32%E -1.35%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -8.90%E -3.12%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-21 17:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.66%EV -6.47%E -2.73%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -5.71%E -1.93%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-21 17:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.28%EV -8.05%E -3.46%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -4.11%E -1.37%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-21 17:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.28%EV -8.05%E -3.46%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -4.11%E -1.37%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-21 17:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -9.24%E -4.02%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -4.11%E -1.37%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-21 17:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.60%EV -7.26%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.20%EV -7.62%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-21 17:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -10.50%E -3.75%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-21 17:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -7.14%E -2.20%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.69%EV -3.32%E -1.35%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.14%EV -5.71%E -1.93%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-21 17:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -7.14%E -2.20%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-21 17:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.14%E -2.20%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.17%EV -6.08%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-21 17:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.14%E -2.20%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -7.26%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-21 17:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.14%E -2.20%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -9.24%E -4.02%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.94%E -2.76%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-21 12:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-21 17:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -7.26%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -5.71%E -1.93%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-21 17:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.24%E -4.02%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-21 17:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -9.24%E -4.02%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.94%E -2.76%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-21 17:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.09%EV -6.08%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -13.70%E -5.07%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-21 17:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -9.99%E -3.17%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-21 17:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -9.99%E -3.17%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -9.24%E -4.02%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -5.71%E -1.93%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-21 10:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.43%EV -9.99%E -3.17%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.15%EV -12.00%E -5.38%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.42%EV -8.90%E -3.12%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-21 17:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.43%EV -9.99%E -3.17%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.15%EV -12.00%E -5.38%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.42%EV -8.90%E -3.12%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-21 17:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.42%E -3.68%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.24%E -4.02%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-21 14:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.42%E -3.68%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -6.08%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -13.70%E -5.07%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-21 17:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.38%EV -11.42%E -3.68%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 39.63%EV -12.39%E -5.58%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.99%EV -12.10%E -4.40%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-21 17:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -11.42%E -3.68%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.20%EV -13.97%E -6.41%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 31.53%EV -11.14%E -4.01%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-21 17:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -12.85%E -4.21%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.24%E -4.02%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -5.71%E -1.93%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-21 17:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.77%EV -12.85%E -4.21%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -13.18%E -5.99%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.34%EV -10.50%E -3.75%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-21 17:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.67%EV -12.85%E -4.21%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.11%EV -13.97%E -6.41%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.23%EV -10.50%E -3.75%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-21 17:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -14.28%E -4.76%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.85%EV -9.24%E -4.02%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -8.90%E -3.12%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-21 17:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.10% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.66% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.25% | 0.3% | 2026-09-21 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.10% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.66% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.25% | 0.3% | 2026-09-21 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.50% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11% | 0.7% | 2026-09-21 17:24 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.53% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88% | 1.4% | 2026-09-21 17:24 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.17% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.42% | 2.0% | 2026-09-21 17:20 |