Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Aldosivi Mar del Plata v Atlético Tucuman

Inizio: 2026-09-21 17:30 UTC

Finale: Aldosivi Mar del Plata 1–0 Atlético Tucuman

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

37 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Casa)

Previsione 28.57%3.50quota equa
EV +4.86%
Vantaggio +1.33%
Kelly +1.82%
Crescita +0.089%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.67

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.15%28.66%28.53%29.79%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.243.253.6733.33%30.87%30.77%27.25%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Atlético Tucuman (Trasferta)

Previsione 39.46%2.53quota equa
EV -2.92%
Vantaggio -1.19%
Kelly -2.00%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.46

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.75%39.42%39.51%41.20%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.182.342.352.4645.87%42.76%42.55%40.65%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 31.96%3.13quota equa
EV -3.15%
Vantaggio -1.04%
Kelly -1.55%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.03

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.77%31.92%31.96%33.58%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.902.903.0337.04%34.51%34.48%33.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Casa): 28.57%; Atlético Tucuman (Trasferta): 39.46%; Pareggio: 31.96%. Per Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.50. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 3.67, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +4.86%.

Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯3.67I 27.25%NM 26.15%EV +4.86%E +1.33%K +1.82%G +0.089%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.20%EV -8.05%E -3.46%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.65%EV -6.03%E -2.05%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-21 17:24
LowVig.ag🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -2.85%E -0.838%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.27%EV -2.92%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.31%EV -4.43%E -1.48%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-21 17:19
BetOnline.ag🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -2.85%E -0.838%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.27%EV -2.92%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.31%EV -4.43%E -1.48%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-21 17:19
BetAnything🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -2.85%E -0.838%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.27%EV -2.92%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.31%EV -4.43%E -1.48%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-21 17:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -2.85%E -0.838%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -9.24%E -4.02%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.11%E -1.37%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-21 15:45
Pinnacle🎯3.38I 29.59%NM 28.61%EV -3.42%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.47%EV -3.32%E -1.35%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.92%EV -3.15%E -1.04%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-21 17:15
Betsson🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -4.28%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.26%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.11%EV -6.67%E -2.28%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-21 17:09
NordicBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -4.28%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.26%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.11%EV -6.67%E -2.28%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-21 17:09
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -3.32%E -1.35%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -8.90%E -3.12%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-21 17:20
Codere (IT)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.66%EV -6.47%E -2.73%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -5.71%E -1.93%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-21 17:09
Unibet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.28%EV -8.05%E -3.46%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -4.11%E -1.37%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-21 17:14
Unibet (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.28%EV -8.05%E -3.46%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -4.11%E -1.37%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-21 17:14
Fanatics🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -9.24%E -4.02%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -4.11%E -1.37%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-21 17:09
Marathon Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.60%EV -7.26%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.20%EV -7.62%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-21 17:20
SportsBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -10.50%E -3.75%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-21 17:19
DraftKings🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -7.14%E -2.20%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.69%EV -3.32%E -1.35%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.14%EV -5.71%E -1.93%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-21 17:24
Bovada🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -7.14%E -2.20%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-21 17:24
Betway🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.14%E -2.20%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.17%EV -6.08%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-21 17:24
PlayUp🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.14%E -2.20%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -7.26%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-21 17:09
BoyleSports🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.14%E -2.20%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -9.24%E -4.02%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.94%E -2.76%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-21 12:29
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-21 17:24
BetMGM🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -7.26%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -5.71%E -1.93%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-21 17:24
BetRivers🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.24%E -4.02%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-21 17:14
betfred_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -9.24%E -4.02%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.94%E -2.76%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-21 17:24
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.09%EV -6.08%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -13.70%E -5.07%K -8.06%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-21 17:24
theScore Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -9.99%E -3.17%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-21 17:24
Bet Right🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -9.99%E -3.17%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -9.24%E -4.02%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -5.71%E -1.93%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-21 10:59
Virgin Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.43%EV -9.99%E -3.17%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.15%EV -12.00%E -5.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.42%EV -8.90%E -3.12%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-21 17:14
LiveScore Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.43%EV -9.99%E -3.17%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.15%EV -12.00%E -5.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.42%EV -8.90%E -3.12%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-21 17:14
Betr (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.42%E -3.68%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.24%E -4.02%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-21 14:19
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.42%E -3.68%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -6.08%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -13.70%E -5.07%K -8.06%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-21 17:24
NetBet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.38%EV -11.42%E -3.68%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 39.63%EV -12.39%E -5.58%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.99%EV -12.10%E -4.40%K -6.91%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-21 17:14
Betclic (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -11.42%E -3.68%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.20%EV -13.97%E -6.41%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 31.53%EV -11.14%E -4.01%K -6.26%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-21 17:09
Winamax (DE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -12.85%E -4.21%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.24%E -4.02%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -5.71%E -1.93%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-21 17:24
Unibet (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.77%EV -12.85%E -4.21%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -13.18%E -5.99%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.34%EV -10.50%E -3.75%K -5.83%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-21 17:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.67%EV -12.85%E -4.21%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.11%EV -13.97%E -6.41%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.23%EV -10.50%E -3.75%K -5.83%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-21 17:14
Winamax (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -14.28%E -4.76%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.85%EV -9.24%E -4.02%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -8.90%E -3.12%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-21 17:24
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.55I 28.17%NM 28.10%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.66%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.25%0.3%2026-09-21 17:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.55I 28.17%NM 28.10%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.66%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.25%0.3%2026-09-21 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.50%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11%0.7%2026-09-21 17:24
Smarkets◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.53%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88%1.4%2026-09-21 17:24
Kalshi◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.17%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.42%2.0%2026-09-21 17:20