StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Aldosivi Mar del Plata v Atlético Tucuman

Matchstart: 2026-09-21 17:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Aldosivi Mar del Plata 1–0 Atlético Tucuman

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

37 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Hemma)

Prognos 28.57%3.50rättvist odds
EV +4.86%
Fördel +1.33%
Kelly +1.82%
Tillväxt +0.089%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.67

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.15%28.66%28.53%29.79%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.003.243.253.6733.33%30.87%30.77%27.25%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Atlético Tucuman (Borta)

Prognos 39.46%2.53rättvist odds
EV -2.92%
Fördel -1.19%
Kelly -2.00%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.46

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
37.75%39.42%39.51%41.20%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.182.342.352.4645.87%42.76%42.55%40.65%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 31.96%3.13rättvist odds
EV -3.15%
Fördel -1.04%
Kelly -1.55%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.03

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
30.77%31.92%31.96%33.58%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.702.902.903.0337.04%34.51%34.48%33.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Hemma): 28.57%; Atlético Tucuman (Borta): 39.46%; Oavgjort: 31.96%. För Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.50. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.67, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +4.86%.

Spelbolagsodds (37 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯3.67I 27.25%NM 26.15%EV +4.86%E +1.33%K +1.82%G +0.089%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.20%EV -8.05%E -3.46%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.65%EV -6.03%E -2.05%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-21 17:24
LowVig.ag🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -2.85%E -0.838%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.27%EV -2.92%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.31%EV -4.43%E -1.48%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-21 17:19
BetOnline.ag🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -2.85%E -0.838%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.27%EV -2.92%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.31%EV -4.43%E -1.48%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-21 17:19
BetAnything🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -2.85%E -0.838%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.27%EV -2.92%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.31%EV -4.43%E -1.48%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-21 17:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -2.85%E -0.838%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -9.24%E -4.02%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.11%E -1.37%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-21 15:45
Pinnacle🎯3.38I 29.59%NM 28.61%EV -3.42%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.47%EV -3.32%E -1.35%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.92%EV -3.15%E -1.04%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-21 17:15
Betsson🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -4.28%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.26%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.11%EV -6.67%E -2.28%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-21 17:09
NordicBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -4.28%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.26%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.11%EV -6.67%E -2.28%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-21 17:09
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -3.32%E -1.35%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -8.90%E -3.12%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-21 17:20
Codere (IT)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.66%EV -6.47%E -2.73%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -5.71%E -1.93%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-21 17:09
Unibet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.28%EV -8.05%E -3.46%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -4.11%E -1.37%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-21 17:14
Unibet (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.28%EV -8.05%E -3.46%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -4.11%E -1.37%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-21 17:14
Fanatics🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -9.24%E -4.02%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -4.11%E -1.37%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-21 17:09
Marathon Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.60%EV -7.26%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.20%EV -7.62%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-21 17:20
SportsBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -10.50%E -3.75%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-21 17:19
DraftKings🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -7.14%E -2.20%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.69%EV -3.32%E -1.35%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.14%EV -5.71%E -1.93%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-21 17:24
Bovada🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -7.14%E -2.20%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-21 17:24
Betway🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.14%E -2.20%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.17%EV -6.08%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-21 17:24
PlayUp🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.14%E -2.20%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -7.26%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-21 17:09
BoyleSports🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.14%E -2.20%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -9.24%E -4.02%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.94%E -2.76%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-21 12:29
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-21 17:24
BetMGM🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -7.26%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -5.71%E -1.93%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-21 17:24
BetRivers🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.24%E -4.02%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-21 17:14
betfred_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -9.24%E -4.02%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.94%E -2.76%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-21 17:24
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.09%EV -6.08%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -13.70%E -5.07%K -8.06%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-21 17:24
theScore Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -9.99%E -3.17%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-21 17:24
Bet Right🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -9.99%E -3.17%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -9.24%E -4.02%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -5.71%E -1.93%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-21 10:59
Virgin Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.43%EV -9.99%E -3.17%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.15%EV -12.00%E -5.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.42%EV -8.90%E -3.12%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-21 17:14
LiveScore Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.43%EV -9.99%E -3.17%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.15%EV -12.00%E -5.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.42%EV -8.90%E -3.12%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-21 17:14
Betr (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.42%E -3.68%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.24%E -4.02%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-21 14:19
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.42%E -3.68%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -6.08%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -13.70%E -5.07%K -8.06%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-21 17:24
NetBet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.38%EV -11.42%E -3.68%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 39.63%EV -12.39%E -5.58%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.99%EV -12.10%E -4.40%K -6.91%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-21 17:14
Betclic (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -11.42%E -3.68%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.20%EV -13.97%E -6.41%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 31.53%EV -11.14%E -4.01%K -6.26%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-21 17:09
Winamax (DE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -12.85%E -4.21%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.24%E -4.02%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -5.71%E -1.93%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-21 17:24
Unibet (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.77%EV -12.85%E -4.21%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -13.18%E -5.99%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.34%EV -10.50%E -3.75%K -5.83%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-21 17:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.67%EV -12.85%E -4.21%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.11%EV -13.97%E -6.41%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.23%EV -10.50%E -3.75%K -5.83%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-21 17:14
Winamax (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -14.28%E -4.76%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.85%EV -9.24%E -4.02%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -8.90%E -3.12%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-21 17:24
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.55I 28.17%NM 28.10%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.66%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.25%0.3%2026-09-21 17:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.55I 28.17%NM 28.10%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.66%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.25%0.3%2026-09-21 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.50%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11%0.7%2026-09-21 17:24
Smarkets◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.53%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88%1.4%2026-09-21 17:24
Kalshi◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.17%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.42%2.0%2026-09-21 17:20