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Aldosivi Mar del Plata v Atlético Tucuman
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Local)
Predicción 28.57%3.50momio equitativo
EV +4.86%
Ventaja +1.33%
Kelly +1.82%
Crecimiento +0.089%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.67
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.15%28.66%28.53%29.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.243.253.6733.33%30.87%30.77%27.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Atlético Tucuman (Visitante)
Predicción 39.46%2.53momio equitativo
EV -2.92%
Ventaja -1.19%
Kelly -2.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.46
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.75%39.42%39.51%41.20%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.182.342.352.4645.87%42.76%42.55%40.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 31.96%3.13momio equitativo
EV -3.15%
Ventaja -1.04%
Kelly -1.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.03
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.77%31.92%31.96%33.58%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.702.902.903.0337.04%34.51%34.48%33.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Local): 28.57%; Atlético Tucuman (Visitante): 39.46%; Empate: 31.96%. Para Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.50. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.67, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.86%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.15%EV +4.86%E +1.33%K +1.82%G +0.089% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.20%EV -8.05%E -3.46%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.65%EV -6.03%E -2.05%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-21 17:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -2.85%E -0.838%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.27%EV -2.92%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.31%EV -4.43%E -1.48%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-21 17:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -2.85%E -0.838%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.27%EV -2.92%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.31%EV -4.43%E -1.48%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-21 17:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -2.85%E -0.838%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.27%EV -2.92%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.31%EV -4.43%E -1.48%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-21 17:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -2.85%E -0.838%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -9.24%E -4.02%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.11%E -1.37%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-21 15:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.61%EV -3.42%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.47%EV -3.32%E -1.35%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.92%EV -3.15%E -1.04%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-21 17:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -4.28%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.26%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.11%EV -6.67%E -2.28%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-21 17:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -4.28%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.26%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.11%EV -6.67%E -2.28%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-21 17:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -3.32%E -1.35%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -8.90%E -3.12%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-21 17:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.66%EV -6.47%E -2.73%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -5.71%E -1.93%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-21 17:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.28%EV -8.05%E -3.46%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -4.11%E -1.37%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-21 17:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.28%EV -8.05%E -3.46%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -4.11%E -1.37%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-21 17:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -9.24%E -4.02%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -4.11%E -1.37%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-21 17:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.60%EV -7.26%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.20%EV -7.62%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-21 17:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -10.50%E -3.75%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-21 17:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -7.14%E -2.20%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.69%EV -3.32%E -1.35%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.14%EV -5.71%E -1.93%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-21 17:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -7.14%E -2.20%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-21 17:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.14%E -2.20%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.17%EV -6.08%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-21 17:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.14%E -2.20%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -7.26%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-21 17:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.14%E -2.20%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -9.24%E -4.02%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.94%E -2.76%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-21 12:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-21 17:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -7.26%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -5.71%E -1.93%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-21 17:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.24%E -4.02%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-21 17:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -9.24%E -4.02%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.94%E -2.76%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-21 17:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.09%EV -6.08%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -13.70%E -5.07%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-21 17:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -9.99%E -3.17%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-21 17:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -9.99%E -3.17%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -9.24%E -4.02%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -5.71%E -1.93%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-21 10:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.43%EV -9.99%E -3.17%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.15%EV -12.00%E -5.38%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.42%EV -8.90%E -3.12%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-21 17:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.43%EV -9.99%E -3.17%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.15%EV -12.00%E -5.38%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.42%EV -8.90%E -3.12%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-21 17:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.42%E -3.68%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.24%E -4.02%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-21 14:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.42%E -3.68%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -6.08%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -13.70%E -5.07%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-21 17:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.38%EV -11.42%E -3.68%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 39.63%EV -12.39%E -5.58%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.99%EV -12.10%E -4.40%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-21 17:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -11.42%E -3.68%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.20%EV -13.97%E -6.41%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 31.53%EV -11.14%E -4.01%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-21 17:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -12.85%E -4.21%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.24%E -4.02%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -5.71%E -1.93%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-21 17:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.77%EV -12.85%E -4.21%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -13.18%E -5.99%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.34%EV -10.50%E -3.75%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-21 17:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.67%EV -12.85%E -4.21%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.11%EV -13.97%E -6.41%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.23%EV -10.50%E -3.75%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-21 17:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -14.28%E -4.76%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.85%EV -9.24%E -4.02%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -8.90%E -3.12%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-21 17:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.10% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.66% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.25% | 0.3% | 2026-09-21 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.10% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.66% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.25% | 0.3% | 2026-09-21 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.50% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11% | 0.7% | 2026-09-21 17:24 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.53% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88% | 1.4% | 2026-09-21 17:24 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.17% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.42% | 2.0% | 2026-09-21 17:20 |