Language:English
Washington Capitals v Utah Mammoth
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Washington Capitals (Local)
Prediction 50.69%1.97fair odd
EV +0.877%
Edge +0.441%
Kelly +0.886%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 1.99
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.58%50.79%50.52%52.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.871.871.9958.82%53.47%53.48%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Utah Mammoth (Visit)
Prediction 49.31%2.03fair odd
EV -0.398%
Edge -0.197%
Kelly -0.390%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.26%49.21%49.48%51.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.941.952.0254.64%51.49%51.28%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Capitals (Local): 50.69%; Utah Mammoth (Visit): 49.31%. For Washington Capitals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.97. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.99, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.877%.
22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.58%EV +0.877%E +0.441%K +0.886%G +0.008% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.42%EV -7.30%E -3.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.58%EV +0.877%E +0.441%K +0.886%G +0.008% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.42%EV -7.30%E -3.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.66%E -0.854%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -3.68%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.68%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.32%E -3.32%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.68%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.32%E -3.32%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.19%E -2.22%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.19%E -2.22%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.19%E -2.22%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.19%E -2.22%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.70%E -2.50%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 00:01 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 23:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.71%E -3.07%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -2.37%E -1.20%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 00:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.38%E -0.692%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 17:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.38%E -0.692%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.38%E -0.692%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 17:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -1.88%E -0.943%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-03 23:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -7.74%E -4.25%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -0.398%E -0.197%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-03 20:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -7.74%E -4.25%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -0.398%E -0.197%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-03 20:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -8.25%E -4.56%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -0.398%E -0.197%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 20:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -8.75%E -4.86%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -2.37%E -1.20%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-03 17:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -8.75%E -4.86%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -2.37%E -1.20%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-03 17:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.84%EV -13.82%E -8.13%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -9.77%E -5.34%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-03 23:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.25% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 49.75% | 0.0% | 2026-03-03 23:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.87% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.13% | 1.8% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38% | 1.8% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.87% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.13% | 2.8% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.92% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82% | 3.1% | 2026-03-03 20:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.92% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82% | 3.1% | 2026-03-03 20:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.92% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82% | 3.1% | 2026-03-03 20:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.92% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82% | 3.1% | 2026-03-03 21:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.42% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.72% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.86% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.77% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.43% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.33% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.92% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.59% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.69% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.96% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.86% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.18% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 20:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.96% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.86% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.18% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 20:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.96% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.86% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.18% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 20:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.96% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.86% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.18% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 20:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.27% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.78% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95% | 6.3% | 2026-03-03 20:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.70% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.41% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89% | 6.6% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.85% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73% | 7.3% | 2026-03-03 20:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.22% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.76% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02% | 8.1% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.52% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.27% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.64% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.10% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26% | 9.4% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.67% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.10% | 9.6% | 2026-03-03 23:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.22% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.71% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.07% | 10.5% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 36.51% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42% | 10.9% | 2026-03-04 00:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.01% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.32% | 14.4% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |