L’École des cotes

Washington Capitals v Utah Mammoth

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-04 00:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Washington Capitals (Local)

Prévision 50.69%1.97cote équitable
EV +0.877%
Avantage +0.441%
Kelly +0.886%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 1.99

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.58%50.79%50.52%52.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.871.871.9958.82%53.47%53.48%50.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Utah Mammoth (Visiteur)

Prévision 49.31%2.03cote équitable
EV -0.398%
Avantage -0.197%
Kelly -0.390%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.26%49.21%49.48%51.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.941.952.0254.64%51.49%51.28%49.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 48.58%EV +0.877%E +0.441%K +0.886%G +0.008%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.42%EV -7.30%E -3.88%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-04 00:05
BetOnline.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 48.58%EV +0.877%E +0.441%K +0.886%G +0.008%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.42%EV -7.30%E -3.88%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-04 00:05
Pinnacle1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.66%E -0.854%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-04 00:05
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 00:00
GTbets1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 00:00
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 00:00
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 00:00
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 00:00
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 00:00
FanDuel1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -3.68%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 00:00
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.68%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.32%E -3.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 00:05
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.68%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.32%E -3.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 00:00
DraftKings1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.19%E -2.22%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 00:00
NordicBet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.19%E -2.22%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 00:05
Betsson1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.19%E -2.22%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 00:05
SportsBet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.19%E -2.22%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 00:00
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.70%E -2.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 00:00
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 23:55
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 00:01
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 00:00
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 00:00
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 23:59
Bet Right1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.71%E -3.07%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -2.37%E -1.20%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 00:00
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 00:00
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 00:04
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.38%E -0.692%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 17:24
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.38%E -0.692%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.38%E -0.692%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 17:25
MyBookie.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -1.88%E -0.943%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-03 23:54
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 00:00
Bally Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -7.74%E -4.25%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -0.398%E -0.197%K -0.390%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 20:05
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -7.74%E -4.25%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -0.398%E -0.197%K -0.390%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 20:05
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -8.25%E -4.56%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -0.398%E -0.197%K -0.390%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 20:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -8.75%E -4.86%K -10.94%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -2.37%E -1.20%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-03 17:25
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -8.75%E -4.86%K -10.94%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -2.37%E -1.20%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-03 17:25
NetBet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.84%EV -13.82%E -8.13%K -19.75%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -9.77%E -5.34%K -11.77%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-03 23:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.99I 50.25%NM 50.25%2.01I 49.75%NM 49.75%0.0%2026-03-03 23:59
ProphetX2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-03-04 00:00
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-03-04 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-03-04 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-03-04 00:05
Novig1.97I 50.76%NM 49.87%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.13%1.8%2026-03-04 00:00
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38%1.8%2026-03-04 00:05
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 49.87%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.13%2.8%2026-03-04 00:05

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.92%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%3.1%2026-03-03 20:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.92%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%3.1%2026-03-03 20:05
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.92%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%3.1%2026-03-03 20:05
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.92%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%3.1%2026-03-03 21:00
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.42%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.72%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.86%4.0%2026-03-04 00:00
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.77%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.43%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81%4.4%2026-03-03 23:55
Marathon Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.33%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.92%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75%4.6%2026-03-03 23:55
1xBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.59%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.69%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%4.8%2026-03-03 23:55
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.96%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.86%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.18%5.2%2026-03-03 20:04
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 40.96%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.86%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.18%5.2%2026-03-03 20:05
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 40.96%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.86%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.18%5.2%2026-03-03 20:05
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.96%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.86%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.18%5.2%2026-03-03 20:05
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 41.27%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.78%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%6.3%2026-03-03 20:05
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.70%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%6.6%2026-03-03 23:55
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.85%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%7.3%2026-03-03 20:05
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.22%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.76%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%8.1%2026-03-04 00:05
Codere (IT)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.52%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.27%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%9.1%2026-03-04 00:00
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.64%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.10%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%9.4%2026-03-04 00:05
Parions Sport (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.67%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.10%9.6%2026-03-03 23:59
Betclic (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.22%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.71%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.07%10.5%2026-03-04 00:05
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%2.47I 40.49%NM 36.51%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%10.9%2026-03-04 00:04
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.01%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.32%14.4%2026-03-04 00:05