La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Washington Capitals v Utah Mammoth
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Washington Capitals (Local)
Predicción 50.69%1.97momio equitativo
EV +0.877%
Ventaja +0.441%
Kelly +0.886%
Crecimiento +0.008%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.99
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.58%50.79%50.52%52.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.871.871.9958.82%53.47%53.48%50.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Utah Mammoth (Visitante)
Predicción 49.31%2.03momio equitativo
EV -0.398%
Ventaja -0.197%
Kelly -0.390%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.26%49.21%49.48%51.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.941.952.0254.64%51.49%51.28%49.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
22 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (36 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.58%EV +0.877%E +0.441%K +0.886%G +0.008% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.42%EV -7.30%E -3.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.58%EV +0.877%E +0.441%K +0.886%G +0.008% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.42%EV -7.30%E -3.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.66%E -0.854%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| GTbets | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| BetUS | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Everygame | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -3.68%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| TAB | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.68%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.32%E -3.32%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.68%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.32%E -3.32%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.19%E -2.22%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.19%E -2.22%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Betsson | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.19%E -2.22%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.19%E -2.22%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.70%E -2.50%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Caesars | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 00:01 |
| Bovada | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 23:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.71%E -3.07%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -2.37%E -1.20%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 00:04 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.38%E -0.692%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 17:24 |
| BetMGM | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.38%E -0.692%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.38%E -0.692%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 17:25 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -1.88%E -0.943%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-03 23:54 |
| Fliff | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -7.74%E -4.25%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -0.398%E -0.197%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-03 20:05 |
| betPARX | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -7.74%E -4.25%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -0.398%E -0.197%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-03 20:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -8.25%E -4.56%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -0.398%E -0.197%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 20:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -8.75%E -4.86%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -2.37%E -1.20%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-03 17:25 |
| Neds | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -8.75%E -4.86%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -2.37%E -1.20%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-03 17:25 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.84%EV -13.82%E -8.13%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -9.77%E -5.34%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-03 23:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.25% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 49.75% | 0.0% | 2026-03-03 23:59 |
| ProphetX | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Polymarket | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Novig | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.87% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.13% | 1.8% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38% | 1.8% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.87% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.13% | 2.8% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (22)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.92% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82% | 3.1% | 2026-03-03 20:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.92% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82% | 3.1% | 2026-03-03 20:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.92% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82% | 3.1% | 2026-03-03 20:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.92% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82% | 3.1% | 2026-03-03 21:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.42% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.72% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.86% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.77% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.43% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.33% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.92% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| 1xBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.59% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.69% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Unibet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.96% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.86% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.18% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 20:04 |
| Casumo | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.96% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.86% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.18% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 20:05 |
| Grosvenor | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.96% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.86% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.18% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 20:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.96% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.86% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.18% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 20:05 |
| TABtouch | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.27% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.78% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95% | 6.3% | 2026-03-03 20:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.70% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.41% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89% | 6.6% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| LeoVegas | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.85% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73% | 7.3% | 2026-03-03 20:05 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.22% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.76% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02% | 8.1% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.52% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.27% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.64% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.10% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26% | 9.4% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.67% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.10% | 9.6% | 2026-03-03 23:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.22% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.71% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.07% | 10.5% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 36.51% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42% | 10.9% | 2026-03-04 00:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.01% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.32% | 14.4% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |