La scuola delle quote

Washington Capitals v Utah Mammoth

Inizio: 2026-03-04 00:10 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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36 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Washington Capitals (Casa)

Previsione 50.69%1.97quota equa
EV +0.877%
Vantaggio +0.441%
Kelly +0.886%
Crescita +0.008%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.99

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.58%50.79%50.52%52.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.701.871.871.9958.82%53.47%53.48%50.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Utah Mammoth (Trasferta)

Previsione 49.31%2.03quota equa
EV -0.398%
Vantaggio -0.197%
Kelly -0.390%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.02

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.26%49.21%49.48%51.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.831.941.952.0254.64%51.49%51.28%49.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (36 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 48.58%EV +0.877%E +0.441%K +0.886%G +0.008%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.42%EV -7.30%E -3.88%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-04 00:05
BetOnline.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 48.58%EV +0.877%E +0.441%K +0.886%G +0.008%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.42%EV -7.30%E -3.88%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-04 00:05
Pinnacle1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.66%E -0.854%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-04 00:05
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 00:00
GTbets1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 00:00
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 00:00
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 00:00
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 00:00
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 00:00
FanDuel1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -3.68%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 00:00
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.68%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.32%E -3.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 00:05
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.68%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.32%E -3.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 00:00
DraftKings1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.19%E -2.22%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 00:00
NordicBet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.19%E -2.22%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 00:05
Betsson1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.19%E -2.22%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 00:05
SportsBet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.19%E -2.22%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 00:00
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.70%E -2.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 00:00
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 23:55
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 00:01
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 00:00
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 00:00
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 23:59
Bet Right1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.71%E -3.07%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -2.37%E -1.20%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 00:00
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 00:00
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 00:04
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.38%E -0.692%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 17:24
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.38%E -0.692%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.38%E -0.692%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 17:25
MyBookie.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -1.88%E -0.943%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-03 23:54
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 00:00
Bally Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -7.74%E -4.25%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -0.398%E -0.197%K -0.390%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 20:05
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -7.74%E -4.25%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -0.398%E -0.197%K -0.390%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 20:05
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -8.25%E -4.56%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -0.398%E -0.197%K -0.390%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 20:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -8.75%E -4.86%K -10.94%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -2.37%E -1.20%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-03 17:25
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -8.75%E -4.86%K -10.94%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -2.37%E -1.20%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-03 17:25
NetBet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.84%EV -13.82%E -8.13%K -19.75%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -9.77%E -5.34%K -11.77%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-03 23:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.99I 50.25%NM 50.25%2.01I 49.75%NM 49.75%0.0%2026-03-03 23:59
ProphetX2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-03-04 00:00
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-03-04 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-03-04 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-03-04 00:05
Novig1.97I 50.76%NM 49.87%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.13%1.8%2026-03-04 00:00
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38%1.8%2026-03-04 00:05
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 49.87%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.13%2.8%2026-03-04 00:05

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (22)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.92%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%3.1%2026-03-03 20:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.92%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%3.1%2026-03-03 20:05
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.92%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%3.1%2026-03-03 20:05
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.92%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%3.1%2026-03-03 21:00
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.42%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.72%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.86%4.0%2026-03-04 00:00
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.77%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.43%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81%4.4%2026-03-03 23:55
Marathon Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.33%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.92%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75%4.6%2026-03-03 23:55
1xBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.59%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.69%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%4.8%2026-03-03 23:55
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.96%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.86%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.18%5.2%2026-03-03 20:04
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 40.96%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.86%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.18%5.2%2026-03-03 20:05
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 40.96%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.86%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.18%5.2%2026-03-03 20:05
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.96%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.86%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.18%5.2%2026-03-03 20:05
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 41.27%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.78%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%6.3%2026-03-03 20:05
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.70%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%6.6%2026-03-03 23:55
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.85%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%7.3%2026-03-03 20:05
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.22%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.76%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%8.1%2026-03-04 00:05
Codere (IT)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.52%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.27%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%9.1%2026-03-04 00:00
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.64%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.10%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%9.4%2026-03-04 00:05
Parions Sport (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.67%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.10%9.6%2026-03-03 23:59
Betclic (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.22%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.71%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.07%10.5%2026-03-04 00:05
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%2.47I 40.49%NM 36.51%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%10.9%2026-03-04 00:04
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.01%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.32%14.4%2026-03-04 00:05