預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Washington Capitals v Pittsburgh Penguins

開賽時間: 2026-04-12 19:10 UTC

最終賽果: Washington Capitals 3–0 Pittsburgh Penguins

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

38 家博彩公司 (13 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Washington Capitals (主隊)

預測 57.05%1.75公平賠率
EV -2.45%
優勢 -1.43%
Kelly -3.45%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.71

博彩公司預測分布
56.14%57.09%57.11%58.10%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.531.681.681.7165.36%59.62%59.52%58.48%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Pittsburgh Penguins (客隊)

預測 42.95%2.33公平賠率
EV +0.077%
優勢 +0.033%
Kelly +0.058%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.33

博彩公司預測分布
41.90%42.91%42.89%43.86%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.072.222.212.3348.31%45.07%45.15%42.92%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Washington Capitals (主隊):57.05%;Pittsburgh Penguins (客隊):42.95%。 對於「Pittsburgh Penguins (客隊)」,該估計相當於2.328的公平十進位賠率。 當時有1家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為2.330,對應+0.077%的正期望值。

有 22 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同(3 個賽果,而分析採用 2 個賽果)。由於存在這項差異,解讀分析結果時應審慎。

博彩公司賠率 (38 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼利潤率更新時間
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV +0.077%E +0.033%K +0.058%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-12 19:05
Bovada🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -2.50%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-12 18:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -3.02%E -1.78%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -2.93%E -1.30%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-12 18:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -3.02%E -1.78%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -2.93%E -1.30%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-12 18:10
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -2.93%E -1.30%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 18:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-12 16:20
GTbets🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-12 18:09
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-12 18:14
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-12 18:10
BetAnything🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-12 16:45
ReBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 18:59
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 17:55
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 17:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 18:09
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 17:55
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.79%E -1.69%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 18:44
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.79%E -1.69%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 18:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.22%E -1.89%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 18:58
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.22%E -1.89%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 17:55
Everygame🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.02%E -1.78%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 16:30
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.02%E -1.78%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 16:29
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 17:29
Paddy Power🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 18:09
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 18:10
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 18:09
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 18:19
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 16:20
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 19:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 19:04
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.94%E -2.71%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 18:10
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.94%E -2.71%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 19:00
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.94%E -2.71%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 19:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.65%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 16:30
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.65%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 18:10
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.65%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 16:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.50%EV -12.72%E -8.31%K -23.99%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.50%EV -11.09%E -5.36%K -10.36%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-12 18:59
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (9)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
BetOpenly1.77I 56.50%NM 56.83%2.33I 42.92%NM 43.17%-0.6%2026-04-12 18:45
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-04-12 19:05
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-04-12 18:30
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-04-12 19:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.2%2026-04-12 19:05
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73%1.5%2026-04-12 19:05
ProphetX1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73%1.5%2026-04-12 19:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73%1.5%2026-04-12 19:05
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%2.3%2026-04-12 19:05

其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (22)

這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同,因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同,因而帶來額外不確定性。

博彩公司選項 1選項 2選項 3利潤率 ▲更新時間
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.31%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%3.2%2026-04-12 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.31%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%3.2%2026-04-12 17:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.31%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%3.2%2026-04-12 17:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.31%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%3.2%2026-04-12 17:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.54%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.97%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.49%4.6%2026-04-12 18:15
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.92%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.38%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%4.7%2026-04-12 18:20
1xBet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.22%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.24%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.54%4.8%2026-04-12 18:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.50%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.31%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.18%4.9%2026-04-12 18:59
Grosvenor🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.16%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.23%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%5.2%2026-04-12 17:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.16%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.23%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%5.2%2026-04-12 17:55
Unibet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.16%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.23%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%5.2%2026-04-12 17:54
Casumo🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.16%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.23%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%5.2%2026-04-12 17:55
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%6.5%2026-04-12 17:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.89%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.79%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%6.6%2026-04-12 19:00
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.16%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%7.2%2026-04-12 18:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.30%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%7.7%2026-04-12 18:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.47%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.27%8.1%2026-04-12 19:04
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%8.3%2026-04-12 19:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.67%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.37%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%8.4%2026-04-12 19:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.57%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%8.4%2026-04-12 19:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.03%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.67%12.6%2026-04-12 17:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.10%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.05%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.85%14.2%2026-04-12 19:00