Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Washington Capitals v Pittsburgh Penguins
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Washington Capitals (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 57.05%1.75kurs godziwy
EV -2.45%
Przewaga -1.43%
Kelly -3.45%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.71
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
56.14%57.09%57.11%58.10%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.531.681.681.7165.36%59.62%59.52%58.48%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Pittsburgh Penguins (Goście)
Prognoza 42.95%2.33kurs godziwy
EV +0.077%
Przewaga +0.033%
Kelly +0.058%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.33
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
41.90%42.91%42.89%43.86%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.072.222.212.3348.31%45.07%45.15%42.92%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
22 bukmacherów oferuje na tym rynku inną liczbę opcji (3-opcyjny zamiast 2-opcyjny przyjętych w analizie). Z powodu tej rozbieżności wyniki analizy należy interpretować ostrożnie.
Kursy bukmacherskie (38 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV +0.077%E +0.033%K +0.058%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-12 19:05 |
| Bovada | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -2.50%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-12 18:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -3.02%E -1.78%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -2.93%E -1.30%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-12 18:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -3.02%E -1.78%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -2.93%E -1.30%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-12 18:10 |
| Caesars | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -2.93%E -1.30%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-12 18:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-12 16:20 |
| GTbets | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-12 18:09 |
| theScore Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-12 18:14 |
| BetUS | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-12 18:10 |
| BetAnything | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-12 16:45 |
| ReBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-12 18:59 |
| betPARX | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-12 17:55 |
| Bally Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-12 17:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 18:09 |
| Fliff | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 17:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.79%E -1.69%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 18:44 |
| Bet Right | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.79%E -1.69%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 18:10 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.22%E -1.89%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 18:58 |
| BetRivers | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.22%E -1.89%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 17:55 |
| Everygame | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-12 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.02%E -1.78%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.02%E -1.78%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| Fanatics | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 17:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 18:09 |
| FanDuel | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 18:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 18:09 |
| PlayUp | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-12 18:19 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 16:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-12 19:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-12 19:04 |
| SportsBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.94%E -2.71%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 18:10 |
| Betsson | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.94%E -2.71%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 19:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.94%E -2.71%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.65%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| TAB | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.65%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 18:10 |
| Neds | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.65%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.50%EV -12.72%E -8.31%K -23.99%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.50%EV -11.09%E -5.36%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-12 18:59 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (9)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.83% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 43.17% | -0.6% | 2026-04-12 18:45 |
| Novig | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-04-12 19:05 |
| Polymarket | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-04-12 18:30 |
| Kalshi | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-04-12 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 1.2% | 2026-04-12 19:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73% | 1.5% | 2026-04-12 19:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73% | 1.5% | 2026-04-12 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73% | 1.5% | 2026-04-12 19:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79% | 2.3% | 2026-04-12 19:05 |
Inni bukmacherzy — nieuwzględnieni w analizie (22)
Ci bukmacherzy oferują na tym rynku inną liczbę opcji i zostali wykluczeni z analizy. Ich kursy podano wyłącznie informacyjnie — zasady rozliczania zakładów mogą być odmienne i powodować dodatkową niepewność.
| Bukmacher | Opcja 1 | Opcja 2 | Opcja 3 | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.31% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54% | 3.2% | 2026-04-12 17:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.31% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54% | 3.2% | 2026-04-12 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.31% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54% | 3.2% | 2026-04-12 17:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.31% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54% | 3.2% | 2026-04-12 17:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.54% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.97% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.49% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 18:15 |
| Coolbet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.92% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.38% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| 1xBet | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.22% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.24% | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.54% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 18:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.50% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.31% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.18% | 4.9% | 2026-04-12 18:59 |
| Grosvenor | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.16% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.23% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.16% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.23% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 17:55 |
| Unibet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.16% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.23% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 17:54 |
| Casumo | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.16% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.23% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 17:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59% | 6.5% | 2026-04-12 17:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.89% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.79% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32% | 6.6% | 2026-04-12 19:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.16% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69% | 7.2% | 2026-04-12 18:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.30% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11% | 7.7% | 2026-04-12 18:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.47% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.27% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 19:04 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46% | 8.3% | 2026-04-12 19:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.67% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.37% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96% | 8.4% | 2026-04-12 19:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.57% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49% | 8.4% | 2026-04-12 19:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.03% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.67% | 12.6% | 2026-04-12 17:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.10% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.05% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.85% | 14.2% | 2026-04-12 19:00 |