L’École des cotesFrançais
Washington Capitals v Pittsburgh Penguins
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Washington Capitals (Local)
Prévision 57.05%1.75cote équitable
EV -2.45%
Avantage -1.43%
Kelly -3.45%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.71
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.14%57.09%57.11%58.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.681.681.7165.36%59.62%59.52%58.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Pittsburgh Penguins (Visiteur)
Prévision 42.95%2.33cote équitable
EV +0.077%
Avantage +0.033%
Kelly +0.058%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.33
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.90%42.91%42.89%43.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.072.222.212.3348.31%45.07%45.15%42.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV +0.077%E +0.033%K +0.058%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-12 19:05 |
| Bovada | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -2.50%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-12 18:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -3.02%E -1.78%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -2.93%E -1.30%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-12 18:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -3.02%E -1.78%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -2.93%E -1.30%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-12 18:10 |
| Caesars | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -2.93%E -1.30%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-12 18:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-12 16:20 |
| GTbets | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-12 18:09 |
| theScore Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-12 18:14 |
| BetUS | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-12 18:10 |
| BetAnything | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-12 16:45 |
| ReBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-12 18:59 |
| betPARX | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-12 17:55 |
| Bally Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-12 17:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 18:09 |
| Fliff | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 17:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.79%E -1.69%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 18:44 |
| Bet Right | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.79%E -1.69%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 18:10 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.22%E -1.89%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 18:58 |
| BetRivers | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.22%E -1.89%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 17:55 |
| Everygame | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-12 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.02%E -1.78%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.02%E -1.78%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| Fanatics | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 17:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 18:09 |
| FanDuel | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 18:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 18:09 |
| PlayUp | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-12 18:19 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 16:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-12 19:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-12 19:04 |
| SportsBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.94%E -2.71%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 18:10 |
| Betsson | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.94%E -2.71%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 19:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.94%E -2.71%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.65%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| TAB | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.65%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 18:10 |
| Neds | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.65%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.50%EV -12.72%E -8.31%K -23.99%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.50%EV -11.09%E -5.36%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-12 18:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (9)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.83% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 43.17% | -0.6% | 2026-04-12 18:45 |
| Novig | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-04-12 19:05 |
| Polymarket | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-04-12 18:30 |
| Kalshi | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-04-12 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 1.2% | 2026-04-12 19:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73% | 1.5% | 2026-04-12 19:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73% | 1.5% | 2026-04-12 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73% | 1.5% | 2026-04-12 19:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79% | 2.3% | 2026-04-12 19:05 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.31% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54% | 3.2% | 2026-04-12 17:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.31% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54% | 3.2% | 2026-04-12 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.31% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54% | 3.2% | 2026-04-12 17:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.31% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54% | 3.2% | 2026-04-12 17:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.54% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.97% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.49% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 18:15 |
| Coolbet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.92% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.38% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| 1xBet | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.22% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.24% | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.54% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 18:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.50% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.31% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.18% | 4.9% | 2026-04-12 18:59 |
| Grosvenor | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.16% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.23% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.16% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.23% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 17:55 |
| Unibet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.16% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.23% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 17:54 |
| Casumo | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.16% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.23% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 17:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59% | 6.5% | 2026-04-12 17:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.89% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.79% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32% | 6.6% | 2026-04-12 19:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.16% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69% | 7.2% | 2026-04-12 18:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.30% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11% | 7.7% | 2026-04-12 18:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.47% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.27% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 19:04 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46% | 8.3% | 2026-04-12 19:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.67% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.37% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96% | 8.4% | 2026-04-12 19:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.57% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49% | 8.4% | 2026-04-12 19:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.03% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.67% | 12.6% | 2026-04-12 17:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.10% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.05% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.85% | 14.2% | 2026-04-12 19:00 |