语言:简体中文
Washington Capitals v Pittsburgh Penguins
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Washington Capitals (主队)
预测 57.05%1.75公平赔率
EV -2.45%
优势 -1.43%
Kelly -3.45%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.71
博彩公司预测分布
56.14%57.09%57.11%58.10%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.531.681.681.7165.36%59.62%59.52%58.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
Pittsburgh Penguins (客队)
预测 42.95%2.33公平赔率
EV +0.077%
优势 +0.033%
Kelly +0.058%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.33
博彩公司预测分布
41.90%42.91%42.89%43.86%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.072.222.212.3348.31%45.07%45.15%42.92%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Washington Capitals (主队)：57.05%；Pittsburgh Penguins (客队)：42.95%。 对于“Pittsburgh Penguins (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.328。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.330，对应+0.077%的正期望值。
有 22 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (38 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV +0.077%E +0.033%K +0.058%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-12 19:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -2.50%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-12 18:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -3.02%E -1.78%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -2.93%E -1.30%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-12 18:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -3.02%E -1.78%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -2.93%E -1.30%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-12 18:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -2.93%E -1.30%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-12 18:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-12 16:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-12 18:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-12 18:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-12 18:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-12 16:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-12 18:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-12 17:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-12 17:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 18:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 17:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.79%E -1.69%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 18:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.79%E -1.69%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 18:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.22%E -1.89%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 18:58 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.22%E -1.89%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 17:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-12 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.02%E -1.78%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.02%E -1.78%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 17:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 18:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 18:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 18:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-12 18:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 16:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-12 19:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-12 19:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.94%E -2.71%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 18:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.94%E -2.71%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 19:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.94%E -2.71%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.65%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.65%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 18:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.65%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.50%EV -12.72%E -8.31%K -23.99%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.50%EV -11.09%E -5.36%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-12 18:59 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (9)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.83% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 43.17% | -0.6% | 2026-04-12 18:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-04-12 19:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-04-12 18:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-04-12 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 1.2% | 2026-04-12 19:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73% | 1.5% | 2026-04-12 19:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73% | 1.5% | 2026-04-12 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73% | 1.5% | 2026-04-12 19:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79% | 2.3% | 2026-04-12 19:05 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (22)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 选项 3 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.31% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54% | 3.2% | 2026-04-12 17:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.31% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54% | 3.2% | 2026-04-12 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.31% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54% | 3.2% | 2026-04-12 17:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.31% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54% | 3.2% | 2026-04-12 17:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.54% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.97% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.49% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 18:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.92% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.38% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.22% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.24% | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.54% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 18:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.50% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.31% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.18% | 4.9% | 2026-04-12 18:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.16% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.23% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.16% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.23% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 17:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.16% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.23% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 17:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.16% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.23% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 17:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59% | 6.5% | 2026-04-12 17:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.89% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.79% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32% | 6.6% | 2026-04-12 19:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.16% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69% | 7.2% | 2026-04-12 18:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.30% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11% | 7.7% | 2026-04-12 18:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.47% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.27% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 19:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46% | 8.3% | 2026-04-12 19:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.67% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.37% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96% | 8.4% | 2026-04-12 19:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.57% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49% | 8.4% | 2026-04-12 19:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.03% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.67% | 12.6% | 2026-04-12 17:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.10% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.05% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.85% | 14.2% | 2026-04-12 19:00 |