Language:English
Vegas Golden Knights v Seattle Kraken
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Vegas Golden Knights (Local)
Prediction 73.47%1.36fair odd
EV -3.02%
Edge -2.29%
Kelly -9.44%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.34%73.48%73.47%74.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.301.301.3283.33%77.02%76.92%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Seattle Kraken (Visit)
Prediction 26.53%3.77fair odd
EV +0.291%
Edge +0.077%
Kelly +0.105%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.30%26.52%26.53%27.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.573.603.7829.85%28.00%27.78%26.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vegas Golden Knights (Local): 73.47%; Seattle Kraken (Visit): 26.53%. For Seattle Kraken (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.77. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.78, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.291%.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.70%EV -5.96%E -4.66%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.30%EV +0.291%E +0.077%K +0.105%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 01:18 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.01%EV -3.76%E -2.87%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.99%EV -1.04%E -0.278%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-16 01:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -1.83%E -0.495%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.23%E -4.05%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.83%E -0.495%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-16 02:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.96%E -4.66%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -1.83%E -0.495%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.60%EV -3.02%E -2.29%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.40%EV -2.36%E -0.642%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -3.16%E -0.865%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 01:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -3.16%E -0.865%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 01:03 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.39%EV -3.02%E -2.29%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.61%EV -3.42%E -0.941%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.76%E -2.87%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.48%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.76%E -2.87%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.48%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 01:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.76%E -2.87%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.48%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.76%E -2.87%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.48%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-15 23:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.76%E -2.87%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.48%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.76%E -2.87%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.48%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 01:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.48%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 23:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.48%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 23:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.48%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-16 00:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.48%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 23:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.48%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 23:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.48%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-16 00:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.48%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.48%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.81%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.81%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 01:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.76%E -2.87%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -7.14%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 23:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.76%E -2.87%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -7.14%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.14%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 23:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.14%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 01:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.14%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.17%E -6.53%K -32.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.14%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-16 01:58 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -3.76%E -2.87%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -8.20%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -3.76%E -2.87%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -8.20%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.46%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-15 23:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.46%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-15 23:13 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.79%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-16 01:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.23%E -4.05%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.79%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.63%EV -11.84%E -9.87%K -59.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -11.12%E -3.32%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-16 01:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 74.19% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 25.81% | -0.2% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44% | 2.1% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98% | 2.1% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55% | 2.2% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 2.6% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 2.6% | 2026-04-16 02:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.60% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40% | 2.8% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 02:05 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.17% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.37% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.46% | 2.8% | 2026-04-15 23:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.17% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.37% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.46% | 2.8% | 2026-04-16 00:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.17% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.37% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.46% | 2.8% | 2026-04-16 00:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.17% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.37% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.46% | 2.8% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.81% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.96% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 01:23 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16% | 5.01I 19.96%NM 19.11% | 5.11I 19.57%NM 18.73% | 4.5% | 2026-04-16 01:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.00% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.91% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10% | 4.7% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.34% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.39% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 00:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.34% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.39% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 00:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.34% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.39% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 00:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.34% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.39% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 23:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.04% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.39% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57% | 6.5% | 2026-04-15 23:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.42% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.66% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92% | 6.8% | 2026-04-16 00:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57% | 7.7% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.02% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50% | 7.9% | 2026-04-15 23:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.88% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.08% | 8.5% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.69% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76% | 8.8% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.25% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.56% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.19% | 8.8% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.00% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33% | 9.3% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.73% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.33% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.94% | 10.2% | 2026-04-16 01:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.17% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.47% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36% | 12.3% | 2026-04-16 00:00 |