La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Vegas Golden Knights v Seattle Kraken
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Vegas Golden Knights (Local)
Predicción 73.47%1.36momio equitativo
EV -3.02%
Ventaja -2.29%
Kelly -9.44%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.34%73.48%73.47%74.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.201.301.301.3283.33%77.02%76.92%75.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Seattle Kraken (Visitante)
Predicción 26.53%3.77momio equitativo
EV +0.291%
Ventaja +0.077%
Kelly +0.105%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.78
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.30%26.52%26.53%27.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.353.573.603.7829.85%28.00%27.78%26.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
21 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.70%EV -5.96%E -4.66%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.30%EV +0.291%E +0.077%K +0.105%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 01:18 |
| Pinnacle | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.01%EV -3.76%E -2.87%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.99%EV -1.04%E -0.278%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-16 01:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -1.83%E -0.495%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| theScore Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.23%E -4.05%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.83%E -0.495%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-16 02:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.96%E -4.66%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -1.83%E -0.495%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.60%EV -3.02%E -2.29%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.40%EV -2.36%E -0.642%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| GTbets | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -3.16%E -0.865%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 01:19 |
| Bovada | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -3.16%E -0.865%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 01:03 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.39%EV -3.02%E -2.29%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.61%EV -3.42%E -0.941%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| DraftKings | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.76%E -2.87%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.48%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| Bet Right | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.76%E -2.87%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.48%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 01:54 |
| ReBet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.76%E -2.87%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.48%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.76%E -2.87%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.48%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-15 23:14 |
| BetUS | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.76%E -2.87%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.48%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| Everygame | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.76%E -2.87%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.48%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 01:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.48%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 23:14 |
| Coral | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.48%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 23:15 |
| BetRivers | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.48%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-16 00:00 |
| betPARX | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.48%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 23:59 |
| Bally Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.48%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 23:59 |
| BetAnything | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.48%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-16 00:24 |
| FanDuel | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.48%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.48%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| Fliff | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.81%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.81%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 01:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.76%E -2.87%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -7.14%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 23:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.76%E -2.87%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -7.14%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.14%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 23:10 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.14%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 01:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.14%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.17%E -6.53%K -32.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.14%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-16 01:58 |
| Betsson | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -3.76%E -2.87%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -8.20%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -3.76%E -2.87%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -8.20%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.46%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-15 23:14 |
| Neds | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.46%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-15 23:13 |
| TAB | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.79%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-16 01:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.23%E -4.05%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.79%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.63%EV -11.84%E -9.87%K -59.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -11.12%E -3.32%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-16 01:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.35I 74.07%NM 74.19% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 25.81% | -0.2% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| Polymarket | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44% | 2.1% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| ProphetX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98% | 2.1% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| Matchbook | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55% | 2.2% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 2.6% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 2.6% | 2026-04-16 02:05 |
| Novig | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.60% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40% | 2.8% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| Smarkets | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 02:05 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (21)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.17% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.37% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.46% | 2.8% | 2026-04-15 23:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.17% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.37% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.46% | 2.8% | 2026-04-16 00:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.17% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.37% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.46% | 2.8% | 2026-04-16 00:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.17% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.37% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.46% | 2.8% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| Coolbet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.81% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.96% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 01:23 |
| 1xBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16% | 5.01I 19.96%NM 19.11% | 5.11I 19.57%NM 18.73% | 4.5% | 2026-04-16 01:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.00% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.91% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10% | 4.7% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.34% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.39% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 00:00 |
| Unibet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.34% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.39% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 00:00 |
| Casumo | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.34% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.39% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 00:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.34% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.39% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 23:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.04% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.39% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57% | 6.5% | 2026-04-15 23:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.42% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.66% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92% | 6.8% | 2026-04-16 00:04 |
| Betway | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57% | 7.7% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| LeoVegas | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.02% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50% | 7.9% | 2026-04-15 23:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.88% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.08% | 8.5% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.69% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76% | 8.8% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.25% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.56% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.19% | 8.8% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.00% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33% | 9.3% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.73% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.33% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.94% | 10.2% | 2026-04-16 01:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.17% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.47% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36% | 12.3% | 2026-04-16 00:00 |