L’École des cotesFrançais
Vegas Golden Knights v Seattle Kraken
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Vegas Golden Knights (Local)
Prévision 73.47%1.36cote équitable
EV -3.02%
Avantage -2.29%
Kelly -9.44%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.32
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.34%73.48%73.47%74.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.201.301.301.3283.33%77.02%76.92%75.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Seattle Kraken (Visiteur)
Prévision 26.53%3.77cote équitable
EV +0.291%
Avantage +0.077%
Kelly +0.105%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.78
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.30%26.52%26.53%27.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.353.573.603.7829.85%28.00%27.78%26.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.70%EV -5.96%E -4.66%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.30%EV +0.291%E +0.077%K +0.105%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 01:18 |
| Pinnacle | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.01%EV -3.76%E -2.87%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.99%EV -1.04%E -0.278%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-16 01:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -1.83%E -0.495%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| theScore Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.23%E -4.05%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.83%E -0.495%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-16 02:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.96%E -4.66%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -1.83%E -0.495%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.60%EV -3.02%E -2.29%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.40%EV -2.36%E -0.642%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| GTbets | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -3.16%E -0.865%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 01:19 |
| Bovada | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -3.16%E -0.865%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 01:03 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.39%EV -3.02%E -2.29%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.61%EV -3.42%E -0.941%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| DraftKings | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.76%E -2.87%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.48%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| Bet Right | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.76%E -2.87%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.48%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 01:54 |
| ReBet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.76%E -2.87%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.48%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.76%E -2.87%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.48%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-15 23:14 |
| BetUS | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.76%E -2.87%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.48%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| Everygame | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.76%E -2.87%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.48%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 01:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.48%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 23:14 |
| Coral | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.48%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 23:15 |
| BetRivers | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.48%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-16 00:00 |
| betPARX | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.48%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 23:59 |
| Bally Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.48%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 23:59 |
| BetAnything | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.48%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-16 00:24 |
| FanDuel | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.48%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.48%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| Fliff | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.81%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.81%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 01:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.76%E -2.87%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -7.14%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 23:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.76%E -2.87%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -7.14%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.14%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 23:10 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.14%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 01:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.14%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.17%E -6.53%K -32.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.14%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-16 01:58 |
| Betsson | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -3.76%E -2.87%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -8.20%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -3.76%E -2.87%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -8.20%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.46%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-15 23:14 |
| Neds | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.46%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-15 23:13 |
| TAB | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.79%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-16 01:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.23%E -4.05%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.79%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.63%EV -11.84%E -9.87%K -59.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -11.12%E -3.32%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-16 01:09 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (9)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.35I 74.07%NM 74.19% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 25.81% | -0.2% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| Polymarket | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44% | 2.1% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| ProphetX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98% | 2.1% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| Matchbook | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55% | 2.2% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 2.6% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 2.6% | 2026-04-16 02:05 |
| Novig | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.60% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40% | 2.8% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| Smarkets | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 02:05 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.17% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.37% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.46% | 2.8% | 2026-04-15 23:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.17% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.37% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.46% | 2.8% | 2026-04-16 00:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.17% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.37% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.46% | 2.8% | 2026-04-16 00:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.17% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.37% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.46% | 2.8% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| Coolbet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.81% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.96% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 01:23 |
| 1xBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16% | 5.01I 19.96%NM 19.11% | 5.11I 19.57%NM 18.73% | 4.5% | 2026-04-16 01:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.00% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.91% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10% | 4.7% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.34% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.39% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 00:00 |
| Unibet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.34% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.39% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 00:00 |
| Casumo | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.34% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.39% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 00:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.34% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.39% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 23:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.04% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.39% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57% | 6.5% | 2026-04-15 23:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.42% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.66% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92% | 6.8% | 2026-04-16 00:04 |
| Betway | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57% | 7.7% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| LeoVegas | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.02% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50% | 7.9% | 2026-04-15 23:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.88% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.08% | 8.5% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.69% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76% | 8.8% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.25% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.56% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.19% | 8.8% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.00% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33% | 9.3% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.73% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.33% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.94% | 10.2% | 2026-04-16 01:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.17% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.47% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36% | 12.3% | 2026-04-16 00:00 |