La scuola delle quoteItaliano
Vegas Golden Knights v Seattle Kraken
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Vegas Golden Knights (Casa)
Previsione 73.47%1.36quota equa
EV -3.02%
Vantaggio -2.29%
Kelly -9.44%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.32
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
72.34%73.48%73.47%74.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.201.301.301.3283.33%77.02%76.92%75.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Seattle Kraken (Trasferta)
Previsione 26.53%3.77quota equa
EV +0.291%
Vantaggio +0.077%
Kelly +0.105%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.78
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.30%26.52%26.53%27.66%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.353.573.603.7829.85%28.00%27.78%26.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
21 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.70%EV -5.96%E -4.66%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.30%EV +0.291%E +0.077%K +0.105%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 01:18 |
| Pinnacle | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.01%EV -3.76%E -2.87%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.99%EV -1.04%E -0.278%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-16 01:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -1.83%E -0.495%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| theScore Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.23%E -4.05%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.83%E -0.495%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-16 02:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.96%E -4.66%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -1.83%E -0.495%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.60%EV -3.02%E -2.29%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.40%EV -2.36%E -0.642%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| GTbets | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -3.16%E -0.865%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 01:19 |
| Bovada | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -3.16%E -0.865%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 01:03 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.39%EV -3.02%E -2.29%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.61%EV -3.42%E -0.941%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| DraftKings | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.76%E -2.87%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.48%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| Bet Right | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.76%E -2.87%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.48%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 01:54 |
| ReBet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.76%E -2.87%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.48%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.76%E -2.87%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.48%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-15 23:14 |
| BetUS | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.76%E -2.87%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.48%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| Everygame | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.76%E -2.87%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.48%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 01:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.48%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 23:14 |
| Coral | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.48%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 23:15 |
| BetRivers | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.48%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-16 00:00 |
| betPARX | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.48%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 23:59 |
| Bally Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.48%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 23:59 |
| BetAnything | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.48%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-16 00:24 |
| FanDuel | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.48%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.48%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| Fliff | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.81%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.81%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 01:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.76%E -2.87%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -7.14%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 23:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.76%E -2.87%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -7.14%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.14%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 23:10 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.14%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 01:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.14%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.17%E -6.53%K -32.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.14%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-16 01:58 |
| Betsson | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -3.76%E -2.87%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -8.20%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -3.76%E -2.87%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -8.20%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.46%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-15 23:14 |
| Neds | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.46%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-15 23:13 |
| TAB | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.49%E -3.46%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.79%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-16 01:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.23%E -4.05%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.79%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.63%EV -11.84%E -9.87%K -59.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -11.12%E -3.32%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-16 01:09 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (9)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.35I 74.07%NM 74.19% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 25.81% | -0.2% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| Polymarket | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44% | 2.1% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| ProphetX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98% | 2.1% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| Matchbook | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55% | 2.2% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 2.6% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 2.6% | 2026-04-16 02:05 |
| Novig | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.60% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40% | 2.8% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| Smarkets | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 02:05 |
Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (21)
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.17% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.37% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.46% | 2.8% | 2026-04-15 23:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.17% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.37% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.46% | 2.8% | 2026-04-16 00:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.17% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.37% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.46% | 2.8% | 2026-04-16 00:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.17% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.37% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.46% | 2.8% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| Coolbet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.81% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.96% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 01:23 |
| 1xBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16% | 5.01I 19.96%NM 19.11% | 5.11I 19.57%NM 18.73% | 4.5% | 2026-04-16 01:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.00% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.91% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10% | 4.7% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.34% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.39% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 00:00 |
| Unibet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.34% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.39% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 00:00 |
| Casumo | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.34% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.39% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 00:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.34% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.39% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 23:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.04% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.39% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57% | 6.5% | 2026-04-15 23:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.42% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.66% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92% | 6.8% | 2026-04-16 00:04 |
| Betway | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57% | 7.7% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| LeoVegas | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.02% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50% | 7.9% | 2026-04-15 23:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.88% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.08% | 8.5% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.69% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76% | 8.8% | 2026-04-16 02:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.25% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.56% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.19% | 8.8% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.00% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33% | 9.3% | 2026-04-16 02:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.73% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.33% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.94% | 10.2% | 2026-04-16 01:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.17% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.47% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36% | 12.3% | 2026-04-16 00:00 |