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Vegas Golden Knights v Calgary Flames

2026-10-16 02:10 UTC — NHL

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vegas Golden Knights (Local)

Prediction 73.20%1.37fair odd
EV -2.64%
Edge -1.98%
Kelly -8.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.58%73.13%73.22%74.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.301.301.3380.00%76.71%76.92%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Calgary Flames (Visit)

Prediction 26.80%3.73fair odd
EV -0.587%
Edge -0.158%
Kelly -0.216%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.85%26.87%26.78%28.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.543.563.7129.85%28.23%28.09%26.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Vegas Golden Knights (Local): 73.20%; Calgary Flames (Visit): 26.80%. For Calgary Flames (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.73. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.71, with an expected value of -0.587%; they do not produce positive expected value.

19 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.80%EV -2.64%E -1.98%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.20%EV -4.61%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-14 20:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.80%EV -2.64%E -1.98%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.20%EV -4.61%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-14 20:00
BetUS🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -2.64%E -1.98%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -6.21%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-14 20:00
DraftKings🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -2.64%E -1.98%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -7.55%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-14 19:55
NordicBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.64%E -1.98%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -10.23%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-14 20:05
Betsson🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.64%E -1.98%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -10.23%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-14 20:00
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.64%E -1.98%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -10.23%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-14 20:00
TAB🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.37%E -2.55%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.89%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-14 20:09
Pinnacle🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.90%EV -4.10%E -3.13%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.10%EV -0.587%E -0.158%K -0.216%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-14 20:09
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.10%E -3.13%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.53%E -0.982%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-14 20:00
Caesars🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.10%E -3.13%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -4.87%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-14 20:04
Fliff🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.10%E -3.13%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.21%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-14 20:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.10%E -3.13%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.21%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-14 20:00
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -0.855%E -0.231%K -0.317%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-14 20:00
Bet Right🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -2.19%E -0.601%K -0.828%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-14 20:09
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -2.19%E -0.601%K -0.828%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-14 18:44
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -2.19%E -0.601%K -0.828%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-14 18:43
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -2.19%E -0.601%K -0.828%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-14 18:45
GTbets🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -2.19%E -0.601%K -0.828%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-14 20:24
Bovada🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -2.19%E -0.601%K -0.828%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-14 20:24
Fanatics🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.53%E -0.982%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-14 20:00
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.53%E -0.982%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-14 19:59
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.53%E -0.982%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-14 20:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.53%E -0.982%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-14 20:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.21%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-14 18:45
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.21%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-14 18:44
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.55%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-14 19:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.55%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-14 20:00
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.57%E -4.32%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -0.855%E -0.231%K -0.317%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-14 20:14
SportsBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.94%EV -5.57%E -4.32%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.06%EV -1.93%E -0.526%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-14 20:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.57%E -4.32%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.53%E -0.982%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-14 20:00
ReBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.92%EV -7.03%E -5.54%K -26.04%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.08%EV -8.36%E -2.44%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-14 20:00
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.12%EV -8.50%E -6.80%K -33.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -8.89%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-14 19:59
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.12%EV -8.50%E -6.80%K -33.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -8.89%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-14 20:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-10-14 19:54
Polymarket◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-10-14 16:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 72.30%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70%1.7%2026-10-14 20:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 72.30%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70%1.7%2026-10-14 20:29
Kalshi◎1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-10-14 19:55
Smarkets◎1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%6.5%2026-10-14 20:00

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (19)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.64%5.07I 19.72%NM 19.09%5.02I 19.92%NM 19.28%3.3%2026-10-14 20:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.92%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.87%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%3.6%2026-10-14 18:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.92%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.87%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%3.6%2026-10-14 18:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.92%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.87%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%3.6%2026-10-14 18:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.92%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.87%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%3.6%2026-10-14 18:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.61%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.29%4.7%2026-10-14 20:04
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.79%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.93%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.28%5.2%2026-10-14 18:44
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.79%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.93%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.28%5.2%2026-10-14 18:44
Casumo🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.79%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.93%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.28%5.2%2026-10-14 18:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.79%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.93%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.28%5.2%2026-10-14 18:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.57%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%6.5%2026-10-14 20:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%6.7%2026-10-14 20:04
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.66%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.00%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%6.9%2026-10-14 18:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.24%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%7.1%2026-10-14 20:03
Codere (IT)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.55%8.8%2026-10-14 20:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%9.7%2026-10-14 19:59
picklebet_au🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.97%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%9.8%2026-10-14 19:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 60.75%4.55I 21.98%NM 18.96%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.30%15.9%2026-10-14 19:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 60.94%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.53%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.53%16.4%2026-10-14 19:59