預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Vegas Golden Knights v Calgary Flames

2026-10-16 02:10 UTC — NHL

獨贏

34 家博彩公司 (12 家納入分析 )

73%

27%

模型估計的各結果發生機率：四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Vegas Golden Knights (主隊)

預測 73.07%1.37公平賠率

EV -2.82%

優勢 -2.12%

Kelly -8.53%

成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.33

博彩公司預測分布

71.58%72.91%73.11%74.00%最小值平均值中位數最大值

賠率分布

1.291.311.311.3377.52%76.34%76.34%75.19%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Calgary Flames (客隊)

預測 26.93%3.71公平賠率

EV -0.091%

優勢 -0.025%

Kelly -0.034%

成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.71

博彩公司預測分布

26.00%27.09%26.89%28.42%最小值平均值中位數最大值

賠率分布

3.303.523.553.7130.30%28.40%28.13%26.95%最小值平均值中位數最大值

對於獨贏，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)估計各選項的機率為：Vegas Golden Knights (主隊)：73.07%；Calgary Flames (客隊)：26.93%。對於「Calgary Flames (客隊)」，該估計相當於3.713的公平十進位賠率。沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的賠率：目前最佳賠率為3.710，期望值為-0.091%，未產生正期望值。

有 19 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同（3 個賽果，而分析採用 2 個賽果）。由於存在這項差異，解讀分析結果時應審慎。

博彩公司賠率 (34 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司	主隊 ▼	客隊	利潤率	更新時間
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 72.80%EV -2.82%E -2.12%K -8.53%G +0.000%	3.56I 28.09%NM 27.20%EV -4.13%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-10-14 20:00
LowVig.ag🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 72.80%EV -2.82%E -2.12%K -8.53%G +0.000%	3.56I 28.09%NM 27.20%EV -4.13%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-10-14 20:00
BetUS🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -2.82%E -2.12%K -8.53%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-10-14 20:00
DraftKings🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -2.82%E -2.12%K -8.53%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -7.09%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-10-14 19:55
NordicBet🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.82%E -2.12%K -8.53%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.79%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-10-14 20:05
Betsson🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.82%E -2.12%K -8.53%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.79%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-10-14 20:00
PlayUp🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.82%E -2.12%K -8.53%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.79%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-10-14 20:00
BetRivers🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.55%E -2.69%K -11.08%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -3.05%E -0.848%K -1.17%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-10-14 20:44
betPARX🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.55%E -2.69%K -11.08%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -3.05%E -0.848%K -1.17%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-10-14 20:49
Bally Bet🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.55%E -2.69%K -11.08%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -3.05%E -0.848%K -1.17%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-10-14 20:43
TAB🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.55%E -2.69%K -11.08%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.44%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-10-14 20:09
Pinnacle🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 73.90%EV -4.28%E -3.27%K -13.80%G +0.000%	3.71I 26.95%NM 26.10%EV -0.091%E -0.025%K -0.034%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-10-14 20:09
Bet Right🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.28%E -3.27%K -13.80%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.05%E -0.848%K -1.17%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-10-14 20:59
GTbets🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.28%E -3.27%K -13.80%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.05%E -0.848%K -1.17%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-10-14 20:39
BetMGM🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.28%E -3.27%K -13.80%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.05%E -0.848%K -1.17%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-10-14 20:00
theScore Bet🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.28%E -3.27%K -13.80%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.05%E -0.848%K -1.17%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-10-14 20:59
Caesars🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.28%E -3.27%K -13.80%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -4.40%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-10-14 20:04
Fliff🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.28%E -3.27%K -13.80%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-10-14 20:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.28%E -3.27%K -13.80%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-10-14 20:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.28%E -3.27%K -13.80%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-10-14 20:59
Paddy Power🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -5.01%E -3.85%K -16.70%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -0.360%E -0.097%K -0.133%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-10-14 20:00
Bovada🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -5.01%E -3.85%K -16.70%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -1.71%E -0.468%K -0.644%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-10-14 21:20
Fanatics🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.01%E -3.85%K -16.70%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.05%E -0.848%K -1.17%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-10-14 20:00
FanDuel🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.01%E -3.85%K -16.70%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.05%E -0.848%K -1.17%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-10-14 19:59
Coral🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.01%E -3.85%K -16.70%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.05%E -0.848%K -1.17%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-10-14 20:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.01%E -3.85%K -16.70%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.05%E -0.848%K -1.17%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-10-14 20:00
Betr (AU)🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.01%E -3.85%K -16.70%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-10-14 18:45
William Hill🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.01%E -3.85%K -16.70%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-10-14 20:59
Neds🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.01%E -3.85%K -16.70%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.09%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-14 19:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.01%E -3.85%K -16.70%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.09%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-14 20:00
SportsBet🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.94%EV -5.74%E -4.45%K -19.79%G +0.000%	3.66I 27.32%NM 26.06%EV -1.44%E -0.393%K -0.540%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-10-14 20:00
ReBet🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 72.02%EV -5.74%E -4.45%K -19.79%G +0.000%	3.32I 30.12%NM 27.98%EV -10.59%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-10-14 21:00
betano_uk🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -5.74%E -4.45%K -19.79%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-10-14 20:58
Bet Victor🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -5.74%E -4.45%K -19.79%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-10-14 21:00

利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司	主隊	客隊	利潤率 ▲	更新時間
Novig◎	1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%	3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%	0.6%	2026-10-14 19:54
Polymarket◎	1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%	3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%	1.0%	2026-10-14 16:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73%	3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%	1.9%	2026-10-14 21:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73%	3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%	1.9%	2026-10-14 21:15
Kalshi◎	1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56%	3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%	2.1%	2026-10-14 19:55
Smarkets◎	1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%	7.0%	2026-10-14 21:00

其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (19)

這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同，因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同，因而帶來額外不確定性。

博彩公司	選項 1	選項 2	選項 3	利潤率 ▲	更新時間
1xBet🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.64%	5.07I 19.72%NM 19.09%	5.02I 19.92%NM 19.28%	3.3%	2026-10-14 20:00
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.92%	5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%	5.40I 18.52%NM 17.87%	3.6%	2026-10-14 20:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.92%	5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%	5.40I 18.52%NM 17.87%	3.6%	2026-10-14 20:44
ATG (SE)🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.92%	5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%	5.40I 18.52%NM 17.87%	3.6%	2026-10-14 20:45
Svenska Spel🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.92%	5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%	5.40I 18.52%NM 17.87%	3.6%	2026-10-14 20:44
Marathon Bet🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.61%	5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10%	4.95I 20.20%NM 19.29%	4.7%	2026-10-14 20:04
Unibet🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.79%	5.20I 19.23%NM 18.28%	5.30I 18.87%NM 17.93%	5.2%	2026-10-14 20:45
Grosvenor🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.79%	5.20I 19.23%NM 18.28%	5.30I 18.87%NM 17.93%	5.2%	2026-10-14 20:44
Casumo🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.79%	5.20I 19.23%NM 18.28%	5.30I 18.87%NM 17.93%	5.2%	2026-10-14 20:44
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.79%	5.20I 19.23%NM 18.28%	5.30I 18.87%NM 17.93%	5.2%	2026-10-14 20:44
TABtouch🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.50%	5.10I 19.61%NM 18.43%	5.20I 19.23%NM 18.07%	6.4%	2026-10-14 20:44
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 61.70%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%	4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%	6.6%	2026-10-14 20:59
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%	6.7%	2026-10-14 20:04
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%	4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%	6.8%	2026-10-14 20:59
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 61.45%	4.70I 21.28%NM 19.48%	4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%	9.2%	2026-10-14 21:00
picklebet_au🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%	4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%	4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%	9.2%	2026-10-14 20:59
Codere (IT)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%	4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%	4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%	9.2%	2026-10-14 21:00
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 59.88%	4.40I 22.73%NM 19.60%	4.20I 23.81%NM 20.53%	16.0%	2026-10-14 20:59
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 59.77%	4.20I 23.81%NM 20.35%	4.30I 23.26%NM 19.88%	17.0%	2026-10-14 20:59