默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Vegas Golden Knights v Calgary Flames

2026-10-16 02:10 UTC — NHL

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (12 家纳入分析 )

73%

27%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Vegas Golden Knights (主队)

预测 73.07%1.37公平赔率

EV -2.82%

优势 -2.12%

Kelly -8.53%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.33

博彩公司预测分布

71.58%72.91%73.11%74.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.291.311.311.3377.52%76.34%76.34%75.19%最小值均值中位数最大值

Calgary Flames (客队)

预测 26.93%3.71公平赔率

EV -0.091%

优势 -0.025%

Kelly -0.034%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.71

博彩公司预测分布

26.00%27.09%26.89%28.42%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

3.303.523.553.7130.30%28.40%28.13%26.95%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Vegas Golden Knights (主队)：73.07%；Calgary Flames (客队)：26.93%。对于“Calgary Flames (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.713。没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为3.710，期望值为-0.091%，未产生正期望值。

有 19 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 72.80%EV -2.82%E -2.12%K -8.53%G +0.000%	3.56I 28.09%NM 27.20%EV -4.13%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-10-14 20:00
LowVig.ag🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 72.80%EV -2.82%E -2.12%K -8.53%G +0.000%	3.56I 28.09%NM 27.20%EV -4.13%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-10-14 20:00
BetUS🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -2.82%E -2.12%K -8.53%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-10-14 20:00
DraftKings🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -2.82%E -2.12%K -8.53%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -7.09%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-10-14 19:55
NordicBet🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.82%E -2.12%K -8.53%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.79%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-10-14 20:05
Betsson🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.82%E -2.12%K -8.53%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.79%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-10-14 20:00
PlayUp🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.82%E -2.12%K -8.53%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.79%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-10-14 20:00
BetRivers🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.55%E -2.69%K -11.08%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -3.05%E -0.848%K -1.17%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-10-14 20:44
betPARX🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.55%E -2.69%K -11.08%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -3.05%E -0.848%K -1.17%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-10-14 20:49
Bally Bet🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.55%E -2.69%K -11.08%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -3.05%E -0.848%K -1.17%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-10-14 20:43
TAB🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.55%E -2.69%K -11.08%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.44%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-10-14 20:09
Pinnacle🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 73.90%EV -4.28%E -3.27%K -13.80%G +0.000%	3.71I 26.95%NM 26.10%EV -0.091%E -0.025%K -0.034%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-10-14 20:09
Bet Right🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.28%E -3.27%K -13.80%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.05%E -0.848%K -1.17%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-10-14 20:59
GTbets🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.28%E -3.27%K -13.80%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.05%E -0.848%K -1.17%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-10-14 20:39
BetMGM🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.28%E -3.27%K -13.80%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.05%E -0.848%K -1.17%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-10-14 20:00
theScore Bet🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.28%E -3.27%K -13.80%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.05%E -0.848%K -1.17%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-10-14 20:59
Caesars🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.28%E -3.27%K -13.80%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -4.40%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-10-14 20:04
Fliff🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.28%E -3.27%K -13.80%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-10-14 20:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.28%E -3.27%K -13.80%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-10-14 20:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.28%E -3.27%K -13.80%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-10-14 20:59
Paddy Power🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -5.01%E -3.85%K -16.70%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -0.360%E -0.097%K -0.133%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-10-14 20:00
Bovada🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -5.01%E -3.85%K -16.70%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -1.71%E -0.468%K -0.644%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-10-14 21:20
Fanatics🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.01%E -3.85%K -16.70%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.05%E -0.848%K -1.17%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-10-14 20:00
FanDuel🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.01%E -3.85%K -16.70%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.05%E -0.848%K -1.17%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-10-14 19:59
Coral🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.01%E -3.85%K -16.70%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.05%E -0.848%K -1.17%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-10-14 20:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.01%E -3.85%K -16.70%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.05%E -0.848%K -1.17%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-10-14 20:00
Betr (AU)🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.01%E -3.85%K -16.70%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-10-14 18:45
William Hill🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.01%E -3.85%K -16.70%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-10-14 20:59
Neds🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.01%E -3.85%K -16.70%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.09%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-14 19:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.01%E -3.85%K -16.70%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.09%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-14 20:00
SportsBet🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.94%EV -5.74%E -4.45%K -19.79%G +0.000%	3.66I 27.32%NM 26.06%EV -1.44%E -0.393%K -0.540%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-10-14 20:00
ReBet🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 72.02%EV -5.74%E -4.45%K -19.79%G +0.000%	3.32I 30.12%NM 27.98%EV -10.59%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-10-14 21:00
betano_uk🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -5.74%E -4.45%K -19.79%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-10-14 20:58
Bet Victor🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -5.74%E -4.45%K -19.79%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-10-14 21:00

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Novig◎	1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%	3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%	0.6%	2026-10-14 19:54
Polymarket◎	1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%	3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%	1.0%	2026-10-14 16:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73%	3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%	1.9%	2026-10-14 21:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73%	3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%	1.9%	2026-10-14 21:15
Kalshi◎	1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56%	3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%	2.1%	2026-10-14 19:55
Smarkets◎	1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%	7.0%	2026-10-14 21:00

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (19)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司	选项 1	选项 2	选项 3	利润率 ▲	更新时间
1xBet🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.64%	5.07I 19.72%NM 19.09%	5.02I 19.92%NM 19.28%	3.3%	2026-10-14 20:00
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.92%	5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%	5.40I 18.52%NM 17.87%	3.6%	2026-10-14 20:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.92%	5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%	5.40I 18.52%NM 17.87%	3.6%	2026-10-14 20:44
ATG (SE)🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.92%	5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%	5.40I 18.52%NM 17.87%	3.6%	2026-10-14 20:45
Svenska Spel🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.92%	5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%	5.40I 18.52%NM 17.87%	3.6%	2026-10-14 20:44
Marathon Bet🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.61%	5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10%	4.95I 20.20%NM 19.29%	4.7%	2026-10-14 20:04
Unibet🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.79%	5.20I 19.23%NM 18.28%	5.30I 18.87%NM 17.93%	5.2%	2026-10-14 20:45
Grosvenor🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.79%	5.20I 19.23%NM 18.28%	5.30I 18.87%NM 17.93%	5.2%	2026-10-14 20:44
Casumo🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.79%	5.20I 19.23%NM 18.28%	5.30I 18.87%NM 17.93%	5.2%	2026-10-14 20:44
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.79%	5.20I 19.23%NM 18.28%	5.30I 18.87%NM 17.93%	5.2%	2026-10-14 20:44
TABtouch🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.50%	5.10I 19.61%NM 18.43%	5.20I 19.23%NM 18.07%	6.4%	2026-10-14 20:44
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 61.70%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%	4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%	6.6%	2026-10-14 20:59
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%	6.7%	2026-10-14 20:04
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%	4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%	6.8%	2026-10-14 20:59
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 61.45%	4.70I 21.28%NM 19.48%	4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%	9.2%	2026-10-14 21:00
picklebet_au🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%	4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%	4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%	9.2%	2026-10-14 20:59
Codere (IT)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%	4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%	4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%	9.2%	2026-10-14 21:00
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 59.88%	4.40I 22.73%NM 19.60%	4.20I 23.81%NM 20.53%	16.0%	2026-10-14 20:59
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 59.77%	4.20I 23.81%NM 20.35%	4.30I 23.26%NM 19.88%	17.0%	2026-10-14 20:59