Idioma:Español
Vegas Golden Knights v Calgary Flames
Resultado del partido
Vegas Golden Knights (Local)
Predicción 73.07%1.37momio equitativo
EV -2.82%
Ventaja -2.12%
Kelly -8.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.58%72.91%73.11%74.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.291.311.311.3377.52%76.34%76.34%75.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Calgary Flames (Visitante)
Predicción 26.93%3.71momio equitativo
EV -0.091%
Ventaja -0.025%
Kelly -0.034%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.71
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.00%27.09%26.89%28.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.523.553.7130.30%28.40%28.13%26.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Vegas Golden Knights (Local): 73.07%; Calgary Flames (Visitante): 26.93%. Para Calgary Flames (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.713. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 3.710, con un valor esperado de -0.091%; no producen valor esperado positivo.
19 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (34 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.80%EV -2.82%E -2.12%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.20%EV -4.13%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-14 20:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.80%EV -2.82%E -2.12%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.20%EV -4.13%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-14 20:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -2.82%E -2.12%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-14 20:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -2.82%E -2.12%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -7.09%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-14 19:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.82%E -2.12%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.79%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-14 20:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.82%E -2.12%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.79%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-14 20:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.82%E -2.12%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.79%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-14 20:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.55%E -2.69%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -3.05%E -0.848%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-14 20:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.55%E -2.69%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -3.05%E -0.848%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-14 20:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.55%E -2.69%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -3.05%E -0.848%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-14 20:43 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.55%E -2.69%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.44%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-14 20:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.90%EV -4.28%E -3.27%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 26.10%EV -0.091%E -0.025%K -0.034%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-14 20:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.28%E -3.27%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.05%E -0.848%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-14 20:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.28%E -3.27%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.05%E -0.848%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-14 20:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.28%E -3.27%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.05%E -0.848%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-14 20:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.28%E -3.27%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.05%E -0.848%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-14 20:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.28%E -3.27%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -4.40%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-14 20:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.28%E -3.27%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-14 20:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.28%E -3.27%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-14 20:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.28%E -3.27%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-14 20:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -5.01%E -3.85%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -0.360%E -0.097%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-14 20:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -5.01%E -3.85%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -1.71%E -0.468%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-14 21:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.01%E -3.85%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.05%E -0.848%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-14 20:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.01%E -3.85%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.05%E -0.848%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-14 19:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.01%E -3.85%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.05%E -0.848%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-14 20:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.01%E -3.85%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.05%E -0.848%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-14 20:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.01%E -3.85%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-14 18:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.01%E -3.85%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-14 20:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.01%E -3.85%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.09%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-14 19:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.01%E -3.85%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.09%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-14 20:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.94%EV -5.74%E -4.45%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.06%EV -1.44%E -0.393%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-14 20:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.02%EV -5.74%E -4.45%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.98%EV -10.59%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-14 21:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -5.74%E -4.45%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-14 20:58 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -5.74%E -4.45%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-14 21:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-10-14 19:54 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-10-14 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27% | 1.9% | 2026-10-14 21:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27% | 1.9% | 2026-10-14 21:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44% | 2.1% | 2026-10-14 19:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20% | 7.0% | 2026-10-14 21:00 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (19)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.64% | 5.07I 19.72%NM 19.09% | 5.02I 19.92%NM 19.28% | 3.3% | 2026-10-14 20:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.92% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.87% | 3.6% | 2026-10-14 20:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.92% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.87% | 3.6% | 2026-10-14 20:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.92% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.87% | 3.6% | 2026-10-14 20:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.92% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.87% | 3.6% | 2026-10-14 20:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.61% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.29% | 4.7% | 2026-10-14 20:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.79% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.28% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.93% | 5.2% | 2026-10-14 20:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.79% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.28% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.93% | 5.2% | 2026-10-14 20:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.79% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.28% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.93% | 5.2% | 2026-10-14 20:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.79% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.28% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.93% | 5.2% | 2026-10-14 20:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.50% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.43% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.07% | 6.4% | 2026-10-14 20:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.70% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54% | 6.6% | 2026-10-14 20:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75% | 6.7% | 2026-10-14 20:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70% | 6.8% | 2026-10-14 20:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.45% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.48% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07% | 9.2% | 2026-10-14 21:00 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90% | 9.2% | 2026-10-14 20:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90% | 9.2% | 2026-10-14 21:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.88% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.60% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.53% | 16.0% | 2026-10-14 20:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 59.77% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.35% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 19.88% | 17.0% | 2026-10-14 20:59 |