預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Vegas Golden Knights v Anaheim Ducks

開賽時間： 2026-05-07 01:50 UTC

最終賽果： Vegas Golden Knights 1–3 Anaheim Ducks

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

34 家博彩公司 (11 家納入分析 )

58%

42%

模型估計的各結果發生機率：四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Vegas Golden Knights (主隊)

預測 57.90%1.73公平賠率

EV -0.999%

優勢 -0.584%

Kelly -1.41%

成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.71

博彩公司預測分布

55.70%57.75%57.93%59.49%最小值平均值中位數最大值

賠率分布

1.601.661.651.7162.50%60.35%60.61%58.48%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Anaheim Ducks (客隊)

預測 42.10%2.38公平賠率

EV -0.212%

優勢 -0.089%

Kelly -0.155%

成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.37

博彩公司預測分布

40.51%42.25%42.07%44.30%最小值平均值中位數最大值

賠率分布

2.152.272.302.3746.51%44.02%43.48%42.19%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Vegas Golden Knights (主隊)：57.90%；Anaheim Ducks (客隊)：42.10%。對於「Anaheim Ducks (客隊)」，該估計相當於2.38的公平十進位賠率。當時沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率：最佳賠率為2.37，期望值為-0.212%，未產生正期望值。

有 17 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同（3 個賽果，而分析採用 2 個賽果）。由於存在這項差異，解讀分析結果時應審慎。

博彩公司賠率 (34 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司	主隊 ▼	客隊	利潤率	更新時間
Fliff🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -0.999%E -0.584%K -1.41%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -9.47%E -4.41%K -8.24%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-05-07 01:45
Pinnacle🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.16%E -1.28%K -3.13%G +0.000%	2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -2.74%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-05-07 01:45
FanDuel🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.16%E -1.28%K -3.13%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-05-07 01:45
Paddy Power🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.16%E -1.28%K -3.13%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-05-07 01:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.16%E -1.28%K -3.13%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-05-07 01:45
SportsBet🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.02%G +0.000%	2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -7.79%E -3.56%K -6.55%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-05-07 01:45
theScore Bet🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.95%G +0.000%	2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -0.212%E -0.089%K -0.155%G +0.000%	2.1%	2026-05-07 01:45
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.95%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -2.32%E -0.999%K -1.76%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-05-07 01:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.95%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-05-07 01:44
GTbets🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.95%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-05-07 01:45
Bovada🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.95%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-05-07 01:45
BetUS🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.95%G +0.000%	2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -3.58%E -1.56%K -2.78%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-05-07 01:45
Fanatics🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.95%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-05-07 01:45
William Hill🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.95%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-05-07 01:45
LowVig.ag🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.05%E -0.448%K -0.781%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-05-07 01:45
BetAnything🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.05%E -0.448%K -0.781%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-05-07 01:45
DraftKings🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-05-07 01:45
Coral🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-05-07 01:45
BetMGM🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-05-07 01:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-05-07 01:45
Caesars🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-05-07 01:45
PlayUp🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-05-07 01:45
NordicBet🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%	2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.69%E -2.54%K -4.59%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-05-07 01:44
Betsson🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%	2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.69%E -2.54%K -4.59%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-05-07 01:44
TAB🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-05-07 01:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-05-07 01:44
Bet Victor🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.47%E -4.41%K -8.24%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-05-07 01:44
Bet Right🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.89%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.32%E -0.999%K -1.76%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-05-07 01:45
Neds🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.89%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-05-07 01:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.89%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-05-07 01:45
betPARX🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.05%E -0.448%K -0.781%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-05-07 01:45
Bally Bet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.05%E -0.448%K -0.781%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-05-07 01:45
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000%	2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -2.74%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-05-07 01:32
Betr (AU)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -7.37%E -4.60%K -12.28%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.05%E -0.448%K -0.781%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-05-07 01:45

利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司	主隊	客隊	利潤率 ▲	更新時間
Novig◎	1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%	2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%	0.1%	2026-05-07 01:45
Polymarket◎	1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%	2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%	1.2%	2026-05-07 01:45
ProphetX◎	1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%	2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%	1.2%	2026-05-07 01:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%	2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%	1.5%	2026-05-07 01:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%	2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%	1.5%	2026-05-07 01:45
Kalshi◎	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%	2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%	2.1%	2026-05-07 01:45
Smarkets◎	1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%	2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%	2.3%	2026-05-07 01:45
Matchbook◎	1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%	2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%	2.6%	2026-05-07 01:45

其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (17)

這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同，因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同，因而帶來額外不確定性。

博彩公司	選項 1	選項 2	選項 3	利潤率 ▲	更新時間
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%	4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%	3.2%	2026-05-07 01:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%	4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%	3.2%	2026-05-07 01:45
Svenska Spel🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%	4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%	3.2%	2026-05-07 01:45
ATG (SE)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%	4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%	3.2%	2026-05-07 01:45
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 45.10%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.41%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.50%	4.6%	2026-05-07 01:45
Unibet🎯	2.07I 48.31%NM 46.03%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%	5.0%	2026-05-07 01:45
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.07I 48.31%NM 46.03%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%	5.0%	2026-05-07 01:45
Grosvenor🎯	2.07I 48.31%NM 46.03%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%	5.0%	2026-05-07 01:45
Casumo🎯	2.07I 48.31%NM 46.03%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%	5.0%	2026-05-07 01:45
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%	5.3%	2026-05-07 01:45
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.44%	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%	4.15I 24.10%NM 22.67%	6.3%	2026-05-07 01:44
TABtouch🎯	2.04I 49.02%NM 45.90%	3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%	6.8%	2026-05-07 01:45
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 47.52%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.20%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%	6.8%	2026-05-07 01:45
LeoVegas🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%	3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%	7.3%	2026-05-07 01:45
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06%	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.41%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%	8.3%	2026-05-07 01:45
Betway🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81%	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%	8.9%	2026-05-07 01:45
PMU (FR)🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 46.01%	2.90I 34.48%NM 30.62%	3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%	12.6%	2026-05-07 01:45