L’École des cotes

Vegas Golden Knights v Anaheim Ducks

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-07 01:50 UTC

Score final : Vegas Golden Knights 1–3 Anaheim Ducks

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

34 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Vegas Golden Knights (Local)

Prévision 57.90%1.73cote équitable
EV -0.999%
Avantage -0.584%
Kelly -1.41%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.70%57.75%57.93%59.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.661.651.7162.50%60.35%60.61%58.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Anaheim Ducks (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.10%2.38cote équitable
EV -0.212%
Avantage -0.089%
Kelly -0.155%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.37

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.51%42.25%42.07%44.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.272.302.3746.51%44.02%43.48%42.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

17 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (34 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -0.999%E -0.584%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -9.47%E -4.41%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 01:45
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.16%E -1.28%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -2.74%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-07 01:45
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.16%E -1.28%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 01:45
Paddy Power1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.16%E -1.28%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 01:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.16%E -1.28%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 01:45
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -7.79%E -3.56%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 01:45
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -0.212%E -0.089%K -0.155%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-07 01:45
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -2.32%E -0.999%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-07 01:45
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-07 01:44
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-07 01:45
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-07 01:45
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -3.58%E -1.56%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-07 01:45
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 01:45
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 01:45
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.05%E -0.448%K -0.781%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-07 01:45
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.05%E -0.448%K -0.781%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-07 01:45
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 01:45
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 01:45
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 01:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 01:45
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 01:45
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 01:45
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.69%E -2.54%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 01:44
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.69%E -2.54%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 01:44
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 01:45
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 01:44
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.47%E -4.41%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 01:44
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.32%E -0.999%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 01:45
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 01:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 01:45
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.05%E -0.448%K -0.781%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 01:45
Bally Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.05%E -0.448%K -0.781%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 01:45
MyBookie.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -2.74%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 01:32
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -7.37%E -4.60%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.05%E -0.448%K -0.781%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 01:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%0.1%2026-05-07 01:45
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-07 01:45
ProphetX1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.2%2026-05-07 01:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-05-07 01:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-05-07 01:45
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-05-07 01:45
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%2.3%2026-05-07 01:45
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%2.6%2026-05-07 01:45

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (17)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%3.2%2026-05-07 01:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%3.2%2026-05-07 01:45
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%3.2%2026-05-07 01:45
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%3.2%2026-05-07 01:45
Unibet (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.10%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.41%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.50%4.6%2026-05-07 01:45
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 46.03%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%5.0%2026-05-07 01:45
Unibet (NL)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.03%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%5.0%2026-05-07 01:45
Grosvenor2.07I 48.31%NM 46.03%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%5.0%2026-05-07 01:45
Casumo2.07I 48.31%NM 46.03%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%5.0%2026-05-07 01:45
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-05-07 01:45
Betclic (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.44%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.67%6.3%2026-05-07 01:44
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 45.90%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%6.8%2026-05-07 01:45
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.52%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.20%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%6.8%2026-05-07 01:45
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%7.3%2026-05-07 01:45
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%8.3%2026-05-07 01:45
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%8.9%2026-05-07 01:45
PMU (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.01%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.62%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%12.6%2026-05-07 01:45