默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Vegas Golden Knights v Anaheim Ducks

开赛时间: 2026-05-07 01:50 UTC

最终结果: Vegas Golden Knights 1–3 Anaheim Ducks

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (11 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Vegas Golden Knights (主队)

预测 57.90%1.73公平赔率
EV -0.999%
优势 -0.584%
Kelly -1.41%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.71

博彩公司预测分布
55.70%57.75%57.93%59.49%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.601.661.651.7162.50%60.35%60.61%58.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

Anaheim Ducks (客队)

预测 42.10%2.38公平赔率
EV -0.212%
优势 -0.089%
Kelly -0.155%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.37

博彩公司预测分布
40.51%42.25%42.07%44.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.152.272.302.3746.51%44.02%43.48%42.19%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Vegas Golden Knights (主队):57.90%;Anaheim Ducks (客队):42.10%。 对于“Anaheim Ducks (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.38。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.37,期望值为-0.212%,未产生正期望值。

有 17 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(3 个赛果,而分析采用 2 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -0.999%E -0.584%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -9.47%E -4.41%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 01:45
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.16%E -1.28%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -2.74%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-07 01:45
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.16%E -1.28%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 01:45
Paddy Power🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.16%E -1.28%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 01:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.16%E -1.28%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 01:45
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -7.79%E -3.56%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 01:45
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -0.212%E -0.089%K -0.155%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-07 01:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -2.32%E -0.999%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-07 01:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-07 01:44
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-07 01:45
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-07 01:45
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -3.58%E -1.56%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-07 01:45
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 01:45
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 01:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.05%E -0.448%K -0.781%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-07 01:45
BetAnything🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.05%E -0.448%K -0.781%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-07 01:45
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 01:45
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 01:45
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 01:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 01:45
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 01:45
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 01:45
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.69%E -2.54%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 01:44
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.69%E -2.54%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 01:44
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 01:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 01:44
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.47%E -4.41%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 01:44
Bet Right🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.32%E -0.999%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 01:45
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 01:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 01:45
betPARX🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.05%E -0.448%K -0.781%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 01:45
Bally Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.05%E -0.448%K -0.781%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 01:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -2.74%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 01:32
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -7.37%E -4.60%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.05%E -0.448%K -0.781%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 01:45
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%0.1%2026-05-07 01:45
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-07 01:45
ProphetX1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.2%2026-05-07 01:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-05-07 01:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-05-07 01:45
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-05-07 01:45
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%2.3%2026-05-07 01:45
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%2.6%2026-05-07 01:45

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (17)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2选项 3利润率 ▲更新时间
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%3.2%2026-05-07 01:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%3.2%2026-05-07 01:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%3.2%2026-05-07 01:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%3.2%2026-05-07 01:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.10%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.41%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.50%4.6%2026-05-07 01:45
Unibet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.03%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%5.0%2026-05-07 01:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.03%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%5.0%2026-05-07 01:45
Grosvenor🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.03%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%5.0%2026-05-07 01:45
Casumo🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.03%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%5.0%2026-05-07 01:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-05-07 01:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.44%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.67%6.3%2026-05-07 01:44
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.90%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%6.8%2026-05-07 01:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.52%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.20%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%6.8%2026-05-07 01:45
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%7.3%2026-05-07 01:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%8.3%2026-05-07 01:45
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%8.9%2026-05-07 01:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.01%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.62%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%12.6%2026-05-07 01:45