La scuola delle quote

Vegas Golden Knights v Anaheim Ducks

Inizio: 2026-05-07 01:50 UTC

Finale: Vegas Golden Knights 1–3 Anaheim Ducks

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

34 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Vegas Golden Knights (Casa)

Previsione 57.90%1.73quota equa
EV -0.999%
Vantaggio -0.584%
Kelly -1.41%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.71

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.70%57.75%57.93%59.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.601.661.651.7162.50%60.35%60.61%58.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Anaheim Ducks (Trasferta)

Previsione 42.10%2.38quota equa
EV -0.212%
Vantaggio -0.089%
Kelly -0.155%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.37

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.51%42.25%42.07%44.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.272.302.3746.51%44.02%43.48%42.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

17 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (34 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -0.999%E -0.584%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -9.47%E -4.41%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 01:45
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.16%E -1.28%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -2.74%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-07 01:45
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.16%E -1.28%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 01:45
Paddy Power1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.16%E -1.28%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 01:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.16%E -1.28%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 01:45
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -7.79%E -3.56%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 01:45
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -0.212%E -0.089%K -0.155%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-07 01:45
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -2.32%E -0.999%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-07 01:45
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-07 01:44
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-07 01:45
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-07 01:45
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -3.58%E -1.56%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-07 01:45
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 01:45
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 01:45
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.05%E -0.448%K -0.781%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-07 01:45
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.05%E -0.448%K -0.781%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-07 01:45
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 01:45
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 01:45
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 01:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 01:45
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 01:45
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 01:45
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.69%E -2.54%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 01:44
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.69%E -2.54%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 01:44
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 01:45
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 01:44
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.47%E -4.41%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 01:44
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.32%E -0.999%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 01:45
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 01:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 01:45
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.05%E -0.448%K -0.781%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 01:45
Bally Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.05%E -0.448%K -0.781%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 01:45
MyBookie.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -2.74%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 01:32
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -7.37%E -4.60%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.05%E -0.448%K -0.781%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 01:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%0.1%2026-05-07 01:45
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-07 01:45
ProphetX1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.2%2026-05-07 01:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-05-07 01:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-05-07 01:45
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-05-07 01:45
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%2.3%2026-05-07 01:45
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%2.6%2026-05-07 01:45

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (17)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%3.2%2026-05-07 01:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%3.2%2026-05-07 01:45
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%3.2%2026-05-07 01:45
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%3.2%2026-05-07 01:45
Unibet (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.10%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.41%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.50%4.6%2026-05-07 01:45
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 46.03%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%5.0%2026-05-07 01:45
Unibet (NL)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.03%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%5.0%2026-05-07 01:45
Grosvenor2.07I 48.31%NM 46.03%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%5.0%2026-05-07 01:45
Casumo2.07I 48.31%NM 46.03%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%5.0%2026-05-07 01:45
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-05-07 01:45
Betclic (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.44%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.67%6.3%2026-05-07 01:44
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 45.90%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%6.8%2026-05-07 01:45
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.52%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.20%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%6.8%2026-05-07 01:45
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%7.3%2026-05-07 01:45
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%8.3%2026-05-07 01:45
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%8.9%2026-05-07 01:45
PMU (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.01%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.62%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%12.6%2026-05-07 01:45