Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vancouver Canucks v Vegas Golden Knights

Kickoff: 2026-04-08 02:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vancouver Canucks (Local)

Prediction 30.93%3.23fair odd
EV +1.44%
Edge +0.440%
Kelly +0.632%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 3.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.16%30.90%30.85%32.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.083.103.2835.09%32.52%32.26%30.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Vegas Golden Knights (Visit)

Prediction 69.07%1.45fair odd
EV -2.61%
Edge -1.85%
Kelly -6.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.38%69.10%69.15%70.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.381.391.4179.37%72.30%71.94%70.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vancouver Canucks (Local): 30.93%; Vegas Golden Knights (Visit): 69.07%. For Vancouver Canucks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.23. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.28, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.44%.

22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV +1.44%E +0.440%K +0.632%G +0.009%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -6.75%E -5.00%K -19.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 01:44
betPARX🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.514%E +0.158%K +0.228%G +0.001%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.06%E -4.46%K -16.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 01:20
Bally Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.514%E +0.158%K +0.228%G +0.001%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.06%E -4.46%K -16.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 01:20
BetRivers🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +0.514%E +0.158%K +0.228%G +0.001%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.75%E -5.00%K -19.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 01:19
ReBet🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -0.414%E -0.129%K -0.187%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -5.37%E -3.92%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-08 01:24
BetOnline.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV -1.03%E -0.323%K -0.469%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -3.99%E -2.87%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-08 02:04
LowVig.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV -1.03%E -0.323%K -0.469%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -3.99%E -2.87%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-08 02:05
BetUS🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 30.42%EV -1.65%E -0.519%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.58%EV -3.99%E -2.87%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-08 02:04
Pinnacle🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 30.85%EV -2.27%E -0.718%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.15%EV -2.61%E -1.85%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-08 00:20
Bet Right🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.58%E -0.819%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 01:25
Paddy Power🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.58%E -0.819%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:05
theScore Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.58%E -0.819%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:00
BetAnything🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.58%E -0.819%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.58%E -0.819%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:05
SportsBet🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV -2.89%E -0.920%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.62%EV -5.37%E -3.92%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 02:05
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-08 00:20
Everygame🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-08 02:00
DraftKings🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.99%E -2.87%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 09:04
Fliff🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 00:00
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 01:40
GTbets🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 01:19
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.06%E -4.46%K -16.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 17:05
FanDuel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.67%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -3.99%E -2.87%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 01:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 21:30
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 01:15
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 01:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 01:10
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 01:54
MyBookie.ag🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -7.53%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 17:35
Betsson🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 32.04%EV -8.15%E -2.74%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.96%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 01:55
NordicBet🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 32.04%EV -8.15%E -2.74%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.96%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 01:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.76%E -2.97%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 21:04
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 01:58
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-07 01:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-07 01:10
TAB🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-07 21:34
NetBet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 69.71%EV -12.97%E -10.29%K -49.88%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-08 01:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -11.86%E -4.16%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 02:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77%0.2%2026-04-08 01:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-04-08 02:05
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-04-08 02:05
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%1.0%2026-04-07 01:25
Polymarket3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%1.0%2026-04-07 21:29
Novig3.21I 31.15%NM 30.82%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.18%1.1%2026-04-08 02:05
ProphetX3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%1.2%2026-04-08 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%1.2%2026-04-08 02:05
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93%2.2%2026-04-08 02:05

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 20.16%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.10%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.75%3.4%2026-04-08 01:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 20.16%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.10%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.75%3.4%2026-04-08 01:20
ATG (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 20.16%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.10%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.75%3.4%2026-04-08 01:20
Svenska Spel🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 20.16%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.10%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.75%3.4%2026-04-08 01:20
Unibet (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.96%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.73%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%3.7%2026-04-08 02:00
1xBet🎯4.31I 23.20%NM 22.19%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.33%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.48%4.5%2026-04-08 01:54
Marathon Bet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 22.05%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.86%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.10%4.8%2026-04-08 00:20
Coolbet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.48%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.86%4.9%2026-04-08 01:24
Unibet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.97%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.05%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.97%5.4%2026-04-08 01:30
Grosvenor🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.20%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%5.8%2026-04-08 01:20
Unibet (NL)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.20%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%5.8%2026-04-08 01:20
Casumo🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.20%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%5.8%2026-04-08 01:20
TABtouch🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.95%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.95%6.7%2026-04-08 01:20
Tipico (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.43%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%7.0%2026-04-08 01:25
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%7.1%2026-04-08 02:00
LeoVegas🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.00%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%7.5%2026-04-08 01:20
Unibet (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%8.0%2026-04-08 01:55
Winamax (DE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.27%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%8.4%2026-04-08 02:00
Codere (IT)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.77%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%8.9%2026-04-08 01:54
Winamax (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.93%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%9.0%2026-04-08 02:04
Betclic (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.48%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.04%9.2%2026-04-08 02:04
PMU (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.20%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.05%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%12.5%2026-04-08 01:20